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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 20, 2017
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nuggets61%110114
30Kings39%10798
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
39
31
20
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
55%
3-7
43%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
37
27
25
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
5-6
83%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
35
21
16
14
3
1
1
1
2
4
10
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
59%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.7
24
28
18
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
50%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
19
10
6
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
5
4-4
100%
1-7
2-3
14%
54%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
23
12
11
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
20
22
5
7
3
0
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
20
24
3
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
19
10
8
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.0
3
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
2
17
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.4
5
0
0-0
52%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
3
0
0-0
45%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.8
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.5
33
26
16
3
2
4
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
3-5
60%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 19.9
32
25
12
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
26
20
12
6
3
3
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.5
26
25
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.7
13
14
5
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
28
23
16
4
0
1
1
3
0
0
4
2-2
100%
7-9
3-5
78%
55%
0-0
-
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
23
27
2
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-7
5-9
14%
53%
0-0
-
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 23.6
21
15
11
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
1-2
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
21
24
10
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.7
9
12
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
9
11
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.9
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.4
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 26.6
Harry Giles
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.6
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.8
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.