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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
October 23, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors82%119133
21Mavericks18%106103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.1
33.3
36.8
25
75%
8
6
0
1
1
2
0
8
3-4
75%
5-9
7-12
56%
57%
4-6
67%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
31.1
31.5
29
70%
2
8
4
2
0
6
2
0
13-13
100%
5-5
4-7
100%
54%
2-10
20%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
29.6
33.7
10
59%
7
8
2
2
1
2
0
7
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
28.1
36.3
21
66%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
50%
3-9
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.7
14.0
14.8
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.7
24.4
25.5
9
64%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
59%
1-4
25%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.4
19.1
12.0
13
77%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
4-7
57%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.1
15.1
16.8
8
80%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
53%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.1
11.6
10.5
4
67%
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.8
10.7
6.5
6
65%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
4-6
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-0
-
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 22.8
9.6
6.0
6
87%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.0
7.1
11.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.3
6.3
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.3
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 24.8
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.6
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.5
34.8
33.5
13
67%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
42%
3-5
60%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.0
33.6
31.0
19
68%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
3-7
43%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.4
31.1
33.0
13
40%
7
3
1
1
0
1
3
4
1-3
33%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 19.9
29.7
28.4
10
32%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
4-10
40%
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.3
28.9
21.8
11
40%
7
2
1
0
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
4-12
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.3
26.3
21.1
13
44%
3
8
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-2
0%
5-10
2-6
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.3
19.2
15.6
10
48%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
53%
1-3
33%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.5
11.6
20.3
8
51%
7
0
2
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.5
7.3
16.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
6.3
7.2
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Gian Clavell
· 6'4" 185 · 23.9
6.1
16.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.6
5.2
5.0
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-2
50%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.4
6.7
0
1-1
58%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.7
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.5
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.