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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 22, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors58%112100
20Knicks42%109108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.7
35.8
32.6
25
67%
10
5
2
1
1
5
2
8
7-8
88%
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
4-10
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
31.4
34.2
18
51%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-6
33%
5-11
7-15
45%
48%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
29.3
26.6
9
30%
2
1
0
0
4
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
0-5
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
17.5
19.8
8
50%
6
1
0
0
3
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.4
15.8
21.4
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
1-2
50%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
28.9
27.4
8
50%
8
4
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
0-1
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
23.2
16.0
11
80%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
3-4
75%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
20.5
20.1
11
55%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.7
19.4
19.9
7
44%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.1
10.5
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.3
7.7
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
64%
0-0
-
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.2
7.2
0
1-1
47%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
36.9
29.9
38
61%
6
7
1
1
1
2
2
4
8-10
80%
9-18
3-6
50%
52%
4-9
44%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 22.3
35.1
30.8
22
47%
12
1
0
1
3
1
1
11
5-5
100%
7-17
7-13
41%
49%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.1
33.4
29.9
15
60%
5
7
3
1
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
31.8
24.5
2
17%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.5
31.6
28.0
11
58%
4
5
1
1
2
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
6-11
56%
56%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.9
25.7
25.6
8
57%
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-2
0%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 19.3
16.2
15.4
7
70%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
14.9
14.1
3
50%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27.7
14.3
13.3
2
33%
3
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.6
8.4
0
1-2
44%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
7.3
0
1-1
47%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
7.1
0
1-3
51%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
4.2
0
1-2
52%
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 23.3
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 22.4
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.6
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.