FinalWin Prob.pScore
1836%99
105
1264%104
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.08998.2
SAS logo SAS
130.09082.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASMISS Gay 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAGay STEAL (3 STL)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Bertans FOR Green105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Paul FOR Ginobili105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Forbes FOR Aldridge105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Murray FOR Mills105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SASAldridge 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)105
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWaiters 17' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)105
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)103
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P5.T3) (B.Barnaky)103
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 1:56SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot103
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 2:14SASAldridge 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)103
0.8%
113
99.2%
Q4 - 2:14SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)103
1.1%
111
98.9%
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup103
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 2:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
1.1%
111
98.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 2:48SASMills 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)103
2.1%
111
97.9%
Q4 - 3:02SASSUB: Green FOR Bertans103
1.1%
109
98.9%
Q4 - 3:02SASSUB: Gay FOR Forbes103
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:02SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)103
2.1%
109
97.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)103
3.7%
109
96.3%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
1.8%
109
98.2%
Q4 - 3:11SASMISS Ginobili 12' Floating Jump Shot100
1.5%
109
98.5%
Q4 - 3:24MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)100
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 3:24MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)99
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 3:24SASAldridge S.FOUL (P5.T4) (B.Barnaky)98
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
1.5%
109
98.5%
Q4 - 3:34SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot98
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:37SASSPURS Rebound98
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Floating Jump Shot98
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 3:48MIAOlynyk Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T17)98
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 3:56SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)98
1.4%
109
98.6%
Q4 - 4:19MIARichardson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 4:28SASMills P.FOUL (P3.T3) (L.Holtkamp)96
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 4:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot96
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWaiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)96
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 5:13SASGay 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)94
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 5:31SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot94
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 5:41MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 5:44SASMISS Aldridge 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot94
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington93
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:04SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green93
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 6:04SASGreen S.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Barnaky)92
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:22SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)92
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)92
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 6:58SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 6:58SASSUB: Aldridge FOR Gasol89
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 6:58SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 6:58MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.T2) (R.Mott)89
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 6:59MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)89
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13SASParker Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)89
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 7:29MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T15)89
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 7:43SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)89
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q4 - 8:05MIARichardson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)89
5.3%
98
94.7%
Q4 - 8:15MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
4.1%
98
95.9%
Q4 - 8:18SASMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 287
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 8:18MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Adebayo87
4.0%
98
96.0%
Q4 - 8:18SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAJohnson Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)87
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 8:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 8:21MIAGreen BLOCK (3 BLK)87
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 8:38SASGay 3' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)87
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 8:48SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 9:00SASParker 11' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)87
8.3%
95
91.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
11.2%
93
88.8%
Q4 - 9:32SASForbes Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T9)85
9.1%
93
90.9%
Q4 - 9:32SASForbes OFF.Foul (P1) (R.Mott)85
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound84
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 284
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 9:48SASGasol S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)84
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 9:55SASMISS Gay 2' Driving Reverse Dunk Shot84
6.8%
93
93.2%
Q4 - 10:09SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 10:12MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)84
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 10:32SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)84
8.1%
93
91.9%
Q4 - 10:42SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Dragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot84
12.8%
90
87.2%
Q4 - 10:59SASGasol 1' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)84
14.8%
90
85.2%
Q4 - 11:09MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)84
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q4 - 11:32SASGasol 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)84
22.2%
88
77.8%
Q4 - 11:45MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)84
26.1%
86
73.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
22.2%
86
77.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)82
22.8%
86
77.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASGasol 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)79
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q3 - 1:07SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
26.8%
81
73.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot79
28.0%
81
72.0%
Q3 - 1:15MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
30.9%
81
69.1%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 279
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q3 - 1:20MIASUB: Dragic FOR Waiters79
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q3 - 1:20MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
30.1%
81
69.9%
Q3 - 1:20SASMills S.FOUL (P2.T3) (R.Mott)78
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q3 - 1:21SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q3 - 1:32MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Olynyk78
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q3 - 1:32MIAOlynyk L.B.FOUL (P4.T4) (R.Mott)78
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q3 - 1:32SASSPURS Rebound78
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q3 - 1:35SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Bertans 3PT Jump Shot78
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q3 - 1:43MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)78
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q3 - 2:03SASBertans 1' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
26.9%
81
73.1%
Q3 - 2:17MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)78
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson78
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q3 - 2:41SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)78
34.8%
79
65.2%
Q3 - 2:52MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Olynyk 4 AST)78
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q3 - 3:11SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q3 - 3:17SASBertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot75
31.9%
76
68.1%
Q3 - 3:22SASBertans Personal Block Foul (P2.T2) (L.Holtkamp)75
34.8%
76
65.2%
Q3 - 3:42SASForbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)75
34.8%
76
65.2%
Q3 - 3:57MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)75
42.9%
73
57.1%
Q3 - 4:05MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
34.7%
73
65.3%
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup72
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q3 - 4:29MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)72
30.4%
73
69.6%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHeat Rebound69
24.2%
73
75.8%
Q3 - 4:49SASMISS Mills 18' Pullup Jump Shot69
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q3 - 5:13MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)69
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q3 - 5:17SASBertans Personal Block Foul (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)66
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 5:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 5:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Barnaky)66
18.5%
71
81.5%
Q3 - 5:46MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)66
18.5%
71
81.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 5:55SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Bank Shot66
20.5%
71
79.5%
Q3 - 6:18MIARichardson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIARichardson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2) (L.Holtkamp)66
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q3 - 6:35SASForbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)66
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q3 - 6:39SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
27.2%
68
72.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot66
28.3%
68
71.7%
Q3 - 7:03SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker66
28.3%
68
71.7%
Q3 - 7:03SASAldridge Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)66
30.7%
68
69.3%
Q3 - 7:03SASAldridge OFF.Foul (P4) (L.Holtkamp)66
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 7:36SASGreen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)63
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 7:53MIADragic Backcourt Turnover (P3.T9)63
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
27.5%
66
72.5%
Q3 - 8:00SASMISS Gay 1' Putback Layup63
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q3 - 8:00SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot63
26.6%
66
73.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWinslow 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)63
24.3%
66
75.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
22.1%
66
77.9%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup61
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q3 - 8:45SASForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)61
22.1%
66
77.9%
Q3 - 8:59SASSPURS Rebound61
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAParker BLOCK (1 BLK)61
28.2%
63
71.8%
Q3 - 9:13SASGay 10' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)61
30.3%
63
69.7%
Q3 - 9:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
33.2%
61
66.8%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot61
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q3 - 9:42SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)61
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 9:42SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q3 - 9:46SASMISS Parker 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot61
42.5%
59
57.5%
Q3 - 10:04SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Dragic 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot61
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 10:26SASGreen 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)61
43.1%
59
56.9%
Q3 - 10:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
46.2%
57
53.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)61
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 10:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
50.0%
57
50.0%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Gay 23' Jump Shot61
48.9%
57
51.1%
Q3 - 11:10MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)61
45.6%
57
54.4%
Q3 - 11:20MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
39.1%
57
60.9%
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Forbes 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup58
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson58
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P4.T1) (L.Holtkamp)58
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q3 - 11:38SASSPURS Rebound58
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot58
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 12:0058
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS58
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound58
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Gay 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
36.2%
57
63.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Winslow 22' Jump Shot58
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Rebound58
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)58
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Rebound58
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Gay 6' Pullup Jump Shot58
37.6%
57
62.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIADragic 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
36.2%
57
63.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
32.1%
57
67.9%
Q2 - 1:09SASMISS Forbes 14' Pullup Jump Shot56
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q2 - 1:20SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q2 - 1:36SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Adebayo: Tip to Gay56
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q2 - 1:36SAS56
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q2 - 1:36MIA56
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q2 - 1:46MIAAdebayo 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)56
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)54
27.5%
57
72.5%
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)54
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)54
28.4%
55
71.6%
Q2 - 2:08MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P2.T4) (B.Barnaky)54
32.7%
54
67.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson54
32.7%
54
67.3%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)54
32.8%
54
67.2%
Q2 - 2:45MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q2 - 2:59MIAHeat Rebound51
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q2 - 3:00SASMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 151
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Barnaky)51
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q2 - 3:00SASForbes 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)51
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q2 - 3:18MIAAdebayo 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)51
29.7%
52
70.3%
Q2 - 3:41SASForbes 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)49
27.7%
52
72.3%
Q2 - 3:52MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2) (R.Mott)49
32.3%
49
67.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASSPURS Rebound49
32.3%
49
67.7%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Bertans 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot49
34.4%
49
65.6%
Q2 - 3:53SASBertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
32.3%
49
67.7%
Q2 - 3:55SASMISS Aldridge 9' Driving Hook Shot49
34.4%
49
65.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)49
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 4:36SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 4:36SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)46
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIASUB: Waiters FOR Dragic46
27.8%
47
72.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIASUB: Richardson FOR Ellington46
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIAJohnson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T8)46
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q2 - 4:55MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P2) (L.Holtkamp)46
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 5:00MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 5:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)46
30.5%
47
69.5%
Q2 - 5:32SASBertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)46
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 5:49MIAOlynyk 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)46
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 6:06SASAldridge 1' Layup (8 PTS)44
34.9%
44
65.1%
Q2 - 6:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
37.7%
42
62.3%
Q2 - 6:28MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow44
37.7%
42
62.3%
Q2 - 6:34SASGinobili 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)44
40.0%
42
60.0%
Q2 - 6:52MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 6:58SASGreen 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)44
45.3%
40
54.7%
Q2 - 6:58SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
47.3%
38
52.7%
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Aldridge 15' Turnaround Jump Shot44
48.9%
38
51.1%
Q2 - 7:23MIAJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)44
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 7:42SASForbes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
44.6%
38
55.4%
Q2 - 7:50MIAAdebayo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)42
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:02SASGreen L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)42
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAHeat Rebound42
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
50.0%
35
50.0%
Q2 - 8:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 8:09SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot42
51.0%
35
49.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)42
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 8:40SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)39
44.2%
35
55.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIADragic 11' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q2 - 9:08SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)37
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 9:37SASMISS Gasol 13' Turnaround Jump Shot37
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q2 - 10:00MIAJohnson 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)37
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 10:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 10:05SASMISS Gay Driving Finger Roll Layup35
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)35
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 10:24SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills35
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 10:32SASGasol 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)35
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 10:32SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
40.9%
31
59.1%
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Gasol 1' Layup35
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 10:44SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
40.9%
31
59.1%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot35
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
43.6%
31
56.4%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot35
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 11:08SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)35
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 11:20SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 11:37SASGay 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)35
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 12:0035
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS35
50.0%
27
50.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound35
50.0%
27
50.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Paul 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Gay FOR Bertans35
50.0%
27
50.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAdebayo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
49.6%
27
50.4%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAdebayo OFF.Foul (P1) (B.Barnaky)35
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMills Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)35
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASSUB: Forbes FOR Ginobili35
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)35
49.6%
27
50.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q1 - 1:07MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)32
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q1 - 1:26MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Paul 23' Jump Shot30
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q1 - 1:38SASSPURS Rebound30
38.1%
27
61.9%
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup30
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q1 - 1:45SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
38.1%
27
61.9%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
38.6%
27
61.4%
Q1 - 2:05SASPaul Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)30
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q1 - 2:19MIABertans STEAL (1 STL)30
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q1 - 2:41SASBertans 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
44.4%
25
55.6%
Q1 - 2:45SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Adebayo 3' Alley Oop Layup30
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 2:56MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 2:59SASMISS Bertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson30
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson30
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Olynyk30
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 3:07SASSUB: Gasol FOR Aldridge30
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q1 - 3:07MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2) (L.Holtkamp)30
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 3:22MIARichardson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)30
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 3:43SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)28
44.0%
23
56.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJohnson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 4:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 4:12MIABertans BLOCK (1 BLK)26
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 4:16SASBertans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)26
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 4:30MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 4:32SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup26
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
42.6%
20
57.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
38.3%
20
61.7%
Q1 - 5:06SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot23
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 5:10MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic23
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 5:10SASSUB: Paul FOR Gay23
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 5:10MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)23
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 5:17SASMills S.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Mott)21
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 5:17MIAHeat Rebound21
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot21
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 5:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Dragic 2' Finger Roll Layup21
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 5:35SASGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 5:49MIARichardson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
38.2%
17
61.8%
Q1 - 6:08SASSUB: Gay FOR Green19
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 6:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
36.1%
17
63.9%
Q1 - 6:09SASParker 3' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
36.2%
17
63.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
37.7%
15
62.3%
Q1 - 6:38SASGay 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
34.7%
15
65.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)16
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 7:13SASGasol 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWaiters 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)14
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 7:52SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 7:52SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
35.8%
9
64.2%
Q1 - 8:00SASMISS Gasol 9' Fadeaway Jumper12
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 8:12SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
35.8%
9
64.2%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 8:28SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)12
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 8:48SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWaiters 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)12
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 8:54SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)10
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 9:21SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)7
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 9:28SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot7
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:46SASAldridge 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)7
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:55SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 9:58SASMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot7
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:13MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHeat Rebound6
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 26
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 10:13SASAldridge S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Holtkamp)6
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot6
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 10:40MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)6
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 10:54SASGasol 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:02SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:18SASMISS Aldridge 1' Reverse Layup3
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Olynyk: Tip to Dragic0
36.5%
0
63.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.6%
SAS
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
24
46%
SAS
20
31
65%
Midrange
MIA
10
14
71%
SAS
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
34
53%
79%
SAS
13
19.5
25
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
SAS
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2589%12.5 / 14
D. Waiters2285%11.0 / 13
J. Richardson1986%9.5 / 11
J. Johnson964%4.5 / 7
G. Dragic833%4.0 / 12
W. Ellington660%3.0 / 5
B. Adebayo675%3.0 / 4
K. Olynyk583%2.5 / 3
J. Winslow528%2.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1850%9.0 / 18
B. Forbes17106%8.5 / 8
R. Gay1653%8.0 / 15
P. Mills1359%6.5 / 11
D. Green1286%6.0 / 7
P. Gasol1260%6.0 / 10
T. Parker1071%5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili1063%5.0 / 8
D. Bertans758%3.5 / 6
B. Paul233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+9
-18
80
SAS
79
+17
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.6%
SAS
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.6
MIA 118.0
SAS 130.0 +12.0
Pace
95.8
95.3
MIA 98.2 +15.9
SAS 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.9
MIA 14.7 +2.8
SAS 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.7%
MIA 66.7% +6.4%
SAS 60.3%
TO %
14.1%
13.3%
MIA 19.7%
SAS 10.6% +9.1%
ORB %
21.5%
23.6%
MIA 20.0%
SAS 30.3% +10.3%
FTrt
22.9
24.5
MIA 16.7 +0.6
SAS 16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.3%
MIA 71.8% +6.6%
SAS 65.2%
STL %
7.8%
8.0%
MIA 7.9% +1.2%
SAS 6.7%
BLK %
9.3%
9.7%
MIA 6.5%
SAS 18.4% +11.9%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
53.1%
MIA 65.6% +4.7%
SAS 60.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.2%
MIA 45.8%
SAS 64.5% +18.7%
Mid FG%
38.4%
40.7%
MIA 71.4% +29.5%
SAS 41.9%
3P %
36.0%
35.2%
MIA 52.9% +0.9%
SAS 52.0%
FT %
75.5%
77.2%
MIA 75.0%
SAS 85.7% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
32.2%
MIA 33.3%
SAS 35.6% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
39.5%
MIA 19.4% +16.2%
SAS 35.6%
3P Att. %
35.8%
28.2%
MIA 47.2% +18.5%
SAS 28.7%
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes21.826.3
Points105117
Rebounds2934
Assists2830
Steals76
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1613
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)24 (1)
Field Goals39-7246-87
At-the-Rim FG11-2420-31
Midrange FG10-1413-31
2-Point FG21-3833-62
3-Point FG18-3413-25
Free Throws9-1212-14
Fast Break Pts413
2nd Chance Pts915
Points in Paint2854
Pts off Turnovers1221
Bench Points4249
Biggest Lead815

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
34.5
22
85%
1
5
0
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
32.5
5
83%
8
4
3
1
2
4
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
31.2
19
86%
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
29.0
8
33%
4
6
1
0
3
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
23.9
9
64%
3
6
0
0
4
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 186 · 26
30.4
25
89%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
21.9
5
28%
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
18.8
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 20
17.8
6
75%
3
0
1
2
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#15 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · · 6'5" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'1" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
66%
29
28
7
4
18
16
6
23
9-12
75%
21-38
55%
18-34
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.