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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 4, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nuggets42%109105
19Mavericks58%112122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
43.0
34.5
21
56%
3
4
3
2
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
55%
3-8
38%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.8
28.1
30.5
22
80%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
4-8
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
27.9
23.6
13
47%
11
2
0
1
0
0
6
5
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
27.4
26.6
4
17%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
51%
0-4
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
19.1
23.3
3
32%
7
4
0
1
1
2
2
5
1-6
17%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
41.3
29.6
23
54%
8
6
1
1
0
0
2
6
1-3
33%
5-14
3-7
36%
49%
4-6
67%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
15.8
16.6
5
42%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
15.5
23.4
7
70%
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
12.0
22.5
5
63%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.0
7.6
3.1
2
114%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.5
2.4
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.8
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.5
36.3
31.2
22
57%
10
3
0
1
0
1
0
10
3-3
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
33.4
28.5
15
66%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
3-8
38%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.0
30.9
24.6
20
63%
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
7-12
4-9
58%
47%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.5
20.8
23.8
9
58%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.8
19.1
20.0
2
100%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.6
25.4
21.3
16
85%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
45%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.4
23.1
19.5
11
75%
7
3
0
1
1
0
2
5
1-3
33%
5-6
2-4
83%
57%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.8
22.8
20.9
14
75%
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-4
75%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.4
19.2
22.5
7
39%
2
9
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.5
9.0
13.3
6
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.7
3.4
0
0-1
53%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
1.5
0
0-0
55%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.8
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.