Final Win Prob. pScore
1740%110
94
1260%113
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
98.995100.7
DEN logo Nuggets
102.29388.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
95
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound94
95
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Waiters 23' Pullup Jump Shot94
95
Q4 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Adebayo94
95
Q4 - 0:11.0DENSUB: Mudiay FOR Plumlee94
95
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.8 Short 0)94
95
Q4 - 0:11.0DENMillsap Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)94
95
Q4 - 0:11.0DENMillsap Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)94
94
Q4 - 0:11.0DENMillsap Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)94
93
Q4 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Johnson94
92
Q4 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Johnson94
92
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P6.PN) (K.Scott)94
92
Q4 - 0:23.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)94
92
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Rebound93
92
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 293
92
Q4 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington93
92
Q4 - 0:23.0DENChandler Personal Take Foul (P3.PN) (J.Sterling)93
92
Q4 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Whiteside93
92
Q4 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR Johnson93
92
Q4 - 0:24.0DENSUB: Plumlee FOR Jokic93
92
Q4 - 0:24.0DENJokic P.FOUL (P4.T2) (J.Capers)93
92
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 0)93
92
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
92
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 293
92
Q4 - 0:26.0MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson93
92
Q4 - 0:26.0DENNUGGETS Rebound93
92
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 293
92
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P5.PN) (K.Scott)93
92
Q4 - 0:30.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic93
92
Q4 - 0:30.0DENSUB: Jokic FOR Plumlee93
92
Q4 - 0:30.0DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 0)93
92
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWaiters 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)93
92
Q4 - 0:47.0DENSUB: Plumlee FOR Jokic91
92
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)91
92
Q4 - 0:47.0DENHarris 11' Hook Shot (10 PTS)91
92
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAWhiteside Violation:Kicked Ball (J.Sterling)91
90
Q4 - 0:56.0DENNUGGETS Rebound91
90
Q4 - 0:56.0DENMISS Barton 4' Layup91
90
Q4 - 1:09DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
90
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot91
90
Q4 - 1:26MIAJokic STEAL (4 STL)91
90
Q4 - 1:26DENJump Ball Jokic vs. Whiteside: Tip to Chandler91
90
Q4 - 1:48DENMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
90
Q4 - 1:48DENNUGGETS Rebound91
89
Q4 - 1:48DENMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 291
89
Q4 - 1:48MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Capers)91
89
Q4 - 1:48DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
89
Q4 - 1:49DENMISS Millsap 5' Driving Layup91
89
Q4 - 2:11DENSUB: Barton FOR Mudiay91
89
Q4 - 2:11DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)91
89
Q4 - 2:12MIARichardson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)91
89
Q4 - 2:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
89
Q4 - 2:17DENMISS Mudiay 17' Step Back Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 2:43MIAWhiteside 2' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)88
89
Q4 - 2:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
89
Q4 - 2:55DENMISS Mudiay 4' Layup86
89
Q4 - 3:03MIADragic P.FOUL (P5.T4) (J.Sterling)86
89
Q4 - 3:23MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)86
89
Q4 - 3:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
89
Q4 - 3:40DENMISS Mudiay 14' Pullup Jump Shot83
89
Q4 - 3:53DENNUGGETS Rebound83
89
Q4 - 3:54DENMISS Jokic 13' Jump Shot83
89
Q4 - 4:04DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)83
89
Q4 - 4:04MIAWaiters 3' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)83
89
Q4 - 4:11DENChandler 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS)81
89
Q4 - 4:38MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)81
87
Q4 - 4:53MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
87
Q4 - 4:56DENMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot78
87
Q4 - 5:01DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
87
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot78
87
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson78
87
Q4 - 5:12DENSUB: Jokic FOR Barton78
87
Q4 - 5:24DENMudiay 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)78
87
Q4 - 5:41MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T22)78
85
Q4 - 5:43DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)78
85
Q4 - 5:48MIABarton STEAL (2 STL)78
85
Q4 - 5:53DENMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)78
85
Q4 - 6:14MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)78
85
Q4 - 6:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
85
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 6:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
85
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Layup76
85
Q4 - 6:45DENMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)76
85
Q4 - 7:02MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T20)76
85
Q4 - 7:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
85
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 7:18MIASUB: Waiters FOR Winslow76
85
Q4 - 7:18MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Olynyk76
85
Q4 - 7:18MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington76
85
Q4 - 7:18DENSUB: Millsap FOR Jokic76
85
Q4 - 7:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)76
85
Q4 - 7:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
85
Q4 - 7:24DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 276
85
Q4 - 7:24DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
85
Q4 - 7:24MIADragic Shooting Block Foul (P4.T3) (K.Scott)76
84
Q4 - 7:32MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson76
84
Q4 - 7:32DENSUB: Harris FOR Beasley76
84
Q4 - 7:32MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Sterling)76
84
Q4 - 7:34DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
84
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper76
84
Q4 - 7:59DENMudiay 2' Running Dunk (9 PTS)76
84
Q4 - 8:00DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
82
Q4 - 8:02MIAMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)76
82
Q4 - 8:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
82
Q4 - 8:17DENMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
82
Q4 - 8:34DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
82
Q4 - 8:34MIARichardson 3' Layup (4 PTS)76
82
Q4 - 8:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
82
Q4 - 8:40DENMISS Jokic 5' Layup74
82
Q4 - 8:49DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)74
82
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 9:00MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
82
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Chandler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 9:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
82
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 9:35MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
82
Q4 - 9:37DENMISS Barton 2' Driving Layup74
82
Q4 - 9:46DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
82
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 274
82
Q4 - 9:50MIAHeat Rebound74
82
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 274
82
Q4 - 9:50DENBeasley S.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Capers)74
82
Q4 - 9:52MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
82
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Winslow 2' Alley Oop Layup74
82
Q4 - 9:52MIAHeat Rebound74
82
Q4 - 9:52MIAJokic BLOCK (1 BLK)74
82
Q4 - 10:19DENJokic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)74
82
Q4 - 10:33MIAOlynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)74
79
Q4 - 10:47DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)71
79
Q4 - 10:53DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)71
76
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot71
76
Q4 - 11:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
76
Q4 - 11:08DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
76
Q4 - 11:18MIAOlynyk Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)71
76
Q4 - 11:23MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
76
Q4 - 11:26DENMISS Mudiay 18' Jump Shot71
76
Q4 - 11:31MIAEllington P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)71
76
Q4 - 11:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
76
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Richardson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot71
76
Q4 - 12:0071
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound71
76
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Olynyk 42' 3PT Jump Shot71
76
Q3 - 0:02.0DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
76
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
76
Q3 - 0:06.0DENMISS Plumlee 1' Tip Layup Shot71
76
Q3 - 0:06.0DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
76
Q3 - 0:26.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
76
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAPlumlee BLOCK (1 BLK)71
76
Q3 - 0:46.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
76
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Chandler 4' Cutting Layup Shot71
76
Q3 - 1:06DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
76
Q3 - 1:10MIAHarris BLOCK (2 BLK)71
76
Q3 - 1:33DENMudiay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)71
76
Q3 - 1:42MIAJohnson Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T18)71
74
Q3 - 1:42MIAJohnson Offensive Charge Foul (P4.PN) (J.Sterling)71
74
Q3 - 1:48DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
74
Q3 - 1:48MIASUB: Winslow FOR Dragic71
73
Q3 - 1:48DENSUB: Chandler FOR Millsap71
73
Q3 - 1:48DENNUGGETS Rebound71
73
Q3 - 1:48DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 271
73
Q3 - 1:48MIADragic S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Sterling)71
73
Q3 - 1:57DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
73
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Olynyk 3PT Jump Shot71
73
Q3 - 2:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
73
Q3 - 2:13DENMISS Millsap 15' Jump Shot71
73
Q3 - 2:27MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
73
Q3 - 2:45MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
73
Q3 - 2:45DENMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 168
73
Q3 - 2:45MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Scott)68
73
Q3 - 2:45DENMillsap 3' Putback Layup (23 PTS)68
73
Q3 - 2:45DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
71
Q3 - 2:45DENMISS Millsap 3' Cutting Layup Shot68
71
Q3 - 2:58MIASUB: Richardson FOR Waiters68
71
Q3 - 2:58MIAOlynyk Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)68
71
Q3 - 3:11DENBarton 6' Running Layup (9 PTS)68
71
Q3 - 3:17DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
69
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Dragic 10' Running Layup68
69
Q3 - 3:41DENMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
69
Q3 - 3:41DENMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 3:41MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Scott)68
67
Q3 - 3:47DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
67
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 4:09DENPlumlee 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)68
67
Q3 - 4:20MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)68
65
Q3 - 4:20DENSUB: Mudiay FOR Murray67
65
Q3 - 4:20DENMurray S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Capers)67
65
Q3 - 4:20MIADragic 3' Layup (21 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)67
65
Q3 - 4:22DENMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)65
65
Q3 - 4:35MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)65
65
Q3 - 4:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
65
Q3 - 4:48DENMISS Harris 4' Driving Layup65
65
Q3 - 4:58MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
65
Q3 - 4:58DENSUB: Barton FOR Chandler64
65
Q3 - 4:58DENSUB: Plumlee FOR Jokic64
65
Q3 - 4:58MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
65
Q3 - 4:58DENMillsap S.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Scott)63
65
Q3 - 5:14MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Whiteside63
65
Q3 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound63
65
Q3 - 5:15DENMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
65
Q3 - 5:31DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
65
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot63
65
Q3 - 5:42MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)63
65
Q3 - 5:54DENJokic 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)63
65
Q3 - 6:06MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)63
63
Q3 - 6:25DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)63
63
Q3 - 6:30MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T4) (K.Scott)63
60
Q3 - 6:42MIASUB: Johnson FOR White63
60
Q3 - 6:42MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson63
60
Q3 - 6:42DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
60
Q3 - 6:42MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Sterling)63
60
Q3 - 6:48DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)63
60
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Richardson 19' Pullup Jump Shot63
60
Q3 - 7:11DENMillsap 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (19 PTS)63
60
Q3 - 7:29DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)63
58
Q3 - 7:31MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)63
58
Q3 - 7:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
58
Q3 - 7:52DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
58
Q3 - 7:58DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
58
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
58
Q3 - 8:09MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
58
Q3 - 8:13DENMISS Millsap 3' Layup63
58
Q3 - 8:28DENNUGGETS Rebound63
58
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
58
Q3 - 8:37MIAHeat Rebound63
58
Q3 - 8:37MIAHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)63
58
Q3 - 8:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
58
Q3 - 8:55DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
58
Q3 - 9:01MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)63
58
Q3 - 9:18DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)63
58
Q3 - 9:29MIAWhite Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)63
55
Q3 - 9:29DENJokic S.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Scott)62
55
Q3 - 9:29MIAWhite 3' Putback Layup (7 PTS)62
55
Q3 - 9:29MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
55
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
55
Q3 - 9:45DENChandler P.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Capers)60
55
Q3 - 9:52MIADragic Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)60
55
Q3 - 9:52DENHarris T.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)59
55
Q3 - 9:52DENHarris Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T13)59
55
Q3 - 9:52DENHarris Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (K.Scott)59
55
Q3 - 9:54DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
55
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Dragic 16' Fadeaway Jumper59
55
Q3 - 10:19DENMillsap 2' Layup (17 PTS)59
55
Q3 - 10:27DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
53
Q3 - 10:31MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Jump Shot59
53
Q3 - 10:43DENJokic P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Sterling)59
53
Q3 - 10:44DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)59
53
Q3 - 10:49MIARichardson P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Sterling)59
53
Q3 - 10:55DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)59
53
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 259
53
Q3 - 10:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
53
Q3 - 10:58DENJokic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Scott)58
53
Q3 - 11:12DENMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
53
Q3 - 11:12DENMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
52
Q3 - 11:12MIAWhite S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)58
51
Q3 - 11:31MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)58
51
Q3 - 11:42MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
51
Q3 - 11:45DENMISS Chandler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot58
51
Q3 - 12:0058
51
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
51
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
51
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Murray 8' Turnaround Jump Shot58
51
Q2 - 0:11.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
51
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMurray P.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Capers)55
51
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
51
Q2 - 0:38.0DENMISS Murray 3' Running Layup55
51
Q2 - 0:50.0DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
51
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
51
Q2 - 1:07MIASUB: Richardson FOR Waiters55
51
Q2 - 1:10DENChandler Backcourt Turnover (P1.T11)55
51
Q2 - 1:16DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)55
51
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
51
Q2 - 1:34DENMillsap 3' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)55
51
Q2 - 1:51MIADragic 13' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)55
49
Q2 - 2:02DENJokic 3' Layup (14 PTS)53
49
Q2 - 2:04DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)53
47
Q2 - 2:07DENMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot53
47
Q2 - 2:22MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
47
Q2 - 2:34DENMurray P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)50
47
Q2 - 2:44MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
47
Q2 - 2:50DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot50
47
Q2 - 2:55MIAJokic STEAL (3 STL)50
47
Q2 - 2:59MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
47
Q2 - 3:01DENMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
47
Q2 - 3:15MIAWaiters 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)50
47
Q2 - 3:28MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
47
Q2 - 3:30DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
47
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
47
Q2 - 3:31DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 248
47
Q2 - 3:31MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Whiteside48
47
Q2 - 3:31DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
47
Q2 - 3:31MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Sterling)48
46
Q2 - 3:56DENMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)48
46
Q2 - 4:01DENSUB: Jokic FOR Barton48
43
Q2 - 4:01MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Sterling)48
43
Q2 - 4:14MIAJohnson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)48
43
Q2 - 4:19DENMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)46
43
Q2 - 4:39MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)46
43
Q2 - 4:52DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
43
Q2 - 4:52DENNUGGETS Rebound43
42
Q2 - 4:52DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 243
42
Q2 - 4:52MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Capers)43
42
Q2 - 4:59MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)43
42
Q2 - 5:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
42
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Millsap 7' Layup43
42
Q2 - 5:15DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
42
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
42
Q2 - 5:35DENSUB: Murray FOR Mudiay43
42
Q2 - 5:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)43
42
Q2 - 5:43DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)43
42
Q2 - 5:46MIAMillsap STEAL (2 STL)43
39
Q2 - 6:08DENMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)43
39
Q2 - 6:16MIASUB: Waiters FOR Olynyk43
36
Q2 - 6:16MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Johnson43
36
Q2 - 6:16DENSUB: Chandler FOR Faried43
36
Q2 - 6:16MIAOlynyk Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)43
36
Q2 - 6:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
36
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot43
36
Q2 - 6:35MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
36
Q2 - 6:38DENMISS Barton 4' Layup43
36
Q2 - 6:45DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
36
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot43
36
Q2 - 6:53MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
36
Q2 - 6:54DENMISS Harris 11' Jump Shot43
36
Q2 - 7:19MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson43
36
Q2 - 7:19DENSUB: Millsap FOR Beasley43
36
Q2 - 7:19DENSUB: Harris FOR Jokic43
36
Q2 - 7:19DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
36
Q2 - 7:19MIAJohnson 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)43
36
Q2 - 7:23DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
36
Q2 - 7:33DENNUGGETS Rebound41
36
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Olynyk 19' Jump Shot41
36
Q2 - 7:44MIASUB: Ellington FOR Winslow41
36
Q2 - 7:44DENBeasley Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T8)41
36
Q2 - 7:44DENBeasley Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1) (J.Sterling)41
36
Q2 - 8:03DENMudiay Violation:Defensive Goaltending (.)41
36
Q2 - 8:03MIAJohnson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)41
36
Q2 - 8:06DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)39
36
Q2 - 8:17DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
36
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 8:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
36
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 8:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
36
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Mudiay 18' Pullup Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 9:04MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
36
Q2 - 9:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
36
Q2 - 9:11DENBarton 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)39
36
Q2 - 9:16DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
34
Q2 - 9:16DENMISS Barton 3' Layup39
34
Q2 - 9:17DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
34
Q2 - 9:19DENMISS Barton 4' Layup39
34
Q2 - 9:34MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)39
34
Q2 - 9:52DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 9:52DENNUGGETS Rebound39
33
Q2 - 9:52DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 239
33
Q2 - 9:52MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)39
33
Q2 - 9:54MIABarton STEAL (1 STL)39
33
Q2 - 10:09DENMudiay 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 10:34MIAOlynyk 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)39
31
Q2 - 11:00DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)37
31
Q2 - 11:02DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)37
28
Q2 - 11:06DENMISS Faried 8' Running Layup37
28
Q2 - 11:25MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)37
28
Q2 - 11:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
28
Q2 - 11:37DENMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 237
28
Q2 - 11:37DENNUGGETS Rebound37
28
Q2 - 11:37DENMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 237
28
Q2 - 11:37MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Sterling)37
28
Q2 - 12:0037
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA37
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA37
28
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
28
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Jokic 28' 3PT Jump Shot37
28
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)37
28
Q1 - 0:30.0DENMudiay 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
28
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
26
Q1 - 0:55.0DENPlumlee Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)31
26
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAJokic STEAL (2 STL)31
26
Q1 - 1:09MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
26
Q1 - 1:12DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
26
Q1 - 1:21MIAJokic STEAL (1 STL)31
26
Q1 - 1:33DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
26
Q1 - 1:36DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
26
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26
Q1 - 1:52DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)31
26
Q1 - 1:52DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)31
24
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Plumlee 4' Layup31
24
Q1 - 1:59DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
24
Q1 - 2:01DENMISS Jokic 5' Layup31
24
Q1 - 2:24MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)31
24
Q1 - 2:44MIASUB: Winslow FOR Waiters28
24
Q1 - 2:44MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic28
24
Q1 - 2:44DENSUB: Chandler FOR Harris28
24
Q1 - 2:44DENSUB: Jokic FOR Millsap28
24
Q1 - 2:44DENPlumlee Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
24
Q1 - 2:44DENPlumlee Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (J.Sterling)28
24
Q1 - 2:46DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
24
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Waiters 3' Layup28
24
Q1 - 3:07DENMillsap 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)28
24
Q1 - 3:24MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)28
22
Q1 - 3:39DENPlumlee 4' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)25
22
Q1 - 3:46MIADragic 5' Driving Layup (10 PTS)25
20
Q1 - 3:55DENMillsap P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)23
20
Q1 - 4:12DENHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
20
Q1 - 4:29MIAOlynyk Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)23
20
Q1 - 4:29MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
20
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 4:37MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Whiteside23
20
Q1 - 4:37MIASUB: Johnson FOR White23
20
Q1 - 4:37DENSUB: Mudiay FOR Murray23
20
Q1 - 4:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
20
Q1 - 4:47DENMillsap 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 5:14MIAWhite 13' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)23
18
Q1 - 5:29DENMurray Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
18
Q1 - 5:50MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson21
18
Q1 - 5:50DENSUB: Plumlee FOR Chandler21
18
Q1 - 5:50DENSUB: Barton FOR Jokic21
18
Q1 - 5:50MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Capers)21
18
Q1 - 5:51MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)21
18
Q1 - 6:02DENJokic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)21
18
Q1 - 6:04DENMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
15
Q1 - 6:08DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15
Q1 - 6:23MIARichardson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 6:43DENChandler 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)19
15
Q1 - 6:49MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)19
13
Q1 - 6:55DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
13
Q1 - 6:56MIAWhiteside 12' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)19
13
Q1 - 7:16DENMillsap 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)17
13
Q1 - 7:33MIAWhite 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)17
11
Q1 - 7:54DENMillsap 5' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)14
11
Q1 - 8:21MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)14
9
Q1 - 8:38DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)11
9
Q1 - 8:38DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
7
Q1 - 8:44DENMISS Chandler 3' Layup11
7
Q1 - 9:06MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)11
7
Q1 - 9:17DENChandler P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Sterling)8
7
Q1 - 9:27DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 9:27MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Sterling)8
6
Q1 - 9:27DENJokic 4' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:43MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)8
4
Q1 - 10:05DENJokic 5' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:12MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)6
2
Q1 - 10:19DENNUGGETS Rebound6
2
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:34DENHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 10:46MIADragic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 10:47MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:50DENMISS Murray 5' Layup4
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAWhiteside 2' Dunk (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:19DENHarris 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:45MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Millsap vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
DEN
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
20
80%
DEN
19
37
51%
Midrange
MIA
5
20
25%
DEN
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
DEN
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
7
11
64%
DEN
14
25
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2372%11.5 / 16
D. Waiters1563%7.5 / 12
J. Johnson15107%7.5 / 7
H. Whiteside1365%6.5 / 10
O. White880%4.0 / 5
K. Olynyk850%4.0 / 8
J. Richardson744%3.5 / 8
J. Winslow350%1.5 / 3
T. Johnson213%1.0 / 8
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2761%13.5 / 22
N. Jokić1963%9.5 / 15
E. Mudiay1250%6.0 / 12
W. Chandler1155%5.5 / 10
G. Harris1071%5.0 / 7
W. Barton938%4.5 / 12
M. Plumlee450%2.0 / 4
J. Murray325%1.5 / 6
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 2
K. Faried0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+13
-23
85
DEN
76
+15
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.0%
DEN
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
112.3
MIA 98.9
DEN 102.2 +3.2
Pace
95.8
97.0
MIA 100.7 +12.6
DEN 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.0
MIA 14.3 −2.0
DEN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
53.6%
MIA 56.5% +5.9%
DEN 50.6%
TO %
14.1%
14.6%
MIA 21.9%
DEN 15.7% −6.2%
ORB %
21.5%
25.6%
MIA 24.3%
DEN 28.9% +4.6%
FTrt
22.9
25.8
MIA 14.3
DEN 31.3 +17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.7%
MIA 63.9% +16.7%
DEN 47.2%
STL %
7.8%
7.8%
MIA 9.5%
DEN 9.7% +0.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.5%
MIA 10.5%
DEN 15.0% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
55.7%
MIA 56.0% +4.4%
DEN 51.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
60.1%
MIA 80.0% +28.6%
DEN 51.4%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.1%
MIA 25.0%
DEN 40.0% +15.0%
3P %
36.0%
37.1%
MIA 40.5% +1.4%
DEN 39.1%
FT %
75.5%
76.6%
MIA 63.6% +7.6%
DEN 56.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
38.5%
MIA 26.0%
DEN 46.3% +20.3%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
25.8%
MIA 26.0%
DEN 25.0% −1.0%
3P Att. %
35.8%
35.7%
MIA 48.1% +19.3%
DEN 28.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9495
Rebounds4141
Assists2317
Steals99
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)17 (0)
Fouls2416
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals36-7736-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2019-37
Midrange FG5-208-20
2-Point FG21-4027-57
3-Point FG15-379-23
Free Throws7-1114-25
Fast Break Pts410
2nd Chance Pts519
Points in Paint3450
Pts off Turnovers2425
Bench Points2825
Biggest Lead99

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
34.2
23
72%
3
7
2
0
1
5
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
4-7
57%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
32.6
7
44%
7
4
1
1
4
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
30.8
15
63%
3
3
0
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
24.0
13
65%
3
0
2
2
2
3
1
2
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
12.7
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
30.4
15
107%
10
4
2
1
4
6
3
7
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
25.6
2
13%
1
2
0
2
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-4
0%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27
20.3
8
50%
6
1
1
0
5
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
13.5
3
50%
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
12.4
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 20
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · · 6'5" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'1" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
56%
41
23
9
6
23
24
9
32
7-11
64%
21-40
53%
15-37
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.