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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 6, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat37%99105
3Spurs63%103117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
35
27
22
1
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
4-6
67%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
33
25
5
8
4
3
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
31
30
19
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.6
29
26
8
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
24
27
9
3
6
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
2-2
100%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.6
30
25
25
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
45%
5-8
63%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.7
22
22
5
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
1-4
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
19
24
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
2-5
40%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.4
18
18
6
3
0
1
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
9
0
2-3
56%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
5
0
1-1
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.5
1
0
0-0
48%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.1
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.3
33
23
16
7
3
3
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
33
26
18
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
4-4
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
30
28
12
3
2
2
1
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.4
20
24
12
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
20
18
10
3
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
28
20
17
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
5-5
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
27
21
13
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.4
25
18
10
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.1
17
15
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
55%
1-4
25%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
6
11
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.2
1
17
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
9
0
1-3
52%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
6
0
0-1
46%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.