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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 27, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Mavericks30%99108
3Spurs70%106115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.5
36
33
13
8
4
0
1
0
2
1
7
6-6
100%
2-10
5-11
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
33
34
19
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
5-6
83%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.0
28
27
19
1
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
8-12
4-9
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.4
26
23
11
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
13
17
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.7
26
18
13
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-4
75%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.4
22
20
16
5
6
3
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
2-3
67%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.6
21
25
0
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.4
20
17
10
5
1
4
1
0
0
0
5
4-9
44%
3-3
2-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.5
16
16
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
2
0
0-1
52%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
38
32
33
10
3
2
1
3
0
2
8
7-7
100%
13-19
7-14
68%
51%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.4
35
24
25
6
4
1
0
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
3-4
75%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
34
29
12
10
5
2
1
0
3
0
10
4-6
67%
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
34
27
12
5
5
1
1
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.5
14
17
6
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
28
26
12
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-7
29%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
19
16
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.3
17
18
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
9
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.2
5
21
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
4
6
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.0
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.3
21
1
3-7
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.