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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
October 19, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bulls
100
11Raptors
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.5
35
25
15
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
4-12
33%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.4
33
19
17
8
0
0
1
1
3
2
6
5-6
83%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.5
32
25
18
8
2
1
0
0
1
4
4
4-4
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.0
27
17
7
2
7
2
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.7
24
22
7
5
3
1
0
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.9
26
24
12
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
4-7
57%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.3
16
24
4
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.6
16
3
6
2
6
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
0-1
25%
40%
0-1
0%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 24.8
13
19
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
12
11
8
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
5
19
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-2
0%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.0
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
20
0
2-5
49%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.6
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
32
31
11
6
5
2
1
1
5
1
5
7-8
88%
2-9
7-15
22%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.6
31
33
12
4
9
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
31
26
23
15
2
2
1
0
1
8
7
5-6
83%
9-16
5-9
56%
56%
0-1
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
25
20
15
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
3-6
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
24
28
8
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
53%
2-4
50%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.5
23
11
13
2
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
20
21
22
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
6-9
67%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.0
18
13
2
5
0
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.3
17
11
9
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.6
13
8
2
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
5
15
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
16
1
1-2
64%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.1
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.