FinalWin Prob.pScore
177%116
123
1823%105
95
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
133.792100.8
MIA logo MIA
100.09587.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW123
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAOlynyk 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)123
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0GSWYoung Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)123
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0GSWYoung Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN) (M.Lindsay)123
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)123
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Olynyk 3' Hook Shot123
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0GSWCasspi 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)123
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMickey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMickey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)121
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14GSWLooney S.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Kirkland)121
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33GSWCasspi 9' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)121
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48GSWLooney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMickey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09GSWMISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16GSWCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39GSWMcGee 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McCaw 3 AST)119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47GSWLooney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13GSWLooney 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)117
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22GSWWarriors Rebound115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22GSWMickey BLOCK (1 BLK)115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWinslow 5' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (7 PTS)115
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48GSWLooney 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)115
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50GSWLooney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50GSWMISS McGee 4' Tip Layup Shot113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50GSWMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54GSWMISS Casspi 1' Layup113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAWinslow 1' Layup (5 PTS)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Mickey 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27GSWYoung Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32GSWBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34GSWMISS McCaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50GSWMcCaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13GSWYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McCaw 2 AST)113
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17GSWMcCaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHEAT Rebound110
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34GSWMISS McCaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)110
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01GSWYoung 19' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)110
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Olynyk 5 AST)108
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34GSWWest Dunk (8 PTS) (Thompson 4 AST)108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 6:45GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05GSWMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P4.T3) (M.Lindsay)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:18GSWWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Olynyk 1' Driving Layup105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35GSWCasspi P.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Lindsay)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:42GSWWest Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:01GSWJohnson STEAL (1 STL)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:10MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:19GSWWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:24GSWMISS West 1' Tip Layup Shot105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:27GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:37GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:57GSWCasspi 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:20MIAOlynyk 2' Layup (9 PTS)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 9:43GSWCasspi Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:43GSWCasspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)102
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:43MIAEllington S.FOUL (P3.T2) (E.Dalen)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:47GSWMcCaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Richardson 1' Running Layup101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:53MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:54GSWOlynyk BLOCK (1 BLK)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T11)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 10:23GSWMcCaw Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)101
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 10:29GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 10:48GSWThompson 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McCaw 1 AST)101
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 11:02MIAOlynyk Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:19GSWMISS West Free Throw 2 of 299
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:19GSWMISS West Free Throw 1 of 299
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:19MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P3.T1) (C.Kirkland)99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:33GSWCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Olynyk 11' Jump Shot99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0GSWDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)99
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Olynyk 4 AST)96
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0GSWBell 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Durant 7 AST)96
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)94
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q3 - 1:03GSWMISS Bell 2' Dunk94
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)94
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q3 - 1:24GSWYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Durant 6 AST)94
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q3 - 1:27GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup91
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q3 - 1:52GSWYoung P.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Lindsay)91
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 2:10MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q3 - 2:11GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q3 - 2:13GSWCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q3 - 2:30GSWMISS Durant 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)91
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 3:11GSWDurant 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (21 PTS)91
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q3 - 3:20GSWBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.1%
69
0.9%
Q3 - 3:38GSWDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q3 - 3:38GSWDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Kirkland)87
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIARichardson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)87
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHEAT Rebound87
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q3 - 4:18GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q3 - 4:26GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup87
99.0%
67
1.0%
Q3 - 4:52GSWThompson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Green 9 AST)87
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q3 - 4:58GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot84
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q3 - 5:15GSWDurant 12' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 8 AST)84
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q3 - 5:29MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
97.7%
67
2.3%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Adebayo Free Throw 1 of 282
97.8%
66
2.2%
Q3 - 5:29GSWPachulia S.FOUL (P2.T2) (E.Dalen)82
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q3 - 5:33GSWAdebayo STEAL (1 STL)82
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)82
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q3 - 5:49GSWDragic STEAL (2 STL)82
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q3 - 5:58GSWWarriors Rebound82
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q3 - 6:00GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
97.8%
66
2.2%
Q3 - 6:03GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup82
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q3 - 6:19GSWPachulia 3' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)82
97.5%
66
2.5%
Q3 - 6:35MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)80
97.1%
66
2.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q3 - 7:20GSWCurry 1' Layup (30 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)80
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q3 - 7:35GSWWarriors Rebound78
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Dragic 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot78
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q3 - 7:56GSWThompson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)78
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q3 - 8:06MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
96.3%
63
3.7%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 276
96.4%
62
3.6%
Q3 - 8:06GSWDurant S.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Dalen)76
96.2%
62
3.8%
Q3 - 8:25MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
96.2%
62
3.8%
Q3 - 8:28GSWWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)76
96.4%
62
3.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)76
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 9:07GSWDurant 1' Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)76
96.0%
62
4.0%
Q3 - 9:30MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)74
95.5%
62
4.5%
Q3 - 9:40GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)74
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIAAdebayo L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Lindsay)71
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q3 - 9:51GSWWarriors Rebound71
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Winslow 7' Turnaround Hook Shot71
92.9%
62
7.1%
Q3 - 10:06GSWGreen 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIAAdebayo 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
91.2%
62
8.8%
Q3 - 10:32GSWCurry 1' Running Layup (25 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)69
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 10:40MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)67
91.2%
60
8.8%
Q3 - 11:05GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Green 7 AST)67
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 11:12GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
87.6%
60
12.4%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Waiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot64
87.1%
60
12.9%
Q3 - 11:39GSWDurant 1' Driving Dunk (13 PTS)64
85.9%
60
14.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA62
84.2%
60
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
82.2%
60
17.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
83.6%
60
16.4%
Q2 - 0:11.0GSWCurry 1' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)62
82.8%
60
17.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)60
80.1%
60
19.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
82.8%
58
17.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0GSWMISS Durant 2' Cutting Layup Shot60
83.1%
58
16.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)60
84.0%
58
16.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
82.7%
58
17.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Layup60
83.6%
58
16.4%
Q2 - 1:11GSWWarriors Rebound60
82.9%
58
17.1%
Q2 - 1:12GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)60
82.9%
58
17.1%
Q2 - 1:13GSWMISS Green 18' Jump Shot60
83.2%
58
16.8%
Q2 - 1:15GSWWarriors Rebound60
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q2 - 1:15GSWRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)60
83.2%
58
16.8%
Q2 - 1:36GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
83.5%
58
16.5%
Q2 - 1:58GSWDurant 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Green 6 AST)60
82.9%
58
17.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)58
80.6%
58
19.4%
Q2 - 2:19GSWCurry 21' Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
78.7%
58
21.3%
Q2 - 2:24GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
76.5%
58
23.5%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
75.8%
58
24.2%
Q2 - 2:40GSWJohnson STEAL (1 STL)56
74.3%
58
25.7%
Q2 - 2:59MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)56
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q2 - 3:18GSWDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
80.9%
55
19.1%
Q2 - 3:18GSWDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
80.7%
55
19.3%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T3) (C.Kirkland)54
79.3%
55
20.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)54
79.3%
55
20.7%
Q2 - 3:32GSWMcCaw S.FOUL (P3.T3) (C.Kirkland)54
79.0%
54
21.0%
Q2 - 3:50GSWBell 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)54
82.7%
52
17.3%
Q2 - 3:59GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
81.2%
52
18.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Olynyk 18' Jump Shot52
80.8%
52
19.2%
Q2 - 4:16GSWDurant 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)52
79.5%
52
20.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAOlynyk Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)50
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAOlynyk OFF.Foul (P2) (C.Kirkland)50
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q2 - 4:42MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q2 - 4:44GSWMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
76.2%
52
23.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)50
77.7%
52
22.3%
Q2 - 5:12GSWDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
81.7%
49
18.3%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJohnson 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)47
78.3%
49
21.7%
Q2 - 5:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
79.9%
47
20.1%
Q2 - 5:51GSWMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q2 - 6:07MIAOlynyk 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)47
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q2 - 6:16GSWWest P.FOUL (P1.T2) (E.Dalen)47
83.3%
45
16.7%
Q2 - 6:20GSWWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)47
83.3%
45
16.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAEllington S.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.Lindsay)46
83.7%
45
16.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJohnson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)44
80.5%
45
19.5%
Q2 - 6:24GSWLivingston T.FOUL (P0.T1) (E.Dalen)44
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 6:24GSWWarriors Rebound44
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 6:24GSWMISS Livingston 13' Jump Shot44
80.7%
44
19.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIAOlynyk 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)44
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 6:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
83.3%
42
16.7%
Q2 - 6:51GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
83.9%
42
16.1%
Q2 - 7:02GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
84.6%
42
15.4%
Q2 - 7:30GSWThompson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)44
83.5%
42
16.5%
Q2 - 7:53MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)42
82.1%
42
17.9%
Q2 - 8:12GSWThompson 1' Layup (9 PTS)42
84.7%
39
15.3%
Q2 - 8:13GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 8:16GSWMISS Thompson 1' Layup40
82.4%
39
17.6%
Q2 - 8:22GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
83.0%
39
17.0%
Q2 - 8:38GSWGreen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)40
81.9%
39
18.1%
Q2 - 8:49GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
80.4%
39
19.6%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Bank Shot38
79.9%
39
20.1%
Q2 - 9:11GSWThompson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)38
78.7%
39
21.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)36
77.1%
39
22.9%
Q2 - 9:40GSWWest 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)36
75.1%
39
24.9%
Q2 - 9:46GSWCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
73.4%
39
26.6%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Johnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot34
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q2 - 10:03GSWCasspi P.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Dalen)34
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 10:06MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 10:07GSWMISS Casspi 2' Cutting Layup Shot34
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 10:29MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)34
73.4%
39
26.6%
Q2 - 10:40MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q2 - 10:44GSWMISS Casspi 11' Turnaround Hook Shot34
77.5%
36
22.5%
Q2 - 11:01GSWWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
79.0%
36
21.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot34
78.5%
36
21.5%
Q2 - 11:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q2 - 11:11GSWMISS Livingston 13' Turnaround Jump Shot34
77.8%
36
22.2%
Q2 - 11:23GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
78.9%
36
21.1%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup34
78.4%
36
21.6%
Q2 - 11:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Johnson 1' Cutting Layup Shot34
78.4%
36
21.6%
Q2 - 11:43GSWWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
77.2%
36
22.8%
Q2 - 11:43GSWMISS West Free Throw 1 of 233
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q2 - 11:43MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Dalen)33
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound33
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Waiters 20' Fadeaway Jumper33
76.8%
36
23.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0GSWMcCaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
75.9%
36
24.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0GSWMcCaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAEllington L.B.FOUL (P1.PN) (C.Kirkland)31
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0GSWWarriors Rebound31
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
73.2%
36
26.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0GSWCurry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)31
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0GSWCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
67.9%
36
32.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Johnson 23' Jump Shot28
67.4%
36
32.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
66.3%
36
33.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
66.8%
36
33.2%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)28
68.3%
36
31.7%
Q1 - 1:18GSWCurry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Green 5 AST)28
72.5%
33
27.5%
Q1 - 1:41MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
68.2%
33
31.8%
Q1 - 1:59GSWCasspi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
72.5%
30
27.5%
Q1 - 1:59GSWCasspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
72.0%
30
28.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (C.Kirkland)23
70.2%
30
29.8%
Q1 - 2:12GSWBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
70.8%
30
29.2%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Olynyk 9' Jump Shot23
70.3%
30
29.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
69.0%
30
31.0%
Q1 - 2:24GSWMISS Durant Driving Layup23
69.5%
30
30.5%
Q1 - 2:26GSWDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
70.8%
30
29.2%
Q1 - 2:29GSWMISS Durant 3PT Jump Shot23
69.5%
30
30.5%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
70.8%
30
29.2%
Q1 - 2:52MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
72.8%
28
27.2%
Q1 - 2:53GSWMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
73.3%
28
26.7%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
75.0%
28
25.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
75.4%
27
24.6%
Q1 - 3:14GSWMcCaw S.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Kirkland)23
76.4%
26
23.6%
Q1 - 3:28MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
76.4%
26
23.6%
Q1 - 3:31GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
77.0%
26
23.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
78.2%
26
21.8%
Q1 - 3:44GSWMcCaw S.FOUL (P1.T4) (M.Lindsay)23
78.0%
25
22.0%
Q1 - 3:56GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)23
80.9%
23
19.1%
Q1 - 3:56MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4) (M.Lindsay)22
81.1%
23
18.9%
Q1 - 4:17GSWWarriors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bell ) (M.Lindsay)20
80.9%
21
19.1%
Q1 - 4:17MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)20
80.9%
21
19.1%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
80.7%
20
19.3%
Q1 - 4:25GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q1 - 4:31GSWWarriors Rebound20
82.1%
20
17.9%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q1 - 4:55GSWCurry Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)20
80.6%
20
19.4%
Q1 - 4:55GSWMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 319
80.5%
20
19.5%
Q1 - 4:55GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)19
81.6%
20
18.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Kirkland)18
79.6%
20
20.4%
Q1 - 5:01GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
80.0%
20
20.0%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
79.6%
20
20.4%
Q1 - 5:22MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
78.7%
20
21.3%
Q1 - 5:25GSWMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 218
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q1 - 5:25GSWPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
79.6%
20
20.4%
Q1 - 5:25MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Kirkland)17
78.7%
20
21.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)17
78.7%
20
21.3%
Q1 - 5:35GSWThompson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Kirkland)17
79.9%
19
20.1%
Q1 - 5:36MIADragic 29' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
79.9%
19
20.1%
Q1 - 5:59GSWCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 4 AST)17
81.9%
16
18.1%
Q1 - 6:07GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
80.1%
16
19.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Waiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot14
79.7%
16
20.3%
Q1 - 6:27GSWPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
78.9%
16
21.1%
Q1 - 6:27MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Lindsay)13
78.9%
16
21.1%
Q1 - 6:44MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
76.6%
16
23.4%
Q1 - 7:06GSWPachulia 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Green 3 AST)11
78.0%
14
22.0%
Q1 - 7:20MIADragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)9
77.1%
14
22.9%
Q1 - 7:41GSWDurant 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)9
78.0%
12
22.0%
Q1 - 7:48GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
77.1%
12
22.9%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Waiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot7
76.7%
12
23.3%
Q1 - 8:09GSWThompson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)7
76.5%
12
23.5%
Q1 - 8:31MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)5
75.6%
12
24.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 8:31GSWPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Kirkland)5
76.5%
10
23.5%
Q1 - 8:46GSWThompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)5
76.5%
10
23.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)2
75.0%
10
25.0%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.7%
8
24.3%
Q1 - 9:13GSWMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
76.1%
8
23.9%
Q1 - 9:29MIAAdebayo 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
76.8%
8
23.2%
Q1 - 9:30MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
77.4%
6
22.6%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot2
78.0%
6
22.0%
Q1 - 9:54GSWCurry 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
77.4%
6
22.6%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
76.8%
6
23.2%
Q1 - 10:14MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
77.9%
3
22.1%
Q1 - 10:19GSWMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot0
78.1%
3
21.9%
Q1 - 10:25GSWWarriors Rebound0
78.5%
3
21.5%
Q1 - 10:26GSWMISS Thompson 3PT Jump Shot0
78.1%
3
21.9%
Q1 - 10:46MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
78.2%
3
21.8%
Q1 - 10:57GSWCurry P.FOUL (P1.T1) (C.Kirkland)0
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 10:58GSWDragic STEAL (1 STL)0
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 10:58GSWPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
79.1%
0
20.9%
Q1 - 11:01GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:13GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Adebayo 7' Hook Shot0
78.6%
0
21.4%
Q1 - 11:20MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 11:22GSWMISS Curry 2' Cutting Layup Shot0
78.3%
0
21.7%
Q1 - 11:32GSWWarriors Rebound0
78.1%
0
21.9%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Richardson 20' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
78.1%
0
21.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Adebayo vs. Pachulia: Tip to Winslow0
77.2%
0
22.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.28 64.1%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
27
39
69%
MIA
16
27
59%
Midrange
GSW
9
15
60%
MIA
3
17
18%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
MIA
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
Free Throws
GSW
18
24
75%
MIA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3088%15.0 / 17
K. Durant2460%12.0 / 20
K. Thompson1959%9.5 / 16
O. Casspi1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia880%4.0 / 5
N. Young8100%4.0 / 4
D. West867%4.0 / 6
D. Green440%2.0 / 5
J. Bell467%2.0 / 3
K. Looney467%2.0 / 3
P. McCaw233%1.0 / 3
J. McGee250%1.0 / 2
S. Livingston0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2083%10.0 / 12
K. Olynyk1458%7.0 / 12
T. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
J. Richardson1255%6.0 / 11
B. Adebayo964%4.5 / 7
W. Ellington945%4.5 / 10
J. Winslow770%3.5 / 5
J. Johnson531%2.5 / 8
D. Waiters418%2.0 / 11
J. Mickey250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
83
+13
-9
96
MIA
84
+9
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.28 64.1%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
106.6
GSW 133.7 +33.7
MIA 100.0
Pace
99.9
95.8
GSW 100.8 +13.5
MIA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.3
GSW 14.3 +2.2
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.9%
52.0%
GSW 62.5% +13.1%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
15.0%
14.1%
GSW 9.6% +2.3%
MIA 11.9%
ORB %
21.1%
21.5%
GSW 23.3% +10.5%
MIA 12.8%
FTrt
23.9
22.9
GSW 28.6 +7.6
MIA 21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
68.5%
58.5%
GSW 68.1% +16.6%
MIA 51.5%
STL %
8.0%
7.8%
GSW 4.3%
MIA 5.3% +1.0%
BLK %
12.3%
9.3%
GSW 9.1% +1.7%
MIA 7.4%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.8%
53.5%
GSW 64.1% +13.0%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
66.5%
60.6%
GSW 69.2% +9.9%
MIA 59.3%
Mid FG%
46.7%
38.4%
GSW 60.0% +42.4%
MIA 17.6%
3P %
39.1%
36.0%
GSW 36.7%
MIA 37.8% +1.1%
FT %
81.5%
75.5%
GSW 75.0%
MIA 88.2% +13.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.8%
GSW 46.4% +13.1%
MIA 33.3%
Mid Att. %
34.8%
28.4%
GSW 17.9% +3.1%
MIA 21.0%
3P Att. %
34.0%
35.8%
GSW 35.7%
MIA 45.7% +10.0%
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9295
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points12395
Rebounds4128
Assists3217
Steals45
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)11 (1)
Fouls1415
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)23 (3)
Field Goals47-8433-81
At-the-Rim FG27-3916-27
Midrange FG9-153-17
2-Point FG36-5419-44
3-Point FG11-3014-37
Free Throws18-2415-17
Fast Break Pts140
2nd Chance Pts99
Points in Paint5832
Pts off Turnovers149
Bench Points3843
Biggest Lead338

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 230 · 28
32.0
4
40%
7
9
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 220 · 28
31.1
19
59%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
6-8
75%
2-7
29%
G · 6'2" 185 · 30
30.3
30
88%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-7
86%
5-9
56%
F · 6'11" 240 · 29
28.4
24
60%
3
7
1
0
4
1
1
2
4-4
100%
7-11
64%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 270 · 34
17.6
8
80%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
25.1
10
63%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 185 · 22
18.8
2
33%
3
3
1
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 33
15.4
8
100%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23
12.7
4
67%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 37
11.9
8
67%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 22
6.5
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 32
5.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 30
4.5
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#9 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'2" 179 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
64%
41
32
4
4
9
14
7
34
18-24
75%
36-54
67%
11-30
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.