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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
October 26, 2017
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Clippers54%113104
10Trail Blazers46%112103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.6
40.4
32.5
25
64%
8
5
1
1
0
3
2
6
3-8
38%
8-11
6-12
73%
50%
2-5
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.2
38.4
33.7
16
48%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
8-8
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
0-5
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.3
38.3
33.2
7
41%
18
1
0
1
3
0
5
13
3-6
50%
2-6
5-8
33%
67%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
34.5
31.6
16
63%
1
0
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
3-5
60%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.3
34.3
33.4
13
52%
7
0
1
2
0
3
5
2
0-1
0%
5-7
3-6
71%
45%
1-5
20%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.0
18.5
20.8
13
66%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
14.8
15.3
3
30%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 27.4
8.5
12.2
5
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Sindarius Thornwell
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
8.5
5.4
6
80%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
3.8
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Jawun Evans
G · 6'0" 190 · 21.3
6.4
0
0-1
41%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
4.5
0
1-1
59%
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Milos Teodosic
G · 6'5" 196 · 30.6
Jamil Wilson
· 6'7" 230 · 26.9
C.J. Williams
F-G · 6'5" 230 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.1
38.9
32.7
23
55%
5
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
5-7
71%
6-15
6-12
40%
49%
2-3
67%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.3
38.3
33.6
25
57%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
48%
4-9
44%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
35.7
25.8
13
60%
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
32.8
26.7
19
80%
6
2
3
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
5-8
63%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.2
27.2
23.5
12
50%
8
1
0
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
21.8
17.9
1
6%
10
0
0
0
0
1
7
3
1-2
50%
0-7
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
21.8
28.8
4
33%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
10.6
22.0
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
8.3
6.4
3
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.5
4.7
12.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.7
6.6
0
0-1
49%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 19.9
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.6
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.6
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.2
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.