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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Magic20%8795
9Bulls80%98108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
28.5
19.8
6
52%
9
0
0
0
2
0
2
7
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
28.1
23.6
20
84%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
9-10
4-8
90%
49%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
27.3
26.1
3
50%
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
1-3
33%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.9
23.4
22.4
10
51%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
22.5
25.7
13
82%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
25.5
20.9
9
61%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
24.6
12.6
6
44%
0
11
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
38%
0-1
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
21.4
22.6
19
106%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
3-3
100%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.1
20.7
19.4
5
39%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
18.1
25.2
4
16%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
2-12
4-8
17%
50%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.2
18.6
0
1-3
44%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.5
9.1
0
2-4
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.2
3.2
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.6
39.4
32.4
22
86%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
3-4
75%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.1
37.0
37.6
18
49%
10
8
2
1
1
0
4
6
4-5
80%
7-16
6-11
44%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.4
31.8
23.6
13
55%
12
5
1
1
0
1
1
11
1-2
50%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.6
31.7
41.4
12
74%
2
1
2
2
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
21.6
28.8
3
26%
0
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
30.6
2.3
17
57%
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
0-1
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
19.6
26.8
8
47%
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
6-8
75%
1-5
5-11
20%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.4
18.6
6.3
13
73%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.6
6.5
5.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
2.1
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.4
1.1
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.4
28.3
1
3-7
45%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.8
3.1
0
0-1
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.