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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 20, 2017
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers58%114116
16Pistons42%11188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
28.5
4.5
14
104%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
2-2
100%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
27.3
38.3
18
62%
2
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
8-14
44%
58%
3-5
60%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
27.0
31.8
3
30%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 29.2
25.8
31.6
19
74%
11
4
0
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
47%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
25.7
25.1
18
66%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
6-6
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.2
22.4
17.6
11
51%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.5
22.3
13.1
10
71%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.8
19.5
25.3
8
50%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.7
17.4
23.4
8
100%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.6
13.8
1.9
7
90%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-2
50%
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.0
10.3
1.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.1
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 20.9
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.4
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.5
28.4
30.0
10
63%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.3
27.8
33.5
11
53%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
27.4
32.3
9
50%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
5-10
75%
50%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.3
24.9
33.0
8
41%
8
3
1
1
0
6
3
5
2-6
33%
3-7
6-11
43%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.6
24.3
27.5
10
63%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
48%
2-2
100%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
21.1
13.3
6
75%
7
1
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.9
20.6
9.7
8
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
2-5
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.4
16.9
19.7
3
22%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 206 · 21.4
16.6
15.5
5
31%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
13.2
16.3
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
2-3
67%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
12.0
3.4
6
60%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
6.8
10.5
6
100%
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.3
2.0
0
0-1
56%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 24.6
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.