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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 25, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies59%10894
22Mavericks41%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.7
37.2
34.8
26
70%
11
4
2
1
0
2
2
9
3-8
38%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
5-7
71%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.0
35.3
29.8
21
60%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
4-6
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
3-8
38%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
33.8
29.3
8
59%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.4
22.9
20.8
7
58%
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
21.8
18.5
7
47%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
0-3
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
27.8
24.0
4
40%
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.4
25.3
21.9
8
39%
4
0
0
1
0
6
0
4
2-3
67%
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.1
25.1
21.6
13
73%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
10.8
13.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
15.3
0
1-3
51%
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.3
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.7
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.9
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.1
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.2
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.3
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.0
41.2
31.4
16
74%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
3-4
75%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.4
38.0
31.7
15
44%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
6-9
67%
3-9
5-10
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 19.9
28.4
28.4
19
74%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.4
24.6
24.1
13
57%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-3
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.5
20.2
16.5
8
68%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.5
29.3
33.4
10
68%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
2-6
67%
42%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.3
24.6
17.1
2
33%
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.3
19.1
22.7
14
64%
5
4
2
0
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.7
10.4
8.5
6
39%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.5
4.2
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
6.7
0
1-1
50%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.6
5.2
0
1-1
52%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.4
5.0
0
1-1
60%
Gian Clavell
· 6'4" 185 · 23.9
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.5
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.