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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Heat
93
18Wizards
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
35
17
14
3
3
2
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
44%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.9
30
29
7
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
21
21
9
8
0
2
0
1
0
1
7
1-1
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.2
18
18
9
0
3
2
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
15
11
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-5
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
27
4
18
5
3
1
0
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
7-11
1-1
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
24
5
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
21
23
4
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.7
19
24
13
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
3-5
60%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.5
17
5
11
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
35%
3-6
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.8
7
16
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
7
19
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.2
11
0
2-3
56%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.1
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
32
29
25
3
2
3
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
5-5
2-4
100%
48%
5-8
63%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.8
26
34
15
3
5
1
1
1
3
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
5-10
50%
45%
3-5
60%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
24
33
4
2
13
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
5-11
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
23
31
10
13
1
0
1
1
1
3
10
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
21
25
8
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
4-4
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.4
26
18
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
24
21
18
4
2
1
1
1
5
1
3
2-4
50%
8-12
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.1
22
12
2
3
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.2
17
14
16
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
4-6
67%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.9
12
12
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
6
13
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.4
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.4
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.