Final Win Prob. pScore
1644%96
93
1756%98
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
100.09388.0
WAS logo Wizards
121.39499.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS93
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIABeasley Running Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)93
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0WASMISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0WASWIZARDS Rebound91
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0WASMISS Gooden 2' Layup91
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09WASMISS Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIACole 20' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47WASPorter Layup (6 PTS)89
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48WASPorter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49WASMISS Seraphin 8' Jump Shot89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05WASSUB: Temple FOR A. Miller87
112
Q4 - 2:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)87
112
Q4 - 2:05WASGooden P.FOUL (P1.PN)87
112
Q4 - 2:05MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21WASMISS Porter 2' Layup87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30WASGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58WASPorter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIABeasley 15' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43WASMISS Porter 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58WASSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09WASPorter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13WASSUB: Seraphin FOR Nene84
110
Q4 - 4:13MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13WASA. Miller P.FOUL (P1.PN)83
110
Q4 - 4:32WASGooden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAJones 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06WASMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIACole 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)80
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32WASNene Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46WASPorter S.FOUL (P4.PN)77
107
Q4 - 5:46MIABeasley 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)77
107
Q4 - 5:50WASSUB: Gooden FOR Harrington75
107
Q4 - 5:50WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)75
107
Q4 - 5:50WASPorter P.FOUL (P3.T4)75
107
Q4 - 6:01WASPorter 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04WASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05WASMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)75
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37WASMISS Porter 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01WASA. Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30WASNene P.FOUL (P2.T3)70
105
Q4 - 7:35MIASUB: Douglas FOR Allen70
105
Q4 - 7:35WASPorter P.FOUL (P2.T2)70
105
Q4 - 7:58WASHarrington 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)70
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14WASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAHeat Rebound70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25WASMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:3870
103
Q4 - 8:38MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T1)70
103
Q4 - 8:51WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Cole 15' Jump Shot70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59WASNene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16WASHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32WASMISS A. Miller 1' Layup70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)70
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09WASPorter P.FOUL (P1.T1)67
103
Q4 - 10:20WASNene 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 10:38MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T13)67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:38MIABeasley OFF.Foul (P1)67
101
Q4 - 10:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47WASMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00WASWIZARDS Rebound67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:18WASNene Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33MIABeasley 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)67
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:47WASHarrington 31' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (A. Miller 9 AST)65
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 12:0065
98
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASMISS Ariza 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)65
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0WASHarrington S.FOUL (P3.T4)64
98
Q3 - 0:18.0MIABeasley 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)64
98
Q3 - 0:30.0WASWebster 3' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (A. Miller 8 AST)62
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0WASNene 2' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:18MIAHamilton 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 1:39WASAriza 2' Running Reverse Layup (25 PTS) (A. Miller 7 AST)58
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 1:49WASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 2:04WASWebster P.FOUL (P3.T3)58
92
Q3 - 2:20WASAriza 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)58
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T4)58
90
Q3 - 2:43WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot58
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIASUB: Cole FOR Douglas58
90
Q3 - 2:57WASSUB: Nene FOR Wall58
90
Q3 - 2:57WASSUB: A. Miller FOR Gortat58
90
Q3 - 2:57WASSUB: Harrington FOR Booker58
90
Q3 - 2:57MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Haslem58
90
Q3 - 2:57WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)58
90
Q3 - 2:57WASWall P.FOUL (P2.T2)58
90
Q3 - 2:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 3:00WASMISS Gortat 3' Layup58
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 3:06WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Beasley 3' Layup58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:18WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:23WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:47WASWall 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)58
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 3:51MIAAriza STEAL (3 STL)58
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 3:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 4:00WASMISS Gortat 12' Jump Shot58
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 4:12MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)58
88
Q3 - 4:26MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)58
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 4:40WASMISS Booker Free Throw 2 of 255
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 4:40WASWIZARDS Rebound55
88
Q3 - 4:40WASMISS Booker Free Throw 1 of 255
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)55
88
Q3 - 4:44MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)55
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 4:55WASSUB: Webster FOR Beal55
88
Q3 - 4:55WASBeal P.FOUL (P1.T1)55
88
Q3 - 5:11MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade55
88
Q3 - 5:11MIASUB: Beasley FOR Battier55
88
Q3 - 5:11WASBooker Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)55
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 5:14WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)55
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 5:34WASBooker 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Wall 13 AST)55
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 5:58MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)55
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 6:17WASWall 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 6:23WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot52
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:43WASAriza 19' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wall 12 AST)52
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIABooker STEAL (2 STL)52
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAHeat Rebound52
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 6:54MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)52
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 7:10MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)52
82
Q3 - 7:10WASGortat 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Wall 11 AST)52
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)52
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 7:38WASBooker 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)52
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 7:50WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)52
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 7:51WASMISS Wall 22' Jump Shot52
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 8:08MIAWade 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)52
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 8:14MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 8:16WASMISS Wall 3PT Jump Shot50
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 8:20WASAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 8:23WASMISS Gortat 3' Layup50
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 8:29WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot50
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 8:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 8:50WASMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 8:57WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot50
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 9:15WASAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wall 10 AST)50
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 9:21MIABooker STEAL (1 STL)50
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 9:27WASGortat Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)50
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 9:41WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 9:56MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 9:57WASMISS Beal 15' Jump Shot50
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 10:05MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T1)50
75
Q3 - 10:23MIAChalmers 3' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)50
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 10:36WASAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Beal 5 AST)48
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 10:44WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot48
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 11:13WASGortat 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)48
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 11:35WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot48
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 12:0048
70
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS48
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWIZARDS Rebound48
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Douglas 18' Jump Shot48
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0WASBooker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)48
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0WASAriza P.FOUL (P1.PN)46
68
Q2 - 0:45.0WASBeal 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)46
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAHamilton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)46
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q2 - 1:13WASBooker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)44
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q2 - 1:24MIADouglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q2 - 1:24WASSUB: Booker FOR Gortat43
63
Q2 - 1:24MIADouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q2 - 1:24WASNene S.FOUL (P1.PN)42
63
Q2 - 1:45WASBeal 14' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)42
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q2 - 1:51WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.4%
61
93.6%
Q2 - 2:04MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q2 - 2:05WASMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 242
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q2 - 2:05MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem42
61
Q2 - 2:05WASWIZARDS Rebound42
61
Q2 - 2:05WASMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 242
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q2 - 2:05MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)42
61
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 2:2341
61
Q2 - 2:23WASGortat S.FOUL (P1.T4)41
61
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS)41
61
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot39
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q2 - 2:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q2 - 2:41WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q2 - 2:47MIAWall STEAL (1 STL)39
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 2:58WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)39
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q2 - 3:42WASNene 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)39
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q2 - 3:53MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade39
59
Q2 - 3:53WASWIZARDS Rebound39
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q2 - 4:12WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)39
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q2 - 4:12WASSUB: Wall FOR A. Miller39
58
Q2 - 4:12MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)39
58
Q2 - 4:12MIADouglas S.FOUL (P1.PN)39
58
Q2 - 4:12WASBeal 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (A. Miller 6 AST)39
58
Q2 - 4:14WASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q2 - 4:30WASAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Beal 4 AST)39
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 4:42WASSUB: Nene FOR Harrington38
53
Q2 - 4:42MIAHeat Rebound38
53
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 238
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 4:42WASHarrington Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)38
53
Q2 - 4:57WASAriza Running Layup (10 PTS) (Beal 3 AST)38
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 5:05WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup38
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q2 - 5:17WASA. Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 5:17WASA. Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 5:17MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)38
49
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley36
49
Q2 - 5:46WASHarrington Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)36
16.0%
49
84.0%
Q2 - 5:51MIADouglas 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 5:56WASBeal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)34
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 6:01MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)34
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q2 - 6:13WASJump Ball Ariza vs. Wade: Tip to Douglas34
49
Q2 - 6:18WASHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
49
Q2 - 6:31WASHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (A. Miller 5 AST)34
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 6:37WASA. Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q2 - 6:38WASMISS Beal Free Throw 2 of 234
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 6:38WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 6:38MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
45
Q2 - 6:49MIABeasley Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T4)34
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 7:02MIASUB: Douglas FOR Cole34
45
Q2 - 7:02WASSUB: Gortat FOR Nene34
45
Q2 - 7:02MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)34
45
Q2 - 7:03WASHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)34
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 7:16WASHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Allen34
42
Q2 - 7:31WASNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)34
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIANene STEAL (1 STL)34
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 7:45WASSUB: Ariza FOR Webster34
42
Q2 - 7:45WASWebster Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 7:45WASWebster OFF.Foul (P2)34
42
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)34
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 8:19WASNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)32
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 8:19MIACole S.FOUL (P1.T4)32
41
Q2 - 8:19WASNene 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (A. Miller 4 AST)32
41
Q2 - 8:27MIACole Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)32
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 8:48WASNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)32
28.3%
39
71.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Andersen32
38
Q2 - 8:48MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T3)32
38
Q2 - 8:48WASNene 1' Layup (8 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 9:05MIAHeat Rebound31
36
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 9:05WASWebster S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
36
Q2 - 9:23MIASUB: Wade FOR Lewis31
36
Q2 - 9:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
36
Q2 - 9:24WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Webster 1 AST)31
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 9:37WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
37.3%
33
62.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
38.1%
33
61.9%
Q2 - 9:59WASNene 2' Layup (6 PTS) (A. Miller 3 AST)31
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 10:03WASHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
42.0%
31
58.0%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot31
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 10:22WASWebster Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
44.8%
31
55.2%
Q2 - 10:22WASWebster Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q2 - 10:22MIALewis S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
29
Q2 - 10:24WASHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
46.9%
29
53.1%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 10:29MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 10:32MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)31
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 10:44WASNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 10:59MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)31
46.9%
29
53.1%
Q2 - 11:11WASHarrington 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (A. Miller 2 AST)28
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAndersen P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
27
Q2 - 11:42MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)28
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q2 - 12:0026
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASMISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
41.2%
27
58.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0WASWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot26
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0WASHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (A. Miller 1 AST)26
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)26
47.0%
24
53.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers23
24
Q1 - 1:08MIASUB: Beasley FOR Douglas23
24
Q1 - 1:08WASSUB: Harrington FOR Booker23
24
Q1 - 1:08WASSUB: A. Miller FOR Wall23
24
Q1 - 1:08MIAHeat Rebound23
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot23
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 1:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 1:35WASNene 2' Layup (4 PTS)23
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 1:36WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 1:38WASMISS Nene 1' Layup23
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q1 - 1:53MIAChalmers 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)23
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 2:15WASWebster 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)21
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q1 - 2:24MIALewis 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)21
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 2:46WASNene 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)19
44.3%
19
55.7%
Q1 - 3:02MIADouglas 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)19
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
44.4%
17
55.6%
Q1 - 3:17WASMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot17
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAAllen 3' Layup (2 PTS)17
42.0%
17
58.0%
Q1 - 3:53MIASUB: Lewis FOR Battier15
17
Q1 - 3:53WASSUB: Nene FOR Gortat15
17
Q1 - 3:53MIASUB: Andersen FOR Haslem15
17
Q1 - 3:53MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
17
Q1 - 4:03WASAriza 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)15
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 4:22WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
44.0%
14
56.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot15
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 4:36MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 4:37WASMISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot15
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 4:45WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
44.0%
14
56.0%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 4:51WASSUB: Webster FOR Beal15
14
Q1 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 5:10WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)15
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 5:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
42.2%
14
57.8%
Q1 - 5:39WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade13
14
Q1 - 5:52WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 6:00MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS)13
40.4%
14
59.6%
Q1 - 6:05WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 6:13WASAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
37.3%
14
62.7%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 6:33WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Booker 1 AST)11
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 6:50MIADouglas 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 6:54WASBeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:08MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation9
11
Q1 - 7:08MIAChalmers 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)9
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:31WASAriza Layup (5 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)7
38.2%
11
61.8%
Q1 - 7:35WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 7:36WASMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot7
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 7:52WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.5%
9
60.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIABeal BLOCK (1 BLK)7
40.0%
9
60.0%
Q1 - 7:59WASBeal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAHaslem 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 8:26WASGortat 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)5
38.9%
9
61.1%
Q1 - 8:28WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 8:28WASMISS Wall 14' Jump Shot5
40.9%
7
59.1%
Q1 - 8:36WASAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.1%
7
59.9%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot5
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
41.5%
7
58.5%
Q1 - 8:49WASMISS Beal 2' Layup5
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 9:05WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.6%
7
59.4%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 9:24WASAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)5
42.0%
7
58.0%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 9:57WASMISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot3
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 10:07MIABeal STEAL (1 STL)3
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 10:19MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 10:20WASMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 23
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:20WASWIZARDS Rebound3
4
Q1 - 10:20WASMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 23
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 10:26WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot3
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 10:52WASGortat 5' Driving Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS)3
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 11:08WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot3
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:26WASGortat 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)3
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIADouglas Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:39WASWall S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:39MIADouglas Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:43WASAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Gortat vs. Battier: Tip to Wall0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
WAS
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
29
69%
WAS
23
31
74%
Midrange
MIA
9
24
38%
WAS
9
18
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
WAS
14
21.0
29
48%
72%
Free Throws
MIA
14
16
88%
WAS
8
15
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley1869%9.0 / 13
T. Douglas1478%7.0 / 9
R. Allen1381%6.5 / 8
J. Jones1179%5.5 / 7
U. Haslem950%4.5 / 9
D. Wade945%4.5 / 10
M. Chalmers735%3.5 / 10
J. Hamilton650%3.0 / 6
N. Cole440%2.0 / 5
R. Lewis233%1.0 / 3
S. Battier0-0.0 / 5
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ariza2589%12.5 / 14
Nene1869%9.0 / 13
A. Harrington16100%8.0 / 8
B. Beal1575%7.5 / 10
M. Gortat1056%5.0 / 9
T. Booker880%4.0 / 5
M. Webster758%3.5 / 6
O. Porter Jr.643%3.0 / 7
J. Wall429%2.0 / 7
D. Gooden375%1.5 / 2
A. Miller250%1.0 / 2
K. Seraphin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+7
-12
88
WAS
77
+9
-17
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
WAS
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
105.5
MIA 100.0
WAS 121.3 +21.3
Pace
91.5
93.7
MIA 88.0
WAS 99.7 +11.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.3
MIA 16.4
WAS 14.4 −1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
50.6%
MIA 49.4%
WAS 67.9% +18.5%
TO %
15.4%
14.8%
MIA 13.0% −3.7%
WAS 16.7%
ORB %
20.6%
25.2%
MIA 12.8%
WAS 23.5% +10.7%
FTrt
30.0
24.8
MIA 20.0 +0.8
WAS 19.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
60.1%
MIA 63.9%
WAS 78.3% +14.4%
STL %
9.7%
8.5%
MIA 11.8% +2.2%
WAS 9.6%
BLK %
8.1%
7.7%
MIA 6.1% +0.4%
WAS 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
52.5%
MIA 52.2%
WAS 66.3% +14.1%
Rim FG%
66.7%
61.8%
MIA 69.0%
WAS 74.2% +5.2%
Mid FG%
42.8%
37.7%
MIA 37.5%
WAS 50.0% +12.5%
3P %
36.4%
38.0%
MIA 25.9%
WAS 48.3% +22.4%
FT %
76.0%
73.1%
MIA 87.5% +34.2%
WAS 53.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.8%
MIA 36.3%
WAS 39.7% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
41.6%
MIA 30.0%
WAS 23.1% −6.9%
3P Att. %
29.2%
24.6%
MIA 33.8%
WAS 37.2% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points93114
Rebounds3142
Assists2336
Steals119
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals36-8046-78
At-the-Rim FG20-2923-31
Midrange FG9-249-18
2-Point FG29-5332-49
3-Point FG7-2714-29
Free Throws14-168-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
34.6
14
78%
3
3
2
0
4
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
30.4
7
35%
4
3
1
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
C · 6'8" 235 · 34
20.6
9
50%
8
0
2
1
0
3
1
7
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 220 · 32
18.4
9
45%
0
3
2
0
4
0
0
0
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
14.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
26.9
18
69%
5
3
1
1
2
1
1
4
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 24
23.7
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
21.0
4
40%
1
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 39
18.6
13
81%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
17.2
11
79%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
6.5
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 273 · 26
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'9" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
31
23
11
3
12
0
5
26
14-16
88%
29-53
55%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.