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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 18, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat58%108109
24Magic42%105116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
38.3
23.1
15
44%
0
4
2
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
1-6
17%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.3
36.2
31.2
26
71%
22
1
0
1
1
1
5
17
3-3
100%
10-16
7-12
63%
56%
1-1
100%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
34.9
27.1
10
56%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
2-7
29%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
30.6
29.8
17
41%
5
6
1
1
0
0
3
2
4-4
100%
5-15
5-11
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
21.0
16.2
10
60%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
1-2
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.6
23.3
25.2
10
56%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.4
21.3
26.9
7
39%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
18.7
23.4
11
51%
4
8
1
1
1
4
2
2
1-4
25%
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
9.9
15.1
3
28%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-4
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.3
5.7
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.0
7.3
0
1-1
47%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.4
0.5
0
0-0
44%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.2
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
34.4
29.3
23
64%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
34.2
29.9
14
45%
9
3
0
1
2
1
2
7
5-6
83%
3-11
4-9
27%
52%
1-2
50%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
31.7
29.6
13
50%
3
9
3
1
1
4
0
3
0-2
0%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
1-1
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.0
31.6
28.3
19
61%
12
1
2
1
2
1
2
10
7-8
88%
6-9
6-12
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.7
31.2
24.8
15
63%
6
4
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 28.1
27.5
8.0
12
55%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
1-2
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.0
16.9
21.3
4
67%
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.9
16.3
8.3
7
56%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
2-3
1-1
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 25.1
16.1
21.2
9
51%
5
0
0
0
2
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.0
18.1
0
2-3
45%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.6
10.6
0
1-2
44%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.5
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
7.9
0
1-1
47%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 26.7
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 22.8
Jamel Artis
G · 6'7" 213 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.