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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 22, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Celtics56%10398
13Heat44%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.5
35.0
32.6
7
32%
9
4
1
1
2
1
2
7
0-2
0%
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
1-4
25%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.7
34.1
29.8
18
68%
7
4
1
1
1
1
1
6
5-5
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
50%
3-4
75%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
33.4
30.7
23
48%
1
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
1-4
25%
11-19
5-11
58%
50%
0-3
0%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.1
31.0
32.8
14
70%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
2-3
67%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
12.2
13.2
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
34.4
30.1
7
35%
3
4
0
2
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
39%
0-2
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
21.1
23.4
14
56%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
18.3
19.2
8
45%
6
1
3
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
2-6
33%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.6
9.8
6.5
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.1
6.0
7.2
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
4.9
9.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.9
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.7
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
35.9
28.5
26
54%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
44%
4-10
40%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.5
30.6
30.5
27
63%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
9-10
90%
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
2-4
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
30.0
31.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.4
28.1
26.4
8
80%
10
0
0
1
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
4-5
6-10
80%
56%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.7
25.1
21.9
8
67%
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.5
27.3
25.9
16
74%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
2-2
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
22.4
19.7
9
60%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
2-6
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
20.6
26.8
4
58%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
19.9
13.7
6
60%
6
2
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
55%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.3
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.5
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.6
1.8
0
0-0
41%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.