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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 25, 2017
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets54%112105
1576ers46%111104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
41.4
33.7
27
61%
3
13
1
1
3
8
0
3
5-5
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
51%
2-8
25%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.8
39.9
29.6
29
57%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
10-12
83%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
5-16
31%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.1
36.0
25.5
8
50%
3
0
1
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.5
35.0
27.6
14
64%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
4-9
44%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 23.4
31.5
23.7
16
81%
20
2
1
1
4
2
6
14
2-2
100%
7-9
5-8
78%
61%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.5
32.2
26.8
3
38%
5
0
4
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.9
12.4
6.5
8
95%
3
2
2
0
2
1
1
2
4-5
80%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 23.1
7.5
7.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 26.4
4.0
19.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.8
6.9
0
1-1
48%
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 21.8
4.1
0
0-1
51%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 33.1
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 24.8
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.1
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 21.0
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.5
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
36.4
27.5
20
56%
6
1
2
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
4-12
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.3
34.1
30.5
22
67%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
47%
3-8
38%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.3
34.1
31.7
14
39%
7
9
3
1
1
4
2
5
0-2
0%
7-16
5-11
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.2
30.5
25.8
9
38%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
2-5
40%
Joel Embiid
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 23.6
25.0
23.9
21
69%
6
3
1
1
2
3
0
6
4-5
80%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
1-2
50%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.6
28.3
16.1
6
38%
5
9
6
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.9
18.7
6.8
8
57%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Dario Saric
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
16.9
21.9
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.5
16.2
15.4
4
33%
7
0
0
0
3
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
58%
0-1
0%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.3
11.6
0
1-2
47%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
11.3
0
1-2
47%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.9
9.5
0
2-4
51%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Jacob Pullen
· 6'1" 200 · 28.0
Richaun Holmes
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.8
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 209 · 19.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.