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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 29, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hornets29%103113
5Raptors71%110126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 29.0
33
17
10
1
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
32
16
9
6
5
0
1
0
5
2
4
7-7
100%
1-8
2-4
13%
42%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.0
31
27
22
10
3
1
1
0
1
2
8
6-8
75%
8-12
5-9
67%
58%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 24.2
28
28
12
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 31.4
20
24
5
3
0
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.5
29
28
18
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
2-4
50%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24.7
28
21
18
7
2
0
0
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
2-4
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
16
21
6
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
6-8
75%
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
16
9
9
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
3-4
75%
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 22.3
6
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24.1
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24.5
1
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
7
0
0-1
48%
Marcus Paige
G · 6'0" 164 · 24.2
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 27.6
Mangok Mathiang
F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.7
37
32
36
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
8-11
73%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
35
32
30
4
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
14-20
6-13
70%
49%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
30
24
8
8
1
1
0
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
0-3
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.6
22
18
12
7
0
0
0
0
1
6
1
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
57%
0-1
0%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.4
19
20
0
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.8
19
20
8
1
9
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
2-2
100%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
18
27
4
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.1
17
14
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
59%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
17
20
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
17
25
10
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.3
8
7
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
64%
1-1
100%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.3
9
0
1-2
47%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
3
0
0-0
51%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.