Final Win Prob. pScore
1843%102
100
1657%105
105
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Hornets
100.010098.4
MIA logo Heat
102.9102103.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
105
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
105
Q4 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
105
Q4 - 0:09.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
105
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2100
105
Q4 - 0:11.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)100
105
Q4 - 0:11.0CHABatum P.FOUL (P4.PN) (L.Richardson)100
104
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)100
104
Q4 - 0:17.0CHAKaminsky 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter-Williams 6 AST)100
104
Q4 - 0:18.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
104
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
104
Q4 - 0:26.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
104
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 298
104
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound98
104
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 298
104
Q4 - 0:29.0CHAKaminsky P.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Mauer)98
104
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Carter-Williams: Tip to Olynyk98
104
Q4 - 0:42.0CHALamb 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)98
104
Q4 - 0:46.0CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Kidd-Gilchrist96
104
Q4 - 0:46.0CHASUB: Lamb FOR Williams96
104
Q4 - 0:46.0CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)96
104
Q4 - 0:46.0MIARichardson 14' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)96
104
Q4 - 0:59.0CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Lamb96
102
Q4 - 0:59.0CHABatum Offensive Foul Turnover (P4.T22)96
102
Q4 - 0:59.0CHABatum Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN) (K.Mauer)96
102
Q4 - 1:09MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Olynyk 6 AST)96
102
Q4 - 1:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99
Q4 - 1:26CHAMISS Carter-Williams 1' Driving Layup96
99
Q4 - 1:46CHASUB: Lamb FOR Kidd-Gilchrist96
99
Q4 - 1:46CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)96
99
Q4 - 1:46MIAJohnson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)96
99
Q4 - 2:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
97
Q4 - 2:04CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 13' Pullup Jump Shot96
97
Q4 - 2:23MIADragic 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)96
97
Q4 - 2:36CHACarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
95
Q4 - 2:36CHACarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
95
Q4 - 2:36MIADragic P.FOUL (P4.PN) (M.Smith)94
95
Q4 - 2:47MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)94
95
Q4 - 2:47CHACarter-Williams S.FOUL (P3.T4) (L.Richardson)94
94
Q4 - 2:47MIARichardson 1' Tip Layup Shot (23 PTS)94
94
Q4 - 2:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
92
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot94
92
Q4 - 3:02CHAZeller 2' Jump Shot (12 PTS)94
92
Q4 - 3:04CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
92
Q4 - 3:04CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Layup Shot92
92
Q4 - 3:06CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
92
Q4 - 3:07CHAMISS Carter-Williams 9' Jump Shot92
92
Q4 - 3:10CHACarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
92
Q4 - 3:20CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
92
Q4 - 3:41MIAJohnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)92
92
Q4 - 3:57CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)92
90
Q4 - 3:57CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
90
Q4 - 3:57MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P4.PN) (K.Mauer)90
90
Q4 - 4:08MIAJohnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)90
90
Q4 - 4:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)90
88
Q4 - 4:13CHASUB: Williams FOR Kaminsky90
88
Q4 - 4:31MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
88
Q4 - 4:33CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
88
Q4 - 4:41CHACarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
88
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
88
Q4 - 5:06CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
88
Q4 - 5:06CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Lamb89
88
Q4 - 5:06CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
88
Q4 - 5:06MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.PN) (L.Richardson)88
88
Q4 - 5:14MIARichardson P.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Mauer)88
88
Q4 - 5:17MIARichardson P.FOUL (P2.T4) (L.Richardson)88
88
Q4 - 5:29MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)88
88
Q4 - 5:36MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)88
85
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Olynyk 1' Tip Layup Shot88
85
Q4 - 5:37MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
85
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 5:51CHASUB: Carter-Williams FOR Monk88
85
Q4 - 5:51MIASUB: Waiters FOR Johnson88
85
Q4 - 5:51CHALamb Traveling Turnover (P1.T21)88
85
Q4 - 5:58MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T22)88
85
Q4 - 6:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
85
Q4 - 6:17CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 6:33CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
85
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Olynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 6:50CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 6:50CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)87
85
Q4 - 6:50MIASUB: Richardson FOR Winslow86
85
Q4 - 6:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)86
85
Q4 - 6:50MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Smith)86
85
Q4 - 7:05CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
85
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot86
85
Q4 - 7:23MIASUB: Dragic FOR Ellington86
85
Q4 - 7:23CHALamb P.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Smith)86
85
Q4 - 7:23MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)86
85
Q4 - 7:25CHAMISS Monk 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
85
Q4 - 7:43MIAOlynyk 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)86
85
Q4 - 7:51MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
83
Q4 - 7:55CHAMISS Lamb 16' Pullup Jump Shot86
83
Q4 - 7:59CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
83
Q4 - 8:02CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
83
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)86
83
Q4 - 8:28CHAMonk P.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Smith)86
83
Q4 - 8:41CHALamb 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)86
83
Q4 - 8:50CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
83
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
83
Q4 - 9:04MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
83
Q4 - 9:07CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup84
83
Q4 - 9:18CHAHornets Rebound84
83
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup84
83
Q4 - 9:31CHABatum 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
83
Q4 - 9:51MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
83
Q4 - 9:51MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
82
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller S.FOUL (P4.T1) (L.Richardson)81
81
Q4 - 10:03CHALamb 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
81
Q4 - 10:09CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
81
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot79
81
Q4 - 10:18CHAEllington STEAL (2 STL)79
81
Q4 - 10:35MIAEllington 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
81
Q4 - 10:41MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
79
Q4 - 10:45CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
79
Q4 - 10:51MIAOlynyk Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)79
79
Q4 - 11:03CHALamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
79
Q4 - 11:03CHALamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 11:03MIAEllington S.FOUL (P1.T2) (L.Richardson)77
79
Q4 - 11:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
79
Q4 - 11:17CHAMISS Monk 3PT Jump Shot77
79
Q4 - 11:26MIAOlynyk Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T19)77
79
Q4 - 11:26MIAOlynyk Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T1) (L.Richardson)77
79
Q4 - 11:49CHAMonk Driving Layup (6 PTS)77
79
Q4 - 12:0075
79
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
79
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
79
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellington 7' Driving Layup75
79
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
79
Q3 - 0:09.0CHAMISS Monk 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
79
Q3 - 0:30.0MIARichardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)75
79
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
77
Q3 - 0:39.0CHARichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)75
77
Q3 - 1:00MIARichardson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 1:21CHAZeller L.B.FOUL (P3.T2) (L.Richardson)75
75
Q3 - 1:21MIAHEAT Rebound75
75
Q3 - 1:21CHAMISS Lamb 13' Floating Jump Shot75
75
Q3 - 1:35MIAJohnson 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Olynyk 5 AST)75
75
Q3 - 1:50CHAKidd-Gilchrist 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lamb 4 AST)75
73
Q3 - 2:09MIARichardson Driving Dunk (17 PTS)73
73
Q3 - 2:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
71
Q3 - 2:32CHAMISS Monk 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot73
71
Q3 - 2:36CHASUB: Lamb FOR Batum73
71
Q3 - 2:36MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Adebayo73
71
Q3 - 2:36MIASUB: Ellington FOR Waiters73
71
Q3 - 2:36CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)73
71
Q3 - 2:36MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Mauer)73
71
Q3 - 2:48MIAJohnson 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
71
Q3 - 3:11CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 2 AST)73
69
Q3 - 3:15MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)70
69
Q3 - 3:32CHAZeller 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)70
69
Q3 - 3:32CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
69
Q3 - 3:37CHAMISS Monk 18' Jump Shot68
69
Q3 - 3:45CHASUB: Monk FOR Carter-Williams68
69
Q3 - 3:45MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P3.T3) (L.Richardson)68
69
Q3 - 3:57MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)68
69
Q3 - 4:10MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow68
66
Q3 - 4:10CHAZeller Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T19)68
66
Q3 - 4:10CHAZeller OFF.Foul (P2) (K.Mauer)68
66
Q3 - 4:14CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
66
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot68
66
Q3 - 4:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
66
Q3 - 4:25CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Driving Layup68
66
Q3 - 4:29CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
66
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS Waiters 15' Step Back Jump Shot68
66
Q3 - 4:51CHACarter-Williams 14' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
66
Q3 - 5:06MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic66
66
Q3 - 5:06MIADragic Offensive Foul Turnover (P5.T17)66
66
Q3 - 5:06MIADragic OFF.Foul (P3) (L.Richardson)66
66
Q3 - 5:13CHACarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
66
Q3 - 5:13CHACarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
66
Q3 - 5:13MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Smith)64
66
Q3 - 5:26MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)64
66
Q3 - 5:55CHAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)64
63
Q3 - 6:15MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)62
63
Q3 - 6:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
60
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
60
Q3 - 6:39CHAWilliams 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)62
60
Q3 - 6:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)60
60
Q3 - 6:52MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T16)60
60
Q3 - 7:06CHACarter-Williams 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 7:25MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T15)58
60
Q3 - 7:31CHAWilliams Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T18)58
60
Q3 - 7:31CHAWilliams OFF.Foul (P1) (M.Smith)58
60
Q3 - 7:36CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
60
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Adebayo Free Throw 2 of 258
60
Q3 - 7:39CHASUB: Zeller FOR Howard58
60
Q3 - 7:39MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 7:39CHAHoward S.FOUL (P5.T1) (L.Richardson)58
59
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
59
Q3 - 7:44CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 7' Pullup Jump Shot58
59
Q3 - 7:59MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)58
59
Q3 - 8:13CHAHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P9.T17)58
56
Q3 - 8:18CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
56
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 8:32MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
56
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Adebayo 10' Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 9:03CHABatum 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
56
Q3 - 9:18MIAWinslow 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)56
56
Q3 - 9:33CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)56
54
Q3 - 9:33MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.T1) (L.Richardson)55
54
Q3 - 9:33CHAWilliams 3' Running Layup (8 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 9:33CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
54
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot53
54
Q3 - 9:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
54
Q3 - 9:45CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot53
54
Q3 - 9:49CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
54
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup53
54
Q3 - 10:02MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
54
Q3 - 10:05CHAMISS Carter-Williams 13' Jump Shot53
54
Q3 - 10:20MIADragic 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)53
54
Q3 - 10:26MIAHEAT Rebound53
52
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical53
52
Q3 - 10:26CHAHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Howard ) (M.Smith)53
52
Q3 - 10:36CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter-Williams 5 AST)53
52
Q3 - 10:51MIAAdebayo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)51
52
Q3 - 11:05CHAHoward Offensive Foul Turnover (P8.T16)51
52
Q3 - 11:05CHAHoward OFF.Foul (P4) (K.Mauer)51
52
Q3 - 11:09MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)51
52
Q3 - 11:29CHAHoward 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)51
50
Q3 - 11:49MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T13)49
50
Q3 - 12:0049
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 44' 3PT Jump Shot49
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
50
Q2 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Lamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
50
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
50
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
49
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Olynyk Free Throw 1 of 249
49
Q2 - 0:24.0CHAZeller P.FOUL (P1.PN) (L.Richardson)49
49
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
49
Q2 - 0:39.0CHAMISS Monk Free Throw 1 of 149
49
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.Smith)49
49
Q2 - 0:39.0CHAMonk 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)49
49
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)47
49
Q2 - 1:14CHAZeller 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Monk 3 AST)47
47
Q2 - 1:29MIAOlynyk 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)45
47
Q2 - 1:39MIASUB: Johnson FOR Johnson45
45
Q2 - 1:39MIASUB: Winslow FOR Adebayo45
45
Q2 - 1:39MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Dragic45
45
Q2 - 1:39CHAMonk P.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Smith)45
45
Q2 - 1:49CHAKidd-Gilchrist 6' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Lamb 3 AST)45
45
Q2 - 1:59MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)43
45
Q2 - 2:09CHASUB: Zeller FOR Batum43
45
Q2 - 2:09CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Howard43
45
Q2 - 2:09CHAHoward Offensive Foul Turnover (P7.T15)43
45
Q2 - 2:09CHAHoward Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T4) (K.Mauer)43
45
Q2 - 2:09CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
45
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot43
45
Q2 - 2:19CHAAdebayo STEAL (4 STL)43
45
Q2 - 2:32CHASUB: Monk FOR Carter-Williams43
45
Q2 - 2:32MIADragic Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)43
45
Q2 - 2:32CHACarter-Williams T.FOUL (P2.T3) (K.Mauer)43
44
Q2 - 2:32MIAAdebayo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T11)43
44
Q2 - 2:32CHAAdebayo STEAL (3 STL)43
44
Q2 - 2:43MIARichardson Running Dunk (10 PTS)43
44
Q2 - 2:46CHARichardson STEAL (1 STL)43
42
Q2 - 2:49CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
42
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot43
42
Q2 - 3:08CHAHoward Offensive Foul Turnover (P5.T11)43
42
Q2 - 3:08CHAHoward OFF.Foul (P2) (K.Mauer)43
42
Q2 - 3:16MIAWaiters 1' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)43
42
Q2 - 3:26CHAHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T10)43
40
Q2 - 3:36MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Mauer)43
40
Q2 - 3:45MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
40
Q2 - 3:45MIASUB: Richardson FOR Olynyk43
39
Q2 - 3:45MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Ellington43
39
Q2 - 3:45MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)43
39
Q2 - 3:45CHACarter-Williams S.FOUL (P2.T3) (L.Richardson)43
38
Q2 - 3:45MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
38
Q2 - 3:48CHAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)43
38
Q2 - 3:49CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
38
Q2 - 3:52CHAMISS Batum 12' Jump Shot43
38
Q2 - 4:00MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)43
38
Q2 - 4:15CHAHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)43
38
Q2 - 4:22MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)43
38
Q2 - 4:40CHASUB: Howard FOR Zeller43
38
Q2 - 4:40CHASUB: Batum FOR Kidd-Gilchrist43
38
Q2 - 4:40MIASUB: Waiters FOR Winslow43
38
Q2 - 4:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
38
Q2 - 4:48CHAZeller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)43
38
Q2 - 4:53CHACarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
38
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup41
38
Q2 - 5:09CHALamb 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
38
Q2 - 5:26MIADragic 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Olynyk 4 AST)39
38
Q2 - 5:38MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
36
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 5:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
36
Q2 - 5:51CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 6' Driving Hook Shot39
36
Q2 - 6:03CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
36
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 6:23CHALamb 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
36
Q2 - 6:33CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)37
36
Q2 - 6:33CHASUB: Carter-Williams FOR Kaminsky37
36
Q2 - 6:33CHASUB: Williams FOR Monk37
36
Q2 - 6:33CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
36
Q2 - 6:41MIAEllington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)37
36
Q2 - 6:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
33
Q2 - 6:55CHAMISS Lamb 8' Jump Bank Shot37
33
Q2 - 7:09MIAWinslow 1' Layup (5 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 7:10MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
31
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
31
Q2 - 7:41CHAKaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)37
31
Q2 - 7:51MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)34
31
Q2 - 7:56MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
31
Q2 - 8:01CHAMISS Monk 10' Fadeaway Jumper34
31
Q2 - 8:10MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
31
Q2 - 8:18CHAKaminsky P.FOUL (P2.T2) (L.Richardson)34
31
Q2 - 8:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
31
Q2 - 8:21CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Turnaround Jump Shot34
31
Q2 - 8:35MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)34
31
Q2 - 8:51MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
31
Q2 - 8:55CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 17' Jump Shot34
31
Q2 - 9:10CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
31
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 234
31
Q2 - 9:15MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson34
31
Q2 - 9:15MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
31
Q2 - 9:15CHAKaminsky S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Richardson)34
30
Q2 - 9:19MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
30
Q2 - 9:22CHAMISS Monk 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
30
Q2 - 9:34MIAWinslow 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)34
30
Q2 - 9:49CHAKaminsky 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)34
28
Q2 - 10:08MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)32
28
Q2 - 10:22MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
25
Q2 - 10:25CHAMISS Kaminsky 13' Jump Shot32
25
Q2 - 10:40CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
25
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
25
Q2 - 11:02CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Monk 2 AST)32
25
Q2 - 11:05CHAMonk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
25
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot30
25
Q2 - 11:20MIAHEAT Rebound30
25
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Winslow 7' Jump Shot30
25
Q2 - 11:24CHAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)30
25
Q2 - 11:47MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
25
Q2 - 12:0030
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup30
22
Q1 - 0:05.0CHAMonk Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
22
Q1 - 0:05.0CHAMonk Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
22
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (K.Mauer)28
22
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)28
22
Q1 - 0:18.0CHAEllington STEAL (1 STL)28
19
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)28
19
Q1 - 0:36.0CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Batum28
17
Q1 - 0:47.0CHABatum P.FOUL (P2.T4) (M.Smith)28
17
Q1 - 0:54.0CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Monk 1 AST)28
17
Q1 - 1:07MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
17
Q1 - 1:25CHABatum 12' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)25
14
Q1 - 1:38MIAOlynyk Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)23
14
Q1 - 1:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
14
Q1 - 1:45CHAMISS Batum 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot23
14
Q1 - 2:07MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
14
Q1 - 2:07MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
13
Q1 - 2:07CHAMonk S.FOUL (P1.T3) (L.Richardson)23
12
Q1 - 2:19CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
12
Q1 - 2:19CHASUB: Lamb FOR Kidd-Gilchrist23
12
Q1 - 2:19CHASUB: Monk FOR Howard23
12
Q1 - 2:19CHASUB: Zeller FOR Carter-Williams23
12
Q1 - 2:19CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams23
12
Q1 - 2:19MIASUB: Ellington FOR Waiters23
12
Q1 - 2:19CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T6)23
12
Q1 - 2:35MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
12
Q1 - 2:47CHAHoward 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)23
9
Q1 - 3:06CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
9
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9
Q1 - 3:24CHAHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)21
9
Q1 - 3:36CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
9
Q1 - 3:36CHAMISS Howard 1' Tip Dunk Shot19
9
Q1 - 3:36CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
9
Q1 - 3:44CHAMISS Batum 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
9
Q1 - 3:58MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)19
9
Q1 - 4:11CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
6
Q1 - 4:11MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson18
6
Q1 - 4:11CHAHornets Rebound18
6
Q1 - 4:11CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 218
6
Q1 - 4:11MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Mauer)18
6
Q1 - 4:24CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
6
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot18
6
Q1 - 4:44CHAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
6
Q1 - 4:44CHAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
6
Q1 - 4:44MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P1.PN) (K.Mauer)16
6
Q1 - 4:57MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
6
Q1 - 5:07CHAHoward Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T5)16
3
Q1 - 5:07CHAHoward OFF.Foul (P1) (L.Richardson)16
3
Q1 - 5:21MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Adebayo16
3
Q1 - 5:21MIAAdebayo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
3
Q1 - 5:21MIAAdebayo OFF.Foul (P2) (L.Richardson)16
3
Q1 - 5:29MIAHEAT Rebound16
3
Q1 - 5:29CHAAdebayo BLOCK (2 BLK)16
3
Q1 - 5:45MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)16
3
Q1 - 5:50MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
1
Q1 - 5:52CHAMISS Batum 1' Driving Layup16
1
Q1 - 6:11MIAJohnson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
1
Q1 - 6:11MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P1) (L.Richardson)16
1
Q1 - 6:16MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic16
1
Q1 - 6:16MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow16
1
Q1 - 6:16CHACarter-Williams P.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Smith)16
1
Q1 - 6:29CHABatum Layup (3 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)16
1
Q1 - 6:34MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
1
Q1 - 6:47CHACarter-Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS)14
1
Q1 - 7:07MIAAdebayo L.B.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Mauer)12
1
Q1 - 7:07CHAHornets Rebound12
1
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Dragic Running Layup12
1
Q1 - 7:11CHAAdebayo STEAL (2 STL)12
1
Q1 - 7:26MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Mauer)12
1
Q1 - 7:27CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
1
Q1 - 7:27MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup12
1
Q1 - 7:40CHAHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)12
1
Q1 - 7:51CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
1
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
1
Q1 - 8:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
1
Q1 - 8:17CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)12
1
Q1 - 8:23MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
1
Q1 - 8:36CHAHoward 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)10
1
Q1 - 8:48MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Smith)8
1
Q1 - 8:55CHABatum Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
1
Q1 - 8:55MIASpoelstra T.FOUL (P0.T1) (L.Richardson)7
1
Q1 - 8:55CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
1
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Tip Layup Shot7
1
Q1 - 8:55MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
1
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup7
1
Q1 - 9:04MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
1
Q1 - 9:06CHAMISS Batum 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
1
Q1 - 9:12MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Richardson)7
1
Q1 - 9:22MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
1
Q1 - 9:22MIAHEAT Rebound7
0
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 27
0
Q1 - 9:22CHABatum S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Mauer)7
0
Q1 - 9:28CHACarter-Williams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
0
Q1 - 9:36CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
0
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot5
0
Q1 - 9:43MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
0
Q1 - 9:47CHAAdebayo BLOCK (1 BLK)5
0
Q1 - 9:52CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
0
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup5
0
Q1 - 10:18CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)5
0
Q1 - 10:21CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Alley Oop Layup2
0
Q1 - 10:44CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 10:47CHACarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:53MIAMISS Waiters 4' Driving Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:08CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T2)0
0
Q1 - 11:18CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:32MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:40CHAAdebayo STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Adebayo vs. Howard: Tip to Carter-Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.14 56.8%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
26
65%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
CHA
16
33
48%
MIA
9
16
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
MIA
14
21.0
35
40%
60%
Free Throws
CHA
19
21
90%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams16100%8.0 / 8
N. Batum1346%6.5 / 14
M. Carter-Williams1267%6.0 / 9
C. Zeller1275%6.0 / 8
J. Lamb1250%6.0 / 12
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1045%5.0 / 11
D. Howard1063%5.0 / 8
F. Kaminsky956%4.5 / 8
M. Monk630%3.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2790%13.5 / 15
D. Waiters1956%9.5 / 17
W. Ellington1478%7.0 / 9
T. Johnson1286%6.0 / 7
K. Olynyk1056%5.0 / 9
J. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
J. Winslow739%3.5 / 9
G. Dragic729%3.5 / 12
B. Adebayo113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+10
-22
88
MIA
81
+13
-21
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.14 56.8%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
106.6
CHA 100.0
MIA 102.9 +2.9
Pace
98.3
95.8
CHA 98.4
MIA 103.7 +5.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.3
CHA 14.6
MIA 13.9 −0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.0%
CHA 51.3%
MIA 57.5% +6.2%
TO %
12.5%
14.1%
CHA 20.0%
MIA 19.8% −0.2%
ORB %
22.1%
21.5%
CHA 25.0% +1.9%
MIA 23.1%
FTrt
31.2
22.9
CHA 26.6 +0.3
MIA 26.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.4%
58.5%
CHA 55.3%
MIA 64.1% +8.8%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
CHA 9.0% +1.2%
MIA 7.8%
BLK %
7.9%
9.3%
CHA 11.1% +4.3%
MIA 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
53.5%
CHA 56.8% +0.9%
MIA 55.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.6%
CHA 65.4% +10.2%
MIA 55.2%
Mid FG%
38.7%
38.4%
CHA 48.5%
MIA 56.3% +7.8%
3P %
36.9%
36.0%
CHA 25.0%
MIA 40.0% +15.0%
FT %
74.7%
75.5%
CHA 90.5% +28.6%
MIA 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
35.8%
CHA 32.9%
MIA 36.3% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
35.1%
28.4%
CHA 41.8%
MIA 20.0% −21.8%
3P Att. %
31.4%
35.8%
CHA 25.3%
MIA 43.8% +18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points100105
Rebounds4039
Assists2125
Steals98
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)21 (1)
Fouls2424
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals38-7939-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2616-29
Midrange FG16-339-16
2-Point FG33-5925-45
3-Point FG5-2014-35
Free Throws19-2113-21
Fast Break Pts165
2nd Chance Pts1013
Points in Paint4436
Pts off Turnovers2623
Bench Points3944
Biggest Lead158

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 232 · 24
35.3
10
45%
5
2
3
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 230 · 29
35.3
13
46%
5
5
0
0
4
4
1
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
F · 6'9" 237 · 31
31.7
16
100%
6
0
2
1
2
1
0
6
2-3
67%
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 190 · 26
27.8
12
67%
4
6
1
1
2
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
16.6
10
63%
9
0
0
1
9
5
2
7
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25
31.4
12
75%
5
1
2
2
2
4
4
1
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 26
25.4
12
50%
4
4
1
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
20.2
6
30%
1
3
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-4
0%
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 25
16.3
9
56%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 221 · 22
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24
G · 6'6" 200 · 29
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 25
#4 · G · 6'0" 164 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'1" 184 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
57%
40
21
9
5
22
24
10
30
19-21
90%
33-59
56%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.