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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 3, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat40%11094
13Nuggets60%11395
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
34
34
23
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
6-11
50%
51%
4-7
57%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
33
27
7
7
4
1
1
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
31
31
15
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
45%
3-7
43%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.4
24
29
13
3
0
2
1
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
6-9
7-12
67%
56%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
13
16
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
30
16
15
10
4
2
1
1
4
3
7
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
3-4
75%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.5
26
27
2
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-4
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
20
17
8
6
1
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
56%
2-4
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.6
14
24
3
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.9
12
16
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-4
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.3
4
18
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
4
0
1-1
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.4
2
0
0-0
47%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.1
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
36
30
10
1
2
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
36
29
11
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.7
34
29
27
9
5
2
1
1
4
4
5
8-12
67%
8-13
5-9
62%
49%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
34
30
19
14
2
4
1
1
1
5
9
1-1
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
59%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.7
21
25
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.8
28
25
9
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
25
22
12
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
41%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
11
18
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.9
9
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
6
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
5
0
0-1
46%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
4
0
0-1
43%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.4
2
0
0-0
52%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
Juan Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.