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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
October 21, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors69%116101
14Grizzlies31%109111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.1
40
36
29
13
3
1
1
3
6
2
11
3-6
50%
7-15
6-11
47%
56%
4-9
44%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
38
36
14
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
2-8
25%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
36
32
3
7
6
2
2
1
3
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-5
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
30
33
37
6
3
0
2
0
2
0
6
13-13
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
6-11
55%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.7
12
16
0
6
0
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.7
29
23
0
2
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
58%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.1
18
15
8
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.0
12
11
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.1
9
11
4
6
3
2
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.4
5
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.8
4
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 22.8
4
7
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.6
1
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 24.8
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.3
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.7
36
30
34
14
2
1
1
2
7
2
12
16-17
94%
6-12
5-10
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.0
32
32
10
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
1-6
17%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.4
29
16
8
5
0
2
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
25
19
13
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
6-6
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
15
20
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
39%
1-3
33%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
32
24
9
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.1
23
19
12
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.4
22
18
10
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
5-8
63%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
15
14
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
11
21
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
4-6
100%
61%
0-0
-
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.7
7
0
1-2
48%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.9
7
0
1-2
50%
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.1
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.2
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.7
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.