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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 11, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Lakers31%10790
8Bucks69%11498
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
41.7
32.7
21
55%
11
1
1
1
1
2
3
8
4-5
80%
7-13
4-8
54%
53%
1-4
25%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.0
38.8
31.4
19
69%
12
13
3
1
3
4
0
12
2-4
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
3-5
60%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 20.2
35.8
34.2
8
30%
6
2
0
1
1
3
0
6
4-8
50%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.7
34.7
32.8
7
32%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 29.6
21.0
22.2
10
51%
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
0
1-2
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
27.0
20.7
17
69%
9
1
0
1
1
4
2
7
9-12
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 25.4
20.4
22.4
8
41%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
0-3
0%
Vander Blue
· 6'4" 200 · 25.3
14.3
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 31.7
6.3
11.0
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.7
13.2
0
1-2
46%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.2
6.1
0
1-1
46%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.7
4.0
0
1-2
52%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 33.0
3.4
0
0-0
54%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 23.7
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.6
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.9
40.1
35.9
33
69%
15
3
1
2
1
3
3
12
9-11
82%
12-18
10-18
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.3
38.2
37.8
13
42%
4
4
2
2
0
0
0
4
6-6
100%
2-10
6-12
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.9
31.4
27.1
11
40%
2
2
1
1
2
6
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
0-6
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.9
26.2
27.2
8
40%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
54%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 26.0
19.0
33.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
33.0
33.3
16
63%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20.7
21.8
16.2
2
29%
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.2
15.4
19.2
10
50%
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
2-4
50%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.6
14.9
5.5
5
63%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 21.2
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 40.2
3.3
0
0-0
43%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 21.7
1.6
0
0-0
51%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 23.8
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 32.2
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.