Final Win Prob. pScore
1547%106
103
1953%107
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
106.29793.4
DET logo Pistons
116.79699.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET103
112
Q4 - 0:12.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
112
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot103
112
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)103
112
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHeat Rebound102
112
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2102
112
Q4 - 0:40.0DETKennard P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wright)102
112
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)102
112
Q4 - 0:44.0DETBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)102
112
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.PN) (S.Wright)102
111
Q4 - 0:44.0DETBradley 3' Layup (23 PTS)102
111
Q4 - 0:44.0DETBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
109
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Jackson 2' Layup102
109
Q4 - 0:58.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
109
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Richardson 10' Step Back Jump Shot102
109
Q4 - 1:05MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)102
109
Q4 - 1:07DETMISS Bradley 7' Driving Layup102
109
Q4 - 1:19MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
109
Q4 - 1:19MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
109
Q4 - 1:19DETJackson S.FOUL (P4.PN) (S.Wright)100
109
Q4 - 1:33DETJackson Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)100
109
Q4 - 1:49MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)100
109
Q4 - 2:07DETBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)97
109
Q4 - 2:07DETBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)97
108
Q4 - 2:07MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Orr)97
107
Q4 - 2:08MIABradley STEAL (2 STL)97
107
Q4 - 2:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
107
Q4 - 2:24DETMISS Kennard Free Throw 1 of 197
107
Q4 - 2:24MIASUB: Johnson FOR Whiteside97
107
Q4 - 2:24DETSUB: Tolliver FOR Drummond97
107
Q4 - 2:24MIARichardson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Orr)97
107
Q4 - 2:24DETKennard 4' Layup (14 PTS)97
107
Q4 - 2:42MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)97
105
Q4 - 2:42MIASUB: Johnson FOR Johnson96
105
Q4 - 2:42DETDrummond S.FOUL (P4.T4) (S.Wright)96
105
Q4 - 2:42MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)96
105
Q4 - 2:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
105
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Waiters 30' 3PT Jump Shot94
105
Q4 - 3:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)94
105
Q4 - 3:07DETMISS Jackson 8' Hook Shot94
105
Q4 - 3:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)94
105
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Layup94
105
Q4 - 3:31DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)94
105
Q4 - 3:36DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
105
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot94
105
Q4 - 3:58DETBradley 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Drummond 4 AST)94
105
Q4 - 4:12MIAWhiteside 1' Dunk (17 PTS)94
103
Q4 - 4:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
103
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
103
Q4 - 4:33DETJackson Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)92
103
Q4 - 4:42DETSUB: Harris FOR Tolliver92
103
Q4 - 4:42MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T4) (T.Ford)92
103
Q4 - 4:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)92
103
Q4 - 4:49MIAMISS Waiters 3' Layup92
103
Q4 - 5:10DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
103
Q4 - 5:10MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson92
102
Q4 - 5:10DETPISTONS Rebound92
102
Q4 - 5:10DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 292
102
Q4 - 5:10MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Ford)92
102
Q4 - 5:10DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
102
Q4 - 5:11MIATolliver BLOCK (1 BLK)92
102
Q4 - 5:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
102
Q4 - 5:16MIAKennard BLOCK (1 BLK)92
102
Q4 - 5:39DETJackson 9' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)92
102
Q4 - 5:47DETBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
100
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Waiters 29' 3PT Jump Shot92
100
Q4 - 6:02DETJackson P.FOUL (P3.T3) (T.Ford)92
100
Q4 - 6:09DETJackson Violation:Kicked Ball (J.Orr)92
100
Q4 - 6:19MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson92
100
Q4 - 6:19DETSUB: Jackson FOR Smith92
100
Q4 - 6:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)92
100
Q4 - 6:21MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
100
Q4 - 6:28DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 192
100
Q4 - 6:28DETSUB: Bradley FOR Galloway92
100
Q4 - 6:28MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)92
100
Q4 - 6:28DETSmith 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)92
100
Q4 - 6:34DETGalloway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
98
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
98
Q4 - 6:56DETKennard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)92
98
Q4 - 7:01DETGalloway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
95
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot92
95
Q4 - 7:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)92
95
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Waiters 29' 3PT Jump Shot92
95
Q4 - 7:40DETKennard 9' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)92
95
Q4 - 7:55MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
93
Q4 - 7:55MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
93
Q4 - 7:55DETTolliver S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)90
93
Q4 - 8:16DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)90
93
Q4 - 8:35MIAWaiters 1' Layup (16 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 8:39DETKennard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)88
93
Q4 - 8:56MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)88
93
Q4 - 9:16DETSmith 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)86
93
Q4 - 9:17MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Olynyk86
91
Q4 - 9:17DETSUB: Drummond FOR Harris86
91
Q4 - 9:17MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)86
91
Q4 - 9:33DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
91
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
91
Q4 - 9:48DETKennard 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)86
91
Q4 - 10:04MIAJohnson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)86
89
Q4 - 10:20DETGalloway Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
89
Q4 - 10:20MIASUB: Waiters FOR Ellington84
88
Q4 - 10:20DETPISTONS Rebound84
88
Q4 - 10:20DETMISS Galloway Free Throw 1 of 284
88
Q4 - 10:20MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P4.T1) (T.Ford)84
88
Q4 - 10:33MIAOlynyk Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)84
88
Q4 - 10:48DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)84
88
Q4 - 11:01DETGalloway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
86
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot84
86
Q4 - 11:17DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kennard 3 AST)84
86
Q4 - 11:30MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)84
83
Q4 - 11:30DETHarris S.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wright)83
83
Q4 - 11:30MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)83
83
Q4 - 11:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
83
Q4 - 11:44DETMISS Galloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
83
Q4 - 12:0081
83
Q3 - 0:00.0DET81
83
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound81
83
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Kennard 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
83
Q3 - 0:02.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
83
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup81
83
Q3 - 0:23.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
83
Q3 - 0:27.0DETMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot81
83
Q3 - 0:31.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
83
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
83
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
83
Q3 - 0:48.0DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 281
83
Q3 - 0:48.0DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
83
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P3.PN) (T.Ford)81
82
Q3 - 0:56.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR Dragic81
82
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAOlynyk Violation:Kicked Ball (.)81
82
Q3 - 1:10MIADragic 2' Layup (16 PTS)81
82
Q3 - 1:29DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kennard 2 AST)79
82
Q3 - 1:34DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
79
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
79
Q3 - 1:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
79
Q3 - 1:49DETMISS Kennard 3' Driving Layup79
79
Q3 - 2:04DETSUB: Tolliver FOR Drummond79
79
Q3 - 2:04MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Orr)79
79
Q3 - 2:08DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
79
Q3 - 2:11DETMISS Kennard 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
79
Q3 - 2:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)79
79
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 279
79
Q3 - 2:26MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Whiteside79
79
Q3 - 2:26MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
79
Q3 - 2:26DETGalloway P.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wright)78
79
Q3 - 2:40DETDrummond 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)78
79
Q3 - 2:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
77
Q3 - 2:53MIASUB: Richardson FOR Waiters77
77
Q3 - 2:53DETSUB: Galloway FOR Bradley77
77
Q3 - 2:53MIAHeat Rebound77
77
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 277
77
Q3 - 2:53DETHarris S.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Orr)77
77
Q3 - 3:08DETBradley 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Kennard 1 AST)77
77
Q3 - 3:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)77
75
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup77
75
Q3 - 3:29DETHarris 1' Dunk (25 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)77
75
Q3 - 3:44MIAWaiters 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)77
73
Q3 - 3:47MIAHeat Rebound75
73
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Layup75
73
Q3 - 3:48DETDrummond P.FOUL (P3.T3) (S.Wright)75
73
Q3 - 4:03MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow75
73
Q3 - 4:03DETSUB: Smith FOR Jackson75
73
Q3 - 4:03DETJackson P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Orr)75
73
Q3 - 4:03DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)75
73
Q3 - 4:12DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
73
Q3 - 4:12MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
73
Q3 - 4:33DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)75
73
Q3 - 4:36DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
70
Q3 - 4:40MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)75
70
Q3 - 4:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
70
Q3 - 4:54DETMISS Jackson 5' Driving Layup75
70
Q3 - 4:58DETBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
70
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
70
Q3 - 5:15DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
70
Q3 - 5:15DETSUB: Kennard FOR Bullock75
69
Q3 - 5:15DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
69
Q3 - 5:15MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (T.Ford)75
68
Q3 - 5:25DETBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
68
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Dragic 5' Layup75
68
Q3 - 5:32DETBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)75
68
Q3 - 5:36DETBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
68
Q3 - 5:40MIAMISS Winslow 22' Jump Shot75
68
Q3 - 5:52MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson75
68
Q3 - 5:52DETDrummond P.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Ford)75
68
Q3 - 5:52MIAHeat Rebound75
68
Q3 - 5:52DETMISS Bullock 2' Layup75
68
Q3 - 5:52DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
68
Q3 - 5:52DETMISS Bullock 4' Layup75
68
Q3 - 6:16MIAWhiteside 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)75
68
Q3 - 6:24MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
68
Q3 - 6:24DETBradley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bullock 2 AST)73
68
Q3 - 6:28DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
65
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Winslow 3' Dunk73
65
Q3 - 6:44DETBradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)73
65
Q3 - 7:03MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (10 PTS)73
62
Q3 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
62
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot71
62
Q3 - 7:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
62
Q3 - 7:33DETMISS Bradley 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
62
Q3 - 7:48MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)71
62
Q3 - 7:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
62
Q3 - 7:59DETMISS Drummond 2' Tip Layup Shot71
62
Q3 - 8:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)71
62
Q3 - 8:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)71
62
Q3 - 8:02DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot71
62
Q3 - 8:02DETMISS Harris 4' Hook Shot71
62
Q3 - 8:16MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)71
62
Q3 - 8:26MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
62
Q3 - 8:30DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
62
Q3 - 8:50MIAWhiteside 8' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
62
Q3 - 9:09DETJackson 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
62
Q3 - 9:20MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)67
60
Q3 - 9:41DETDrummond Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)65
60
Q3 - 9:47MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P3.T2) (S.Wright)65
60
Q3 - 10:06DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)65
60
Q3 - 10:06MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)65
60
Q3 - 10:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
60
Q3 - 10:17DETMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
60
Q3 - 10:41MIAWaiters 5' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
60
Q3 - 11:00DETHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)60
60
Q3 - 11:13MIAWinslow 3' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)60
57
Q3 - 11:32DETHarris 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
57
Q3 - 11:43MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Ford)58
55
Q3 - 11:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)58
55
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Winslow 14' Pullup Jump Shot58
55
Q3 - 12:0058
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA58
55
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound58
55
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Jackson 60' 3PT Jump Shot58
55
Q2 - 0:02.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
55
Q2 - 0:02.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
55
Q2 - 0:02.0DETJackson P.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Ford)56
55
Q2 - 0:02.0DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)56
55
Q2 - 0:02.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
53
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot56
53
Q2 - 0:02.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
53
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMISS Jackson 4' Layup56
53
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAOlynyk Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)56
53
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAOlynyk OFF.Foul (P1) (S.Wright)56
53
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
53
Q2 - 0:35.0DETMISS Harris 6' Layup56
53
Q2 - 0:41.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
53
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Dragic 3' Hook Shot56
53
Q2 - 1:04DETBradley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Drummond 3 AST)56
53
Q2 - 1:24MIADragic Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T5)56
51
Q2 - 1:24MIADragic Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4) (S.Wright)56
51
Q2 - 1:42DETJackson 3' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Bullock 1 AST)56
51
Q2 - 1:44DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)56
49
Q2 - 1:52MIARichardson 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)56
49
Q2 - 2:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
49
Q2 - 2:11DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 254
49
Q2 - 2:11MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Whiteside54
49
Q2 - 2:11MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow54
49
Q2 - 2:11DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
49
Q2 - 2:11MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P3.T3) (S.Wright)54
48
Q2 - 2:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
48
Q2 - 2:12DETMISS Bradley 6' Floating Jump Shot54
48
Q2 - 2:25MIAWinslow Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)54
48
Q2 - 2:45DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)52
48
Q2 - 3:03MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)52
46
Q2 - 3:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
46
Q2 - 3:10DETMISS Harris 2' Layup49
46
Q2 - 3:26MIASUB: Johnson FOR Waiters49
46
Q2 - 3:26MIAWaiters Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T4)49
46
Q2 - 3:26MIAWaiters Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T2) (T.Ford)49
46
Q2 - 3:29MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
46
Q2 - 3:29DETMISS Drummond 5' Layup49
46
Q2 - 3:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
46
Q2 - 3:32DETMISS Jackson 3' Layup49
46
Q2 - 3:39DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
46
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot49
46
Q2 - 3:58DETBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)49
46
Q2 - 4:15MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wright)49
46
Q2 - 4:15DETPISTONS Rebound49
46
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot49
46
Q2 - 4:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
46
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Dragic 3' Layup49
46
Q2 - 4:21DETJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)49
46
Q2 - 4:32MIAWaiters 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)49
46
Q2 - 4:37DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)47
46
Q2 - 4:55MIAWaiters 1' Driving Dunk (5 PTS)47
46
Q2 - 4:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
46
Q2 - 5:01DETMISS Bradley 20' Pullup Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 5:12MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
46
Q2 - 5:12DETSUB: Bradley FOR Tolliver44
46
Q2 - 5:12DETSUB: Harris FOR Bradley44
46
Q2 - 5:12MIASUB: Dragic FOR Ellington44
46
Q2 - 5:12DETDrummond S.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Orr)44
46
Q2 - 5:12MIARichardson 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
46
Q2 - 5:29DETDrummond 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)42
46
Q2 - 5:43MIAEllington Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)42
44
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson42
44
Q2 - 5:50DETSUB: Jackson FOR Smith42
44
Q2 - 5:50DETSUB: Bullock FOR Galloway42
44
Q2 - 5:50DETSUB: Bradley FOR Kennard42
44
Q2 - 5:50MIA42
44
Q2 - 5:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
44
Q2 - 5:59DETTolliver 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)42
44
Q2 - 6:09DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
41
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Ellington 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 6:14MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
41
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 6:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
41
Q2 - 6:32DETMISS Kennard 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 6:34DETGalloway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
41
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Johnson 4' Alley Oop Layup42
41
Q2 - 6:56DETGalloway 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)42
41
Q2 - 6:59DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
38
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot42
38
Q2 - 7:18MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Olynyk42
38
Q2 - 7:18DETSUB: Drummond FOR Moreland42
38
Q2 - 7:18DETMoreland L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) (T.Ford)42
38
Q2 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound42
38
Q2 - 7:18DETMISS Kennard 7' Layup42
38
Q2 - 7:26DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
38
Q2 - 7:29MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot42
38
Q2 - 7:31MIAHeat Rebound42
38
Q2 - 7:31MIAMoreland BLOCK (2 BLK)42
38
Q2 - 7:39DETMoreland P.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Ford)42
38
Q2 - 7:44MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
38
Q2 - 7:47DETMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup42
38
Q2 - 7:51DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
38
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot42
38
Q2 - 8:03MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson42
38
Q2 - 8:03DETKennard P.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)42
38
Q2 - 8:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
38
Q2 - 8:11DETMISS Moreland 3' Layup42
38
Q2 - 8:20DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
38
Q2 - 8:24MIAMoreland BLOCK (1 BLK)42
38
Q2 - 8:37DETSmith 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)42
38
Q2 - 8:41DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
36
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
36
Q2 - 9:03DETKennard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)42
36
Q2 - 9:21MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)42
34
Q2 - 9:29DETKennard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)39
34
Q2 - 9:40MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
34
Q2 - 10:04DETKennard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)36
34
Q2 - 10:17DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
31
Q2 - 10:23MIAJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)36
31
Q2 - 10:29MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
31
Q2 - 10:32DETMISS Galloway 23' Jump Shot34
31
Q2 - 10:55MIAOlynyk 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)34
31
Q2 - 11:16MIAHeat Rebound31
31
Q2 - 11:16DETMISS Tolliver Driving Reverse Layup31
31
Q2 - 11:34DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
31
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Olynyk Free Throw 1 of 131
31
Q2 - 11:36DETMoreland S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Orr)31
31
Q2 - 11:36MIAOlynyk Layup (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)31
31
Q2 - 12:0029
31
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
31
Q1 - 0:01.0DETPISTONS Rebound29
31
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Galloway 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
31
Q1 - 0:22.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
31
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
31
Q1 - 0:29.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
31
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS Smith 5' Driving Reverse Layup29
31
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)29
31
Q1 - 0:55.0DETSmith 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)26
31
Q1 - 1:08MIAOlynyk 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)26
29
Q1 - 1:25DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
29
Q1 - 1:27DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Olynyk 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
26
Q1 - 1:48DETHarris 3' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)23
26
Q1 - 2:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
24
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Winslow 3' Turnaround Hook Shot23
24
Q1 - 2:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24
Q1 - 2:21DETMISS Drummond 3' Finger Roll Layup23
24
Q1 - 2:48MIADragic 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)23
24
Q1 - 3:03DETHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)21
24
Q1 - 3:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
21
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
21
Q1 - 3:16DETSUB: Galloway FOR Bradley21
21
Q1 - 3:16DETSUB: Smith FOR Jackson21
21
Q1 - 3:16MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
21
Q1 - 3:19DETBradley 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)21
21
Q1 - 3:19DETBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
19
Q1 - 3:24DETMISS Bradley 3' Floating Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
19
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup21
19
Q1 - 3:50DETJackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:52DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot21
16
Q1 - 4:07DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 4:07MIASUB: Johnson FOR Whiteside21
15
Q1 - 4:07MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Richardson21
15
Q1 - 4:07DETSUB: Kennard FOR Bullock21
15
Q1 - 4:07DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 4:07MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Orr)21
14
Q1 - 4:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
14
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
14
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
14
Q1 - 4:23DETMISS Bradley 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
14
Q1 - 4:37MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)21
14
Q1 - 4:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
14
Q1 - 4:53DETMISS Bullock 3PT Jump Shot18
14
Q1 - 5:07MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 5:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 5:15DETMISS Harris 4' Layup16
14
Q1 - 5:34MIADragic 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 5:51DETBradley 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 6:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 6:29DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 6:29DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
11
Q1 - 6:29DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
10
Q1 - 6:29MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T4) (T.Ford)14
10
Q1 - 6:40MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 7:02DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)12
10
Q1 - 7:14MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)12
7
Q1 - 7:39DETBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
7
Q1 - 7:39MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T3) (T.Ford)9
6
Q1 - 7:39DETBradley 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)9
6
Q1 - 7:54MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
4
Q1 - 8:12DETJackson 17' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 8:21MIASUB: Johnson FOR Waiters6
2
Q1 - 8:21MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Orr)6
2
Q1 - 8:35MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 8:50DETJackson 14' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 9:02DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 9:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 9:23DETMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 9:33MIAWaiters L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wright)3
0
Q1 - 9:43DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 9:51MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
0
Q1 - 9:53DETMISS Bradley 1' Layup3
0
Q1 - 9:58MIABradley STEAL (1 STL)3
0
Q1 - 10:06DETBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
0
Q1 - 10:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 10:28MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 10:31DETMISS Bradley 20' Pullup Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 10:45MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)3
0
Q1 - 10:53MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:56DETMISS Harris 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:11MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:35DETMISS Bradley 5' Floating Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Harris0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.1%
DET
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
38
53%
DET
16
38
42%
Midrange
MIA
6
15
40%
DET
12
21
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
DET
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DET
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2059%10.0 / 17
G. Dragic1856%9.0 / 16
D. Waiters1647%8.0 / 17
J. Richardson1563%7.5 / 12
J. Johnson1050%5.0 / 10
K. Olynyk880%4.0 / 5
T. Johnson643%3.0 / 7
W. Ellington675%3.0 / 4
J. Winslow425%2.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris2574%12.5 / 17
A. Bradley2460%12.0 / 20
R. Jackson1753%8.5 / 16
L. Kennard1464%7.0 / 11
I. Smith1169%5.5 / 8
A. Tolliver9113%4.5 / 4
A. Drummond844%4.0 / 9
L. Galloway440%2.0 / 5
R. Bullock0-0.0 / 3
E. Moreland0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+9
-9
97
DET
83
+14
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.1%
DET
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.2
MIA 106.2
DET 116.7 +10.5
Pace
95.8
96.2
MIA 93.4
DET 99.9 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.0
MIA 15.4
DET 14.4 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
51.2%
MIA 50.6%
DET 56.3% +5.7%
TO %
14.1%
13.2%
MIA 8.5% −3.4%
DET 11.9%
ORB %
21.5%
22.6%
MIA 14.0%
DET 25.6% +11.6%
FTrt
22.9
22.7
MIA 17.8
DET 23.0 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.2%
MIA 64.1% +7.0%
DET 57.1%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
MIA 8.2% +6.1%
DET 2.1%
BLK %
9.3%
7.1%
MIA 8.5%
DET 9.4% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
52.9%
MIA 53.1%
DET 57.7% +4.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.6%
MIA 52.6% +10.5%
DET 42.1%
Mid FG%
38.4%
39.7%
MIA 40.0%
DET 57.1% +17.1%
3P %
36.0%
37.3%
MIA 35.1%
DET 50.0% +14.9%
FT %
75.5%
74.5%
MIA 75.0% +5.0%
DET 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
34.0%
MIA 42.2%
DET 43.7% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
32.7%
MIA 16.7% −7.5%
DET 24.1%
3P Att. %
35.8%
33.3%
MIA 41.1% +8.9%
DET 32.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points103112
Rebounds3954
Assists2524
Steals82
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2217
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)43 (1)
Field Goals39-9042-87
At-the-Rim FG20-3816-38
Midrange FG6-1512-21
2-Point FG26-5328-59
3-Point FG13-3714-28
Free Throws12-1614-20
Fast Break Pts68
2nd Chance Pts98
Points in Paint4238
Pts off Turnovers179
Bench Points3038
Biggest Lead1112

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
35.8
15
63%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
34.6
18
56%
4
7
0
1
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
31.7
16
47%
4
5
3
0
4
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
2-9
22%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
29.4
20
59%
12
0
1
2
0
3
3
9
2-3
67%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
23.6
4
25%
4
1
2
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 26
33.3
6
43%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
26.1
10
50%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27
16.1
8
80%
2
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
9.4
6
75%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 20
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · · 6'5" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'1" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
39
25
8
5
9
22
7
32
12-16
75%
26-53
49%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.