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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 4, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pistons47%10293
16Spurs53%10396
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
39.8
30.3
15
50%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
3-7
43%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.6
33.8
26.1
27
59%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-4
25%
10-17
4-8
59%
47%
2-4
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
33.3
30.4
3
16%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.3
31.7
33.9
11
52%
15
2
3
2
1
2
5
10
3-6
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
24.1
16.8
5
51%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-4
25%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.5
30.2
29.0
14
54%
10
1
2
1
0
0
0
10
5-7
71%
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
16.3
8.4
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.4
14.3
19.8
11
47%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
8.8
11.7
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-3
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.4
7.7
19.5
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
0.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.3
4.9
0
1-2
53%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
4.0
0
0-0
46%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 24.7
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
35.1
21.5
17
42%
10
4
1
0
0
3
1
9
7-7
100%
5-16
5-10
31%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
34.3
24.2
11
61%
6
3
0
1
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.3
31.7
18.1
12
48%
10
4
0
1
2
0
4
6
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.4
28.9
22.7
15
54%
10
4
0
0
2
2
0
10
2-2
100%
5-11
3-5
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
19.6
17.5
7
64%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.4
26.4
13.6
12
64%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
25.1
18.5
11
69%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.1
15.5
14.5
11
69%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
3-6
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
13.1
23.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.2
8.6
22.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
1.7
16.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
13.8
0
2-4
51%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
8.3
0
1-1
45%
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.