Final Win Prob. pScore
655%106
117
1845%104
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
125.89385.1
MIA logo Heat
106.494103.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA117
100
Q4 - 0:09.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)117
100
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Aldridge 20' Fadeaway Jumper117
100
Q4 - 0:32.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)117
100
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Dragic 22' Jump Shot117
100
Q4 - 0:44.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)117
100
Q4 - 0:46.0SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup117
100
Q4 - 0:59.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)117
100
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot117
100
Q4 - 1:14SASGreen 9' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)117
100
Q4 - 1:33MIAJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (21 PTS)115
100
Q4 - 1:38SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)115
98
Q4 - 1:52MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)112
98
Q4 - 1:52SASSUB: Paul FOR Ginobili112
97
Q4 - 1:52MIAHEAT Rebound112
97
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 2112
97
Q4 - 1:52SASMills P.FOUL (P1.PN) (N.Buchert)112
97
Q4 - 1:57SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)112
97
Q4 - 2:01SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)109
97
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 2109
97
Q4 - 2:06SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)109
97
Q4 - 2:06MIASUB: Winslow FOR Richardson108
97
Q4 - 2:06MIARichardson P.FOUL (P6.PN) (J.Goble)108
97
Q4 - 2:18MIAJohnson 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)108
97
Q4 - 2:28SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)108
95
Q4 - 2:28SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)107
95
Q4 - 2:28MIARichardson P.FOUL (P5.PN) (N.Buchert)106
95
Q4 - 2:41MIAJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)106
95
Q4 - 2:51SASAldridge Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T13)106
93
Q4 - 2:51SASAldridge OFF.Foul (P4) (N.Buchert)106
93
Q4 - 3:01MIAJohnson 1' Layup (17 PTS)106
93
Q4 - 3:18SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)106
91
Q4 - 3:35MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)104
91
Q4 - 3:35MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)104
90
Q4 - 3:35SASAldridge S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Goble)104
89
Q4 - 3:45SASAldridge 1' Layup (31 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)104
89
Q4 - 4:00MIAJohnson 1' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)102
89
Q4 - 4:06SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)102
87
Q4 - 4:06SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)101
87
Q4 - 4:06MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P4.T4) (M.McCutchen)100
87
Q4 - 4:13SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
87
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Waiters 1' Layup100
87
Q4 - 4:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)100
87
Q4 - 4:34SASAldridge 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)100
87
Q4 - 4:53SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Murray98
87
Q4 - 4:53SASSUB: Gay FOR Anderson98
87
Q4 - 4:54MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)98
87
Q4 - 5:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
87
Q4 - 5:05SASMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot98
87
Q4 - 5:33MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)98
87
Q4 - 5:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)98
84
Q4 - 5:38SASMISS Anderson 2' Layup98
84
Q4 - 5:46MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)98
84
Q4 - 5:54MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
84
Q4 - 5:58SASMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot98
84
Q4 - 6:21SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
84
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot98
84
Q4 - 6:30SASRichardson STEAL (3 STL)98
84
Q4 - 6:45SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)98
84
Q4 - 6:45MIARichardson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)98
84
Q4 - 6:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)98
82
Q4 - 6:50SASMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot98
82
Q4 - 7:07MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)98
82
Q4 - 7:07SASSUB: Mills FOR Paul98
81
Q4 - 7:07SASGreen S.FOUL (P3.T4) (M.McCutchen)98
81
Q4 - 7:07MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (20 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)98
81
Q4 - 7:18SASMurray P.FOUL (P3.T3) (J.Goble)98
79
Q4 - 7:26SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
79
Q4 - 7:26SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)97
79
Q4 - 7:26MIARichardson S.FOUL (P4.T3) (N.Buchert)96
79
Q4 - 7:36SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
79
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
79
Q4 - 7:59MIASUB: Dragic FOR Winslow96
79
Q4 - 7:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)96
79
Q4 - 8:03SASPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)96
79
Q4 - 8:08SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
79
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Richardson 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot93
79
Q4 - 8:27SASAldridge Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)93
79
Q4 - 8:42SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
79
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot93
79
Q4 - 8:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
79
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot93
79
Q4 - 9:07MIARichardson P.FOUL (P3.T2) (N.Buchert)93
79
Q4 - 9:14MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P3.T1) (N.Buchert)93
79
Q4 - 9:23MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
79
Q4 - 9:23SASSUB: Murray FOR Mills93
78
Q4 - 9:23MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
78
Q4 - 9:23SASAldridge S.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.McCutchen)93
77
Q4 - 9:33SASMills Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)93
77
Q4 - 9:42MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)93
77
Q4 - 9:42SASSUB: Aldridge FOR Gay93
76
Q4 - 9:42SASSUB: Anderson FOR Ginobili93
76
Q4 - 9:42MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)93
76
Q4 - 9:42SASPaul S.FOUL (P3.T1) (N.Buchert)93
75
Q4 - 9:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
75
Q4 - 9:44SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup93
75
Q4 - 10:00MIAJohnson Dunk (9 PTS)93
75
Q4 - 10:14SASGay 19' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
73
Q4 - 10:24SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
73
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Paul 1' Tip Dunk Shot91
73
Q4 - 10:25SASPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
73
Q4 - 10:30SASMISS Gay 6' Jump Shot91
73
Q4 - 10:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
73
Q4 - 10:48MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
73
Q4 - 11:06SASGay 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)91
73
Q4 - 11:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
73
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot88
73
Q4 - 11:36MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
73
Q4 - 11:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
73
Q4 - 12:0088
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
73
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGay 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
73
Q3 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Olynyk86
73
Q3 - 0:18.0MIASUB: White FOR Dragic86
73
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
73
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)86
73
Q3 - 0:18.0SASPaul P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Goble)86
71
Q3 - 0:21.0SASPaul P.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.McCutchen)86
71
Q3 - 0:34.0SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
71
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAOlynyk Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)83
71
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJump Ball Olynyk vs. Gay: Tip to Ginobili83
71
Q3 - 1:04SASGay 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)83
71
Q3 - 1:19MIADragic Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)81
71
Q3 - 1:19MIADragic OFF.Foul (P2) (M.McCutchen)81
71
Q3 - 1:32SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
71
Q3 - 1:53MIADragic Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)78
71
Q3 - 2:04SASGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)78
69
Q3 - 2:04MIASUB: Richardson FOR Waiters77
69
Q3 - 2:04MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Goble)77
69
Q3 - 2:04SASGay 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)77
69
Q3 - 2:19SASSUB: Green FOR Aldridge75
69
Q3 - 2:19SASSpurs Rebound75
69
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup75
69
Q3 - 2:40SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)75
69
Q3 - 2:40SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)74
69
Q3 - 2:40MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.McCutchen)73
69
Q3 - 2:57MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)73
69
Q3 - 3:01SASDragic STEAL (1 STL)73
66
Q3 - 3:02SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
66
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
66
Q3 - 3:19SASAldridge 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)73
66
Q3 - 3:38MIADragic 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 3:47SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)71
64
Q3 - 4:06MIAWinslow 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)69
64
Q3 - 4:17SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
62
Q3 - 4:17SASSUB: Paul FOR Anderson68
62
Q3 - 4:17MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson68
62
Q3 - 4:17SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
62
Q3 - 4:17MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Goble)67
62
Q3 - 4:26SASGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
62
Q3 - 4:32SASMISS Mills 18' Jump Shot67
62
Q3 - 4:46MIAOlynyk 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)67
62
Q3 - 4:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
60
Q3 - 4:57SASMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 267
60
Q3 - 4:57SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
60
Q3 - 4:57MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T3) (J.Goble)66
60
Q3 - 5:04SASSUB: Gay FOR Gasol66
60
Q3 - 5:04SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green66
60
Q3 - 5:04SASSUB: Mills FOR Murray66
60
Q3 - 5:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Adebayo66
60
Q3 - 5:04MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Richardson66
60
Q3 - 5:04MIARichardson P.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.McCutchen)66
60
Q3 - 5:04SASSpurs Rebound66
60
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Murray 12' Jump Bank Shot66
60
Q3 - 5:16SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
60
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
60
Q3 - 5:33MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
60
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot66
60
Q3 - 5:53SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
60
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
60
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)66
60
Q3 - 6:15SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)66
60
Q3 - 6:32MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)63
60
Q3 - 6:52SASGreen 3' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (7 PTS)63
60
Q3 - 7:13SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)61
60
Q3 - 7:13MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)61
60
Q3 - 7:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
57
Q3 - 7:25SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup61
57
Q3 - 7:40SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
57
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot61
57
Q3 - 7:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
57
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Dragic 11' Floating Jump Shot61
57
Q3 - 7:57MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
57
Q3 - 8:00SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot61
57
Q3 - 8:14MIAJohnson 1' Layup (7 PTS)61
57
Q3 - 8:28SASGasol 9' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)61
55
Q3 - 8:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
55
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
55
Q3 - 9:01MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
55
Q3 - 9:04SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 259
55
Q3 - 9:04SASSUB: Gasol FOR Ginobili59
55
Q3 - 9:04SASSUB: Green FOR Gay59
55
Q3 - 9:04SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
55
Q3 - 9:04MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P1.T1) (N.Buchert)58
55
Q3 - 9:11SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
55
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot58
55
Q3 - 9:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
55
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk58
55
Q3 - 9:34MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
55
Q3 - 9:36SASMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
55
Q3 - 9:56SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
55
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot58
55
Q3 - 10:12SASAldridge 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)58
55
Q3 - 10:28MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
55
Q3 - 10:28SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green56
54
Q3 - 10:28SASSUB: Gay FOR Gasol56
54
Q3 - 10:28MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
54
Q3 - 10:28SASGreen S.FOUL (P2.T2) (N.Buchert)56
53
Q3 - 10:31SASRichardson STEAL (2 STL)56
53
Q3 - 10:46MIAJohnson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
53
Q3 - 10:58SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)56
51
Q3 - 11:03SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
51
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Bank Shot56
51
Q3 - 11:19SASAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.McCutchen)56
51
Q3 - 11:19SASRichardson STEAL (1 STL)56
51
Q3 - 11:32SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
51
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Layup56
51
Q3 - 12:0056
51
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS56
51
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSpurs Rebound56
51
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 19' Running Jump Shot56
51
Q2 - 0:04.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
51
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
51
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Aldridge 21' Jump Shot56
51
Q2 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson56
51
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T4)56
51
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P2) (M.McCutchen)56
51
Q2 - 0:49.0SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
51
Q2 - 0:49.0SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
51
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P3.PN) (N.Buchert)54
51
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)54
51
Q2 - 1:08SASGay Layup (4 PTS)54
51
Q2 - 1:12SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
51
Q2 - 1:12SASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)52
51
Q2 - 1:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
51
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Tip Layup Shot52
51
Q2 - 1:17MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
51
Q2 - 1:20SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
51
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Tip Layup Shot52
51
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Waiters Layup52
51
Q2 - 1:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
51
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Layup52
51
Q2 - 1:47SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
51
Q2 - 1:47MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)52
51
Q2 - 1:57MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
49
Q2 - 2:01SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
49
Q2 - 2:14MIAWaiters 1' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)52
49
Q2 - 2:36SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)52
47
Q2 - 2:36MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Goble)51
47
Q2 - 2:36SASAldridge 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
47
Q2 - 2:48SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
47
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Step Back Jump Shot49
47
Q2 - 3:11SASGasol 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)49
47
Q2 - 3:22SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
47
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot47
47
Q2 - 3:38SASSUB: Gay FOR Green47
47
Q2 - 3:38SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN) (N.Buchert)47
47
Q2 - 3:57SASGasol 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Green 3 AST)47
47
Q2 - 4:08MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)45
47
Q2 - 4:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
44
Q2 - 4:17SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot45
44
Q2 - 4:28SASSUB: Green FOR Murray45
44
Q2 - 4:28SASSUB: Gasol FOR Paul45
44
Q2 - 4:28SASSUB: Mills FOR Anderson45
44
Q2 - 4:28SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
44
Q2 - 4:34MIAWaiters 13' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
44
Q2 - 4:41SASGinobili Personal Block Foul (P1.T4) (J.Goble)45
42
Q2 - 4:51SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green45
42
Q2 - 4:51MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Winslow45
42
Q2 - 4:51SASMurray Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)45
42
Q2 - 4:51SASMurray Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3) (J.Goble)45
42
Q2 - 5:04MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)45
42
Q2 - 5:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
42
Q2 - 5:18SASMISS Aldridge Alley Oop Layup45
42
Q2 - 5:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
42
Q2 - 5:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
41
Q2 - 5:35SASAldridge S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Goble)45
40
Q2 - 5:43SASGreen P.FOUL (P1.T1) (N.Buchert)45
40
Q2 - 5:53SASAldridge 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS) (Green 2 AST)45
40
Q2 - 6:14MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)43
40
Q2 - 6:30SASAnderson 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
37
Q2 - 6:43SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
37
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
37
Q2 - 7:07MIASUB: Waiters FOR Ellington41
37
Q2 - 7:07MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson41
37
Q2 - 7:07MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
37
Q2 - 7:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
37
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot41
37
Q2 - 7:27SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
37
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Winslow 12' Pullup Jump Shot41
37
Q2 - 7:57SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)41
37
Q2 - 8:04SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
37
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
37
Q2 - 8:19SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
37
Q2 - 8:19SASSpurs Rebound37
37
Q2 - 8:19SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 237
37
Q2 - 8:19MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.McCutchen)37
37
Q2 - 8:30SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
37
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot37
37
Q2 - 8:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
37
Q2 - 8:51SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 237
37
Q2 - 8:51MIASUB: Johnson FOR Olynyk37
37
Q2 - 8:51SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)37
37
Q2 - 8:51MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P2.T4) (N.Buchert)36
37
Q2 - 9:09SASSpurs Rebound36
37
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot36
37
Q2 - 9:11MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
37
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot36
37
Q2 - 9:31MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
37
Q2 - 9:33SASMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 236
37
Q2 - 9:33SASSUB: Aldridge FOR Gay36
37
Q2 - 9:33SASSUB: Murray FOR Mills36
37
Q2 - 9:33SASPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
37
Q2 - 9:33MIAEllington S.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Goble)35
37
Q2 - 9:43MIAEllington P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Goble)35
37
Q2 - 9:59MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)35
37
Q2 - 10:17SASAnderson 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)35
35
Q2 - 10:38MIAJohnson Running Dunk (13 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 10:44SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)33
33
Q2 - 10:53MIAOlynyk No Turnover (P1.T1)33
33
Q2 - 10:53MIAOlynyk L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.McCutchen)33
33
Q2 - 11:02SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili33
33
Q2 - 11:02SASSUB: Anderson FOR Gasol33
33
Q2 - 11:02SASGay Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)33
33
Q2 - 11:07SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
33
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Olynyk 17' Jump Shot33
33
Q2 - 11:31SASPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)33
33
Q2 - 11:51MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)30
33
Q2 - 12:0030
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
30
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
30
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
30
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)30
30
Q1 - 0:19.0SASGasol S.FOUL (P2.PN) (N.Buchert)30
29
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
29
Q1 - 0:31.0SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)30
27
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
27
Q1 - 0:44.0SASSUB: Paul FOR Forbes28
26
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
26
Q1 - 0:44.0SASForbes S.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Goble)28
25
Q1 - 0:55.0SASGay Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)28
25
Q1 - 1:05SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
25
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Winslow 1' Cutting Layup Shot28
25
Q1 - 1:25MIASUB: Ellington FOR Waiters28
25
Q1 - 1:25MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic28
25
Q1 - 1:25SASGasol Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T1)28
25
Q1 - 1:25SASGasol Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2) (M.McCutchen)28
25
Q1 - 1:41MIAWaiters 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)28
25
Q1 - 1:47MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
23
Q1 - 1:51SASMISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
23
Q1 - 2:01SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
23
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
23
Q1 - 2:15MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
23
Q1 - 2:18SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
23
Q1 - 2:40MIAOlynyk 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)28
23
Q1 - 2:47SASSUB: Gasol FOR Aldridge28
20
Q1 - 2:47MIAHEAT Rebound28
20
Q1 - 2:47MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup28
20
Q1 - 2:56SASAldridge 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)28
20
Q1 - 3:11MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)26
20
Q1 - 3:34SASGinobili 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)26
17
Q1 - 3:50SASSUB: Forbes FOR Anderson24
17
Q1 - 3:50SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
17
Q1 - 3:51MIADragic 19' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
17
Q1 - 4:12MIASUB: Winslow FOR Richardson24
15
Q1 - 4:12SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
15
Q1 - 4:12SASSUB: Mills FOR Green23
15
Q1 - 4:12SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Murray23
15
Q1 - 4:12MIASUB: Johnson FOR Johnson23
15
Q1 - 4:12MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Adebayo23
15
Q1 - 4:12SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
15
Q1 - 4:12MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P2.T4) (N.Buchert)22
15
Q1 - 4:19SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
15
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Waiters 16' Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 4:47SASAldridge 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
15
Q1 - 5:11MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)20
15
Q1 - 5:16MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13
Q1 - 5:21SASMISS Murray 11' Turnaround Jump Shot20
13
Q1 - 5:25SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
13
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
13
Q1 - 5:45SASAldridge 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)20
13
Q1 - 6:00SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
13
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Green 35' 3PT Jump Shot18
13
Q1 - 6:32MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)18
13
Q1 - 6:45SASSUB: Gay FOR Gasol18
11
Q1 - 6:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
11
Q1 - 6:45SASGreen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
11
Q1 - 6:55SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup16
11
Q1 - 7:10SASAldridge 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)16
11
Q1 - 7:30MIADragic 9' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
11
Q1 - 7:43SASAnderson 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
9
Q1 - 7:50MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.McCutchen)11
9
Q1 - 7:59MIADragic 20' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 8:09SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
7
Q1 - 8:09SASSpurs Rebound10
7
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 210
7
Q1 - 8:09MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (N.Buchert)10
7
Q1 - 8:10SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 8:33SASAldridge 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 8:49MIADragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 8:57SASAnderson 7' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 8:58SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:02SASMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 9:17MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 9:32SASMurray P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.McCutchen)6
2
Q1 - 9:33MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:39SASAdebayo BLOCK (1 BLK)6
2
Q1 - 9:47SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:08SASAldridge 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 10:18SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:27SASGasol 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:27SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:35SASMISS Gasol Cutting Layup Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:37SASSpurs Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:04MIADragic 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:29SASGasol 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P1.T1) (N.Buchert)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Adebayo vs. Gasol: Tip to Aldridge0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.29 64.3%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
24
58%
MIA
19
29
66%
Midrange
SAS
18
35
51%
MIA
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
17
59%
88%
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
SAS
23
30
77%
MIA
17
18
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge3167%15.5 / 23
R. Gay2292%11.0 / 12
D. Green15107%7.5 / 7
M. Ginobili1458%7.0 / 12
P. Gasol1365%6.5 / 10
K. Anderson1255%6.0 / 11
B. Paul788%3.5 / 4
P. Mills338%1.5 / 4
D. Murray0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2377%11.5 / 15
J. Johnson2166%10.5 / 16
G. Dragic2063%10.0 / 16
D. Waiters1750%8.5 / 17
J. Richardson630%3.0 / 9
K. Olynyk583%2.5 / 4
B. Adebayo433%2.0 / 6
J. Winslow440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+11
-13
91
MIA
85
+5
-9
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.29 64.3%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.6
SAS 125.8 +19.4
MIA 106.4
Pace
95.3
95.8
SAS 85.1
MIA 103.6 +18.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.3
SAS 16.9
MIA 13.9 −3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
52.0%
SAS 61.8% +9.9%
MIA 51.9%
TO %
13.3%
14.1%
SAS 12.7%
MIA 9.3% −3.4%
ORB %
23.6%
21.5%
SAS 22.2% +12.2%
MIA 10.0%
FTrt
24.5
22.9
SAS 39.5 +17.0
MIA 22.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
58.5%
SAS 42.9%
MIA 51.4% +8.5%
STL %
8.0%
7.8%
SAS 6.5% +0.1%
MIA 6.4%
BLK %
9.7%
9.3%
SAS 5.6% +2.2%
MIA 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
53.5%
SAS 64.3% +9.4%
MIA 54.9%
Rim FG%
61.2%
60.6%
SAS 58.3%
MIA 65.5% +7.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
38.4%
SAS 51.4% +15.4%
MIA 36.0%
3P %
35.2%
36.0%
SAS 58.8% +24.2%
MIA 34.6%
FT %
77.2%
75.5%
SAS 76.7%
MIA 94.4% +17.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
35.8%
SAS 31.6%
MIA 36.3% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
39.5%
28.4%
SAS 46.1%
MIA 31.3% −14.8%
3P Att. %
28.2%
35.8%
SAS 22.4%
MIA 32.5% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points117100
Rebounds4432
Assists1819
Steals66
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (0)
Fouls2025
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)28 (0)
Field Goals42-7637-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2419-29
Midrange FG18-359-25
2-Point FG32-5928-54
3-Point FG10-179-26
Free Throws23-3017-18
Fast Break Pts19
2nd Chance Pts163
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers1217
Bench Points4632
Biggest Lead203

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 260 · 32
38.1
31
67%
7
1
2
1
2
4
1
6
6-7
86%
11-19
58%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 30
34.7
15
107%
7
3
0
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
27.3
12
55%
10
2
1
0
0
1
1
9
4-6
67%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 180 · 21
24.3
0
0%
3
3
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 37
19.0
13
65%
9
0
1
1
3
2
1
8
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 31
26.5
22
92%
3
4
2
0
3
0
2
1
9-11
82%
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
25.9
3
38%
1
4
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 40
21.8
14
58%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
19.3
7
88%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25
G · 6'4" 190 · 23
#24 · G · 6'6" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
64%
44
18
6
3
13
20
8
36
23-30
77%
32-59
54%
10-17
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.