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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 4, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Cavaliers
113
28Bulls
91
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
34
35
23
7
6
2
1
0
2
0
7
3-4
75%
7-11
8-13
64%
61%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.2
27
16
5
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
26
33
3
2
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.2
23
29
24
13
0
0
1
1
0
0
13
5-5
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
3-6
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
21
23
9
0
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
3-7
43%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.9
26
24
24
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-5
100%
8-11
4-9
73%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.3
25
22
14
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
8
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.6
25
15
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.7
23
26
7
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
1-5
20%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.7
6
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-2
0%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 20.9
4
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.2
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.1
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.8
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.4
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.2
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.5
32
29
13
7
1
2
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
31
27
15
6
5
0
2
1
3
1
5
1-3
33%
4-9
4-8
44%
44%
2-4
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.7
31
34
14
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
3-8
38%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.0
30
32
7
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
40%
1-4
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.7
26
30
14
5
2
0
0
2
0
3
2
4-5
80%
5-7
6-11
71%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.8
27
14
10
9
3
0
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
2-6
33%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 24.9
16
18
2
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.8
15
16
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
13
24
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.4
12
11
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
57%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.7
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.7
4
2
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.2
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.