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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 25, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets49%11093
14Hornets51%111110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.7
33
25
16
3
5
1
1
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
7-15
2-5
47%
46%
0-5
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
31
30
7
5
5
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
31
32
18
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
4-9
44%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
30
32
18
12
0
0
1
0
2
6
6
1-1
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
58%
1-1
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.7
28
29
8
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
5-10
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.8
29
28
9
7
6
1
1
0
0
1
6
1-3
33%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-4
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
21
13
8
10
0
3
0
0
3
2
8
2-5
40%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.9
15
5
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
14
20
2
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-6
2-5
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.9
4
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.3
5
0
0-0
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
4
0
0-1
43%
Juan Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.3
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 27.5
32
34
19
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
9-9
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.4
29
32
16
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
5-10
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.9
27
31
15
20
0
0
1
2
7
5
15
7-11
64%
4-7
5-8
57%
61%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 31.4
21
25
9
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 24.1
11
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24.6
28
30
20
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
47%
2-5
40%
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
25
21
5
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
25
18
17
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
3-9
33%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24.4
20
11
7
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24.0
16
19
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mangok Mathiang
F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
3
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Paige
G · 6'0" 164 · 24.1
3
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
10
0
1-2
54%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.0
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.