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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 15, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers40%103116
18Grizzlies60%107113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.2
41.1
26.7
30
80%
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
12-13
92%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
33.7
32.7
21
50%
6
3
1
1
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
33.0
29.6
5
28%
6
0
3
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 21.6
32.8
26.9
10
56%
5
4
0
1
3
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
28.8
29.1
16
89%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
4-6
67%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 21.5
24.1
24.9
13
62%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
21.6
25.2
10
50%
1
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
2-3
67%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
19.2
21.7
8
67%
7
5
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
5.7
12.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.9
6.2
0
1-3
49%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
4.3
0
1-1
44%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 37.8
2.6
0
0-1
57%
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Ike Anigbogu
C · 6'10" 262 · 19.1
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.9
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.8
39.4
32.3
35
63%
13
5
0
1
5
2
2
11
8-9
89%
9-17
5-10
53%
49%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.5
30.1
21.6
8
44%
4
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-4
0%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
24.4
27.8
11
51%
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
52%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.4
17.4
4.3
8
90%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.4
17.2
28.1
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.2
32.7
30.0
18
50%
6
9
1
1
2
2
2
4
5-7
71%
5-10
5-9
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
25.4
19.7
13
87%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
3-5
60%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
20.3
14.2
6
75%
3
0
2
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
63%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.8
18.4
14.4
10
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
48%
0-4
0%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.1
14.8
2.3
2
53%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-1
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.5
15.0
0
1-3
48%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.0
3.8
0
0-1
53%
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.3
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.8
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.1
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.