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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 24, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies43%10792
18Nuggets57%110104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.8
38.1
34.4
15
51%
6
14
2
1
0
4
0
6
4-4
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
35.0
29.9
7
44%
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
1-3
33%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.4
32.1
26.9
21
106%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
7-7
3-5
100%
52%
2-2
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.5
29.6
30.4
12
51%
3
3
2
2
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
24.5
23.4
5
42%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.2
29.1
28.8
15
45%
2
1
3
1
1
4
1
1
0-4
0%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.8
22.4
14.8
9
77%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.5
15.9
12.2
6
51%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.0
13.2
11.9
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.4
14.9
0
1-2
54%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.3
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.2
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.8
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.1
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
37.9
31.7
15
44%
4
3
4
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
1-8
13%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.8
36.7
25.1
15
44%
6
4
0
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
35.9
25.6
28
71%
13
8
2
1
0
5
5
8
4-6
67%
9-12
4-7
75%
59%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
31.4
8.9
14
85%
9
1
0
0
1
1
4
5
8-12
67%
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.5
23.4
28.7
5
63%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
17.6
16.3
3
75%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
17.1
32.0
9
51%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
3-4
4-7
75%
49%
1-4
25%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
16.6
16.9
6
61%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
12.1
21.1
2
50%
3
2
0
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
11.3
23.0
7
51%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
2-2
2-6
100%
42%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.0
0.1
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
2.6
0
0-0
45%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.4
1.9
0
0-0
53%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.