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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 17, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat
91
8Wizards
88
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
36
33
3
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-7
14%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
35
34
6
5
7
2
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
6-11
43%
51%
0-4
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
32
32
13
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
4-10
20%
44%
3-8
38%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.4
31
30
22
16
1
0
1
2
2
2
14
2-3
67%
10-12
7-12
83%
56%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.6
18
23
10
7
1
2
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
31
26
20
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
5-10
3-6
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
21
13
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-4
25%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.5
20
31
7
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
12
14
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.3
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
4
0
0-0
45%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
4
0
0-1
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.4
2
0
0-0
44%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.1
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 24.4
40
35
26
10
4
1
1
0
1
0
10
3-4
75%
4-10
6-11
40%
52%
5-12
42%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
35
32
8
3
8
0
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
6-12
20%
48%
2-7
29%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 24.5
33
33
12
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
58%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
28
28
11
13
0
0
0
1
2
4
9
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
56%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
24
21
7
5
4
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
25
26
4
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-5
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.0
14
15
0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
14
16
9
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
2-3
67%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
10
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 29.3
9
13
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 31.0
8
15
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.1
4
0
0-1
47%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.8
3
0
0-1
50%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.9
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.