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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 22, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Mavericks38%10295
18Grizzlies62%10694
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
36.0
34.9
2
14%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.5
34.9
34.1
22
52%
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
3-5
60%
8-16
5-11
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.4
28.2
25.2
13
54%
8
1
2
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.0
26.9
25.2
17
43%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-13
4-8
31%
44%
3-7
43%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
12.7
14.6
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.4
24.1
23.0
10
50%
1
11
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.5
21.4
30.1
3
22%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-4
25%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.3
18.7
17.5
8
75%
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-3
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.7
17.9
14.9
11
56%
2
0
4
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.4
10.4
9.4
1
57%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
5.2
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
3.9
3.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.7
1.5
0
0-0
53%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.5
34.4
28.3
6
25%
7
8
2
2
0
4
0
7
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-5
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.8
33.6
35.6
14
43%
10
4
0
1
1
4
0
10
3-3
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
32.5
28.7
13
81%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
3-4
75%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.4
28.2
26.3
8
51%
9
1
1
1
0
0
2
7
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-3
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
24.0
23.3
11
61%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.2
30.1
28.5
18
63%
9
7
2
1
1
6
1
8
2-3
67%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.5
16.8
8.1
4
41%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.0
15.1
9.4
14
89%
7
0
0
0
2
0
0
7
2-2
100%
6-7
1-2
86%
52%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.4
12.8
16.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.8
12.6
16.7
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
6.5
0
0-1
43%
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.3
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.1
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.8
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.4
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.