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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 6, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Kings15%10395
5Cavaliers85%117101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.7
33.0
11.0
6
50%
16
0
1
0
0
0
4
12
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
31.9
28.0
18
45%
10
6
3
1
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
6-17
5-11
35%
48%
2-3
67%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.6
30.0
21.9
10
50%
5
3
1
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
2-6
33%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.0
28.8
23.4
6
47%
1
2
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
3-8
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.6
19.1
30.8
5
34%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.0
25.7
19.6
17
63%
4
3
3
1
1
3
0
4
1-1
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
2-6
33%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 23.7
19.2
19.8
15
72%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
6-10
60%
3-4
2-6
75%
42%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.9
18.5
9.4
5
83%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
1-2
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
17.7
25.3
5
31%
2
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
1-7
14%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
16.1
12.4
8
57%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
53%
0-0
-
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.4
6.7
0
1-2
52%
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 26.7
0.3
0
0-0
43%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.7
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.7
Harry Giles
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
41.0
34.4
32
78%
11
9
3
1
2
7
2
9
3-6
50%
7-10
8-12
70%
62%
5-8
63%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
33.6
29.9
6
43%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.2
29.9
26.5
18
52%
13
1
1
1
0
2
1
12
3-3
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
51%
1-6
17%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
23.9
22.0
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.2
15.2
20.1
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.7
25.9
24.0
15
76%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
4-8
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.9
24.8
24.1
4
26%
3
6
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-6
33%
1-4
4-9
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.3
24.1
22.8
17
87%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
4-4
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.6
17.9
18.9
5
63%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.7
3.9
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 20.9
2.5
0
0-1
56%
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.2
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.1
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.8
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.4
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.7
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.