FinalWin Prob.pScore
1645%102
84
1755%104
74
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.59697.1
UTA logo UTA
77.99593.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA84
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)84
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)84
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAMISS Mitchell 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTAMitchell S.FOUL (P4.PN) (G.Zielinski)82
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)82
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 1:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
95.3%
74
4.7%
Q4 - 1:19UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)79
90.3%
74
9.7%
Q4 - 1:46UTAIngles Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)76
75.2%
74
24.8%
Q4 - 2:09MIAWaiters 19' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)76
62.1%
74
37.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)74
55.0%
74
45.0%
Q4 - 2:28UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
50.0%
74
50.0%
Q4 - 2:45MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)74
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q4 - 2:47MIAHeat Rebound71
23.1%
74
76.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAGobert BLOCK (2 BLK)71
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q4 - 3:07UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)71
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.PN) (G.Zielinski)71
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q4 - 3:07UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)71
39.4%
71
60.6%
Q4 - 3:07UTAMISS Burks 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot71
49.4%
71
50.6%
Q4 - 3:15UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)71
39.3%
71
60.7%
Q4 - 3:19MIAHood BLOCK (1 BLK)71
43.7%
71
56.3%
Q4 - 3:35UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
51.4%
71
48.6%
Q4 - 3:35UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
54.2%
70
45.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Collins)71
59.7%
69
40.3%
Q4 - 3:53UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)71
60.0%
69
40.0%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Waiters 13' Floating Jump Shot71
62.9%
69
37.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
69.4%
69
30.6%
Q4 - 4:12UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
66.7%
69
33.3%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMitchell STEAL (2 STL)71
60.2%
69
39.8%
Q4 - 4:26MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
69.5%
69
30.5%
Q4 - 4:29UTAMISS Hood 7' Driving Layup71
66.8%
69
33.2%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q4 - 4:58UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
51.7%
69
48.3%
Q4 - 4:58UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
53.1%
68
46.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN) (H.Workman)69
60.3%
67
39.7%
Q4 - 5:13UTAJAZZ Rebound69
58.1%
67
41.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper69
60.8%
67
39.2%
Q4 - 5:29UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
66.6%
67
33.4%
Q4 - 5:29UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
67.7%
66
32.3%
Q4 - 5:29MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Collins)69
73.1%
65
26.9%
Q4 - 5:42UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
73.1%
65
26.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
75.2%
65
24.8%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHeat Rebound69
79.6%
65
20.4%
Q4 - 6:02UTAMISS Mitchell 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q4 - 6:13MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P5.T19)69
70.3%
65
29.7%
Q4 - 6:16UTAHood Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)69
77.1%
65
22.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)69
70.4%
65
29.6%
Q4 - 6:33UTAFavors S.FOUL (P4.T4) (H.Workman)68
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q4 - 7:01MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
56.6%
65
43.4%
Q4 - 7:04UTAMISS Burks 2' Reverse Layup66
54.3%
65
45.7%
Q4 - 7:17MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T3) (H.Workman)66
49.1%
65
50.9%
Q4 - 7:28UTAHood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
49.1%
65
50.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Dragic 3' Floating Jump Shot66
51.4%
65
48.6%
Q4 - 7:43UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
56.7%
65
43.3%
Q4 - 7:43UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
58.0%
64
42.0%
Q4 - 7:43MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P3.T2) (D.Collins)66
62.6%
63
37.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
62.7%
63
37.3%
Q4 - 7:56MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
61.4%
63
38.6%
Q4 - 7:56UTAFavors S.FOUL (P3.T3) (G.Zielinski)64
56.7%
63
43.3%
Q4 - 8:05UTAHood P.FOUL (P4.T2) (G.Zielinski)64
55.3%
63
44.7%
Q4 - 8:14UTABurks Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T16)64
55.3%
63
44.7%
Q4 - 8:31MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)64
49.1%
63
50.9%
Q4 - 8:35UTAGobert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)62
42.6%
63
57.4%
Q4 - 8:55MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)62
36.6%
63
63.4%
Q4 - 9:22UTASefolosha 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q4 - 9:24UTASefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q4 - 9:28UTAMISS Rubio 3' Layup59
35.2%
61
64.8%
Q4 - 9:38UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
33.0%
61
67.0%
Q4 - 9:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q4 - 9:52UTAMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
35.2%
61
64.8%
Q4 - 10:02UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
32.0%
61
68.0%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
33.6%
61
66.4%
Q4 - 10:12UTAGobert P.FOUL (P3.T1) (G.Zielinski)59
37.4%
61
62.6%
Q4 - 10:33UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
37.4%
61
62.6%
Q4 - 10:33UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
38.2%
60
61.8%
Q4 - 10:33MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.T1) (D.Collins)59
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)59
42.5%
59
57.5%
Q4 - 11:21UTABurks 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
37.5%
59
62.5%
Q4 - 11:25UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
48.1%
57
51.9%
Q4 - 11:47UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA57
42.6%
57
57.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
47.9%
57
52.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
46.4%
57
53.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAHood STEAL (1 STL)57
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
47.9%
57
52.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
48.7%
56
51.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Collins)57
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIARichardson Backcourt Turnover (P3.T17)57
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)57
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0UTAMISS Udoh Free Throw 2 of 257
57.5%
55
42.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0UTAUdoh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
54.3%
55
45.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJohnson L.B.FOUL (P1.PN) (H.Workman)57
58.2%
54
41.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0UTAJAZZ Rebound57
58.2%
54
41.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0UTAMISS Burks 1' Layup57
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 1:05MIARubio STEAL (3 STL)57
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 1:13UTARubio Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
62.1%
54
37.9%
Q3 - 1:13UTARubio Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q3 - 1:13MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN) (G.Zielinski)57
66.4%
52
33.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAWhiteside Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T14)57
66.4%
52
33.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P2) (D.Collins)57
70.7%
52
29.3%
Q3 - 1:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
70.8%
52
29.2%
Q3 - 1:48UTAMISS Hood 17' Pullup Jump Shot57
69.5%
52
30.5%
Q3 - 1:56MIADragic P.FOUL (P3.T3) (H.Workman)57
66.5%
52
33.5%
Q3 - 2:01UTASefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup57
66.2%
52
33.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)57
69.2%
52
30.8%
Q3 - 2:19UTAMISS Mitchell 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
67.9%
52
32.1%
Q3 - 2:42MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)57
65.0%
52
35.0%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)55
61.0%
52
39.0%
Q3 - 2:53UTAMISS Hood 20' Jump Shot55
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 2:54UTAHood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q3 - 2:59UTAMISS Jerebko 7' Layup55
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 3:20UTAJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
57.2%
52
42.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)55
60.3%
52
39.7%
Q3 - 3:43UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
59.0%
52
41.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
55.8%
52
44.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 254
55.0%
52
45.0%
Q3 - 3:53UTAHood P.FOUL (P3.PN) (G.Zielinski)54
56.0%
52
44.0%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)54
56.0%
52
44.0%
Q3 - 4:00UTAMISS Hood 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
54.6%
52
45.4%
Q3 - 4:04UTAJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q3 - 4:09UTAMISS Mitchell 9' Floating Jump Shot54
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q3 - 4:17MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)54
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)54
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q3 - 4:20UTAMISS Ingles 2' Layup54
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (8 PTS)54
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)52
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Waiters 8' Floating Jump Shot52
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound52
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 4:56UTAMISS Ingles 13' Floating Jump Shot52
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q3 - 5:11MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T2) (H.Workman)52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 5:11UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Dragic 6' Floating Jump Shot52
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q3 - 5:27UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)52
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q3 - 5:27UTAJAZZ Rebound52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 5:27UTAMISS Favors 3' Reverse Layup52
45.4%
52
54.6%
Q3 - 5:45UTAJAZZ Rebound52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 5:45UTAMISS Favors 6' Layup52
45.4%
52
54.6%
Q3 - 5:50UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Waiters 3' Driving Layup52
43.7%
52
56.3%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)52
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q3 - 6:05UTAMISS Mitchell 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
45.2%
52
54.8%
Q3 - 6:24MIADragic 12' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)52
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 6:36UTAIngles 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)50
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
41.2%
50
58.8%
Q3 - 6:51UTAGobert S.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Collins)48
38.8%
50
61.2%
Q3 - 7:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)48
38.8%
50
61.2%
Q3 - 7:04UTAMISS Gobert Free Throw 2 of 248
38.3%
50
61.7%
Q3 - 7:04UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
36.4%
50
63.6%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Collins)48
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q3 - 7:07UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Winslow 12' Fadeaway Jumper48
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAHeat Rebound48
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAGobert BLOCK (1 BLK)48
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 7:36UTAFavors Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T13)48
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q3 - 7:36UTAFavors OFF.Foul (P2) (H.Workman)48
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWaiters 2' Layup (7 PTS)48
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q3 - 7:58UTARubio Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)46
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q3 - 8:15MIARubio STEAL (2 STL)46
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q3 - 8:32UTAFavors OFF.Foul (P1) (D.Collins)46
35.6%
49
64.4%
Q3 - 8:53UTAIngles Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)46
35.5%
49
64.5%
Q3 - 8:53MIARichardson 2' Dunk (5 PTS)46
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q3 - 9:00UTAMitchell P.FOUL (P3.T3) (G.Zielinski)44
29.0%
49
71.0%
Q3 - 9:13UTAFavors Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)44
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q3 - 9:26MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q3 - 9:26UTARubio S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Collins)43
26.2%
49
73.8%
Q3 - 9:29UTAIngles Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)41
18.5%
49
81.5%
Q3 - 9:45MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)41
18.5%
49
81.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot39
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
17.2%
49
82.8%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q3 - 10:20UTAIngles P.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Collins)39
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q3 - 10:20MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q3 - 10:21UTAMISS Gobert 3' Layup39
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q3 - 10:42UTAJAZZ Rebound39
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q3 - 10:42UTAMISS Ingles 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q3 - 10:46MIARubio STEAL (1 STL)39
15.0%
49
85.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)39
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q3 - 10:49UTAMISS Ingles 2' Driving Layup39
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q3 - 11:13MIADragic 2' Layup (4 PTS)39
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q3 - 11:26UTARubio Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)37
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q3 - 11:39UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Waiters 21' Pullup Jump Shot37
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA37
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)37
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Waiters 4' Driving Layup37
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0UTAMISS Mitchell Free Throw 1 of 137
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIARichardson S.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Collins)37
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Olynyk Free Throw 1 of 236
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0UTAGobert S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Collins)36
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0UTAGobert 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Hood 1 AST)36
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 235
18.6%
45
81.4%
Q2 - 1:03UTAMitchell S.FOUL (P2.T4) (G.Zielinski)35
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot35
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 1:10UTAMISS Mitchell 17' Floating Jump Shot35
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 1:27UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
17.3%
45
82.7%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Waiters 22' Pullup Jump Shot35
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 1:49MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
18.3%
45
81.7%
Q2 - 1:50UTAMISS Ingles 14' Floating Jump Shot35
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 2:04UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 2:28UTAMISS Favors 7' Hook Shot35
18.7%
45
81.3%
Q2 - 2:35UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Johnson 11' Floating Jump Shot35
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 2:59UTAMISS Gobert 2' Layup35
18.7%
45
81.3%
Q2 - 3:08UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Layup35
18.7%
45
81.3%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 3:17UTAMISS Hood 5' Layup35
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 3:32MIADragic Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T9)35
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIADragic OFF.Foul (P1) (D.Collins)35
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 3:55UTAFavors 16' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Burks 2 AST)35
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 4:04UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 4:24UTAMitchell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)35
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 4:42UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29.0%
40
71.0%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Dragic 7' Fadeaway Jumper35
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 5:03UTABurks 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ingles 5 AST)35
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
36.6%
37
63.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 5:19UTAMitchell S.FOUL (P1.T3) (G.Zielinski)33
34.3%
37
65.7%
Q2 - 5:42UTABurks 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Ingles 4 AST)33
34.3%
37
65.7%
Q2 - 5:46UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
36.6%
35
63.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIAFavors BLOCK (2 BLK)33
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 6:10UTAMitchell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 6:18MIABurks STEAL (1 STL)33
44.4%
32
55.6%
Q2 - 6:41UTABurks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
47.8%
32
52.2%
Q2 - 6:58MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 7:11MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 7:14UTAMISS Mitchell 2' Layup30
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 7:31MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
44.6%
29
55.4%
Q2 - 7:49MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 7:51UTAMISS Gobert 10' Driving Hook Shot27
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 8:04UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Floating Jump Shot27
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 8:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot27
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 8:20UTAMitchell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 8:29UTASefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 8:41MIAHeat Rebound27
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAUdoh BLOCK (2 BLK)27
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 8:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 8:53UTAMISS Rubio 11' Fadeaway Jumper27
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 9:14MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)27
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 9:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 9:22UTAMISS Rubio 5' Fadeaway Jumper27
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 9:30UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Fadeaway Jumper27
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 9:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 9:48UTAMISS Hood 19' Pullup Jump Shot27
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 10:01MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)27
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 10:20UTAHood 11' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)27
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 10:24UTABurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Johnson 5' Floating Jump Shot27
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q2 - 10:56UTASefolosha 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q2 - 11:15UTARubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 127
46.7%
25
53.3%
Q2 - 11:17UTAHood S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Collins)27
48.8%
25
51.2%
Q2 - 11:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
44.1%
25
55.9%
Q2 - 11:17MIAUdoh BLOCK (1 BLK)25
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q2 - 11:32UTAHood 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rubio 2 AST)25
44.1%
25
55.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAOlynyk Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 11:47MIAOlynyk OFF.Foul (P2) (G.Zielinski)25
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q2 - 11:48UTAUdoh P.FOUL (P1.T1) (G.Zielinski)25
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
51.3%
22
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Waiters 43' 3PT Jump Shot25
49.6%
22
50.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0UTAHood 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
50.6%
22
49.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T4)25
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0UTARubio Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T5)25
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAEllington 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)25
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q1 - 1:07UTAHood 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q1 - 1:32MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
48.3%
18
51.7%
Q1 - 1:32UTAMISS Sefolosha 7' Driving Layup20
47.7%
18
52.3%
Q1 - 1:45UTASefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot20
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 1:51MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.3%
18
51.7%
Q1 - 1:53UTAMISS Jerebko 10' Driving Hook Shot20
47.7%
18
52.3%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)20
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 2:22UTARubio Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 2:56UTAHood P.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Collins)16
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q1 - 2:56MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q1 - 2:59UTAMISS Hood 13' Pullup Jump Shot16
38.8%
18
61.2%
Q1 - 3:17MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)16
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 3:31UTAGobert 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 3:38UTAJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Dragic 20' Fadeaway Jumper13
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 3:59UTAIngles P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Collins)13
37.5%
16
62.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
38.0%
16
62.0%
Q1 - 4:06UTAMISS Hood 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIAJohnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 4:42UTAIngles 3' Layup (2 PTS)11
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMitchell STEAL (1 STL)11
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 5:14UTAHood Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)11
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 5:25MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P1.T3) (G.Zielinski)11
36.5%
14
63.5%
Q1 - 5:30UTAMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
36.5%
14
63.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.1%
14
62.9%
Q1 - 5:56UTAGobert 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ingles 3 AST)11
38.4%
14
61.6%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 6:31UTAHood 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mitchell 1 AST)8
37.2%
12
62.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 6:44UTARubio S.FOUL (P1.T1) (H.Workman)7
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 6:48UTAMISS Rubio 15' Jump Shot5
35.4%
10
64.6%
Q1 - 6:55UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Richardson 9' Fadeaway Jumper5
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 7:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 7:11UTAMISS Rubio 15' Jump Shot5
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 7:22UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot5
35.4%
10
64.6%
Q1 - 7:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.6%
10
63.4%
Q1 - 7:34UTAMISS Favors 13' Floating Jump Shot5
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 7:43UTARubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot5
35.7%
10
64.3%
Q1 - 7:56UTAIngles Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)5
36.9%
10
63.1%
Q1 - 7:58MIAIngles STEAL (2 STL)5
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 8:25UTAFavors 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ingles 2 AST)5
37.5%
10
62.5%
Q1 - 8:29MIAIngles STEAL (1 STL)5
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 8:43UTAFavors 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rubio 1 AST)5
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 9:03MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)5
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 9:18UTARubio Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:18UTARubio Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 9:18MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Collins)2
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 9:22UTARubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot2
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 9:32UTARubio Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Collins)2
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 9:35UTAJAZZ Rebound2
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 9:35UTAMISS Mitchell 2' Driving Layup2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:55UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Dragic 8' Driving Layup2
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 10:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 10:08UTAMISS Mitchell 16' Jump Shot2
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 10:22MIADragic 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 10:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 10:34UTAMISS Ingles 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 10:38UTAMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.7%
4
59.3%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS Waiters 4' Jump Shot0
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 11:04UTAMitchell 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)0
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 11:17UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 11:17MIAFavors BLOCK (1 BLK)0
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 11:39UTAMitchell 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ingles 1 AST)0
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Gobert vs. Whiteside: Tip to Favors0
44.6%
0
55.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.3%
UTA
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
26
58%
UTA
12
24
50%
Midrange
MIA
5
26
19%
UTA
8
29
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
UTA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
UTA
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2148%10.5 / 22
G. Dragic1850%9.0 / 18
T. Johnson1150%5.5 / 11
J. Richardson857%4.0 / 7
H. Whiteside850%4.0 / 8
K. Olynyk758%3.5 / 6
W. Ellington583%2.5 / 3
J. Winslow433%2.0 / 6
J. Johnson233%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hood1941%9.5 / 23
D. Mitchell1243%6.0 / 14
R. Gobert1267%6.0 / 9
A. Burks1267%6.0 / 9
D. Favors643%3.0 / 7
J. Ingles425%2.0 / 8
R. Rubio429%2.0 / 7
T. Sefolosha450%2.0 / 4
E. Udoh150%0.5 / 1
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+11
-20
87
UTA
78
+9
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.3%
UTA
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.1
MIA 87.5 +9.6
UTA 77.9
Pace
95.8
96.0
MIA 97.1 +3.3
UTA 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.4
MIA 14.8 +0.5
UTA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
52.7%
MIA 45.5% +8.3%
UTA 37.2%
TO %
14.1%
14.7%
MIA 19.8%
UTA 17.7% +2.1%
ORB %
21.5%
21.5%
MIA 16.3% +7.4%
UTA 8.9%
FTrt
22.9
26.0
MIA 23.4
UTA 29.7 +6.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.6%
MIA 33.3%
UTA 48.0% +14.7%
STL %
7.8%
8.9%
MIA 9.4%
UTA 10.5% +1.1%
BLK %
9.3%
9.0%
MIA 11.3%
UTA 13.5% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
54.9%
MIA 48.3% +5.8%
UTA 42.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.4%
MIA 57.7% +7.7%
UTA 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.4%
39.3%
MIA 19.2%
UTA 27.6% +8.4%
3P %
36.0%
36.6%
MIA 40.0% +16.2%
UTA 23.8%
FT %
75.5%
77.9%
MIA 77.8%
UTA 86.4% +8.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
35.6%
MIA 33.8% +1.3%
UTA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
28.8%
MIA 33.8% +5.4%
UTA 39.2%
3P Att. %
35.8%
35.7%
MIA 32.5% +4.1%
UTA 28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8474
Rebounds4840
Assists1012
Steals910
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)17 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals30-7725-74
At-the-Rim FG15-2612-24
Midrange FG5-268-29
2-Point FG20-5220-53
3-Point FG10-255-21
Free Throws14-1819-22
Fast Break Pts36
2nd Chance Pts106
Points in Paint3632
Pts off Turnovers1817
Bench Points2536
Biggest Lead1012

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
34.5
8
57%
4
1
2
0
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
32.8
18
50%
2
3
1
0
5
3
1
1
3-3
100%
6-13
46%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
32.4
21
48%
2
1
0
0
4
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-14
29%
3-6
50%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
30.8
8
50%
20
0
3
3
3
2
5
15
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
21.7
4
33%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 26
32.5
11
50%
4
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
22.9
2
33%
3
2
2
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27
17.3
7
58%
6
2
1
0
1
3
0
6
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
15.2
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 20
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'1" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · · 6'5" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
48%
48
10
9
6
20
20
7
41
14-18
78%
20-52
38%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.