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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
October 28, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Celtics51%10796
19Heat49%10690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.4
34.0
31.6
12
50%
9
3
1
1
0
2
1
8
6-7
86%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
0-2
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.6
33.5
32.6
24
50%
4
3
3
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
49%
2-8
25%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.0
31.8
32.5
6
31%
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
4-6
67%
1-5
4-8
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.7
31.5
29.0
20
83%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
6-7
86%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
2-2
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
24.5
20.6
6
77%
5
1
1
0
4
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.6
26.9
29.7
16
62%
4
4
2
2
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
2-6
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
25.3
24.5
4
22%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.6
15.1
16.6
8
67%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.1
10.6
10.4
0
0%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
6.9
13.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.1
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.3
3.6
0
0-1
44%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.8
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
36.4
33.3
22
67%
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
8-11
6-12
73%
50%
1-4
25%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
35.8
33.4
16
67%
0
3
0
1
1
6
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
2-5
40%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
32.6
29.6
16
55%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
54%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.3
24.3
11.3
6
61%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
24.1
31.6
5
31%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
23.7
19.5
14
67%
9
1
1
1
3
4
2
7
7-8
88%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.6
23.1
23.7
6
43%
12
3
1
1
2
1
3
9
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.5
22.8
28.7
2
17%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
17.1
13.2
3
21%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-6
17%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
23.6
1
2-3
47%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
7.8
0
1-2
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.4
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
1.4
0
0-0
44%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.4
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.0
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.