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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 17, 2017
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons47%109100
20Pacers53%110107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.3
35.4
31.8
11
51%
15
5
1
1
3
5
7
8
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
33.1
31.4
16
58%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
3-5
60%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.3
29.6
33.3
15
44%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
52%
1-5
20%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.6
28.6
24.9
16
57%
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
2-5
40%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.5
24.7
23.2
3
17%
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 206 · 21.4
24.9
16.2
13
81%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.4
19.8
22.0
15
64%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
18.0
23.6
6
60%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
2-5
40%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
13.3
15.2
5
36%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
12.6
12.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
13.2
0
1-1
47%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.8
3.4
0
0-1
51%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.3
2.2
0
1-1
56%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 24.6
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.5
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
39.1
30.8
18
57%
5
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-4
25%
7-10
4-8
70%
52%
1-4
25%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
39.1
32.5
21
48%
15
4
1
1
1
4
2
13
4-7
57%
1-9
6-11
11%
48%
5-10
50%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
35.0
28.4
15
63%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.2
31.2
32.8
16
74%
1
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
2-3
67%
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.7
23.7
29.3
7
27%
5
1
0
1
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-12
5-9
17%
52%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
26.5
23.1
5
64%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
24.3
24.2
12
47%
10
0
1
1
0
1
4
6
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
18.0
20.5
13
82%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
2-2
100%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
3.1
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.9
4.4
0
1-2
49%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 37.9
1.6
0
0-0
58%
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 21.9
Ike Anigbogu
C · 6'10" 262 · 19.1
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.