Final Win Prob. pScore
1836%99
105
1264%104
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
118.08998.2
SAS logo Spurs
130.09082.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
117
Q4 - 0:22.0SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
117
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
117
Q4 - 0:36.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
117
Q4 - 0:39.0SASMISS Gay 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot105
117
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAGay STEAL (3 STL)105
117
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Bertans FOR Green105
117
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Paul FOR Ginobili105
117
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Forbes FOR Aldridge105
117
Q4 - 1:01SASSUB: Murray FOR Mills105
117
Q4 - 1:01SASGay Violation:Kicked Ball (R.Mott)105
117
Q4 - 1:01SASGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)105
117
Q4 - 1:10MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)105
117
Q4 - 1:21SASAldridge 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)105
117
Q4 - 1:34MIAWaiters 17' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)105
115
Q4 - 1:46SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)103
115
Q4 - 1:46SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
114
Q4 - 1:46MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P5.T3) (B.Barnaky)103
113
Q4 - 1:56SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
113
Q4 - 2:03MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot103
113
Q4 - 2:14SASAldridge 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)103
113
Q4 - 2:14SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)103
111
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup103
111
Q4 - 2:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
111
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
111
Q4 - 2:48SASMills 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)103
111
Q4 - 3:02SASSUB: Green FOR Bertans103
109
Q4 - 3:02SASSUB: Gay FOR Forbes103
109
Q4 - 3:02SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)103
109
Q4 - 3:03MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)103
109
Q4 - 3:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
109
Q4 - 3:11SASMISS Ginobili 12' Floating Jump Shot100
109
Q4 - 3:24MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)100
109
Q4 - 3:24MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)99
109
Q4 - 3:24SASAldridge S.FOUL (P5.T4) (B.Barnaky)98
109
Q4 - 3:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
109
Q4 - 3:34SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot98
109
Q4 - 3:37SASSPURS Rebound98
109
Q4 - 3:37SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Floating Jump Shot98
109
Q4 - 3:48MIAOlynyk Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T17)98
109
Q4 - 3:56SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)98
109
Q4 - 4:19SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)98
109
Q4 - 4:19MIARichardson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
109
Q4 - 4:28SASSUB: Bertans FOR Gay96
109
Q4 - 4:28SASMills P.FOUL (P3.T3) (L.Holtkamp)96
109
Q4 - 4:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
109
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot96
109
Q4 - 4:55MIAWaiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)96
109
Q4 - 5:13SASGay 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)94
109
Q4 - 5:31SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
107
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot94
107
Q4 - 5:41MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
107
Q4 - 5:44SASMISS Aldridge 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot94
107
Q4 - 6:04MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
107
Q4 - 6:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington93
107
Q4 - 6:04SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green93
107
Q4 - 6:04MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
107
Q4 - 6:04SASGreen S.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Barnaky)92
107
Q4 - 6:22SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)92
107
Q4 - 6:45MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)92
104
Q4 - 6:58SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
104
Q4 - 6:58MIASUB: Waiters FOR Dragic89
103
Q4 - 6:58SASSUB: Aldridge FOR Gasol89
103
Q4 - 6:58SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker89
103
Q4 - 6:58SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
103
Q4 - 6:58MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.T2) (R.Mott)89
102
Q4 - 6:59MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)89
102
Q4 - 7:13SASParker Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)89
102
Q4 - 7:29MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T15)89
100
Q4 - 7:43SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)89
100
Q4 - 8:05MIARichardson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)89
98
Q4 - 8:13MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson87
98
Q4 - 8:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)87
98
Q4 - 8:15MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
98
Q4 - 8:18SASMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 287
98
Q4 - 8:18MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Adebayo87
98
Q4 - 8:18SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
98
Q4 - 8:18MIAJohnson Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)87
97
Q4 - 8:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
97
Q4 - 8:21MIAGreen BLOCK (3 BLK)87
97
Q4 - 8:38SASGay 3' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)87
97
Q4 - 8:48SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
95
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
95
Q4 - 9:00SASParker 11' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)87
95
Q4 - 9:23MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
93
Q4 - 9:32SASForbes Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T9)85
93
Q4 - 9:32SASForbes OFF.Foul (P1) (R.Mott)85
93
Q4 - 9:48MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
93
Q4 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound84
93
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 284
93
Q4 - 9:48SASGasol S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)84
93
Q4 - 9:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
93
Q4 - 9:55SASMISS Gay 2' Driving Reverse Dunk Shot84
93
Q4 - 10:09SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
93
Q4 - 10:12MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)84
93
Q4 - 10:31SASSUB: Forbes FOR Ginobili84
93
Q4 - 10:31SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills84
93
Q4 - 10:31MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)84
93
Q4 - 10:32SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)84
93
Q4 - 10:42SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
90
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Dragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot84
90
Q4 - 10:59SASGasol 1' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)84
90
Q4 - 11:09MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)84
88
Q4 - 11:32SASGasol 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)84
88
Q4 - 11:45MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)84
86
Q4 - 12:0082
86
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
86
Q3 - 0:02.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)82
86
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
83
Q3 - 0:44.0SASGasol 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)79
83
Q3 - 1:07SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
81
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot79
81
Q3 - 1:15MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
81
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 279
81
Q3 - 1:20MIASUB: Dragic FOR Waiters79
81
Q3 - 1:20SASSUB: Gay FOR Bertans79
81
Q3 - 1:20MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
81
Q3 - 1:20SASMills S.FOUL (P2.T3) (R.Mott)78
81
Q3 - 1:21SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
81
Q3 - 1:32MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Olynyk78
81
Q3 - 1:32MIAOlynyk L.B.FOUL (P4.T4) (R.Mott)78
81
Q3 - 1:32SASSPURS Rebound78
81
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
81
Q3 - 1:35SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
81
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Bertans 3PT Jump Shot78
81
Q3 - 1:43MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)78
81
Q3 - 2:03SASBertans 1' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
81
Q3 - 2:17MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)78
79
Q3 - 2:41MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson78
79
Q3 - 2:41SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)78
79
Q3 - 2:52MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Olynyk 4 AST)78
79
Q3 - 3:09SASSUB: Gasol FOR Aldridge75
79
Q3 - 3:09MIA75
79
Q3 - 3:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)75
79
Q3 - 3:11SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
79
Q3 - 3:17SASBertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
76
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot75
76
Q3 - 3:22SASSUB: Green FOR Forbes75
76
Q3 - 3:22SASBertans Personal Block Foul (P2.T2) (L.Holtkamp)75
76
Q3 - 3:42SASForbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)75
76
Q3 - 3:57MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)75
73
Q3 - 4:05MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
73
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup72
73
Q3 - 4:29MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)72
73
Q3 - 4:46MIAHeat Rebound69
73
Q3 - 4:49SASMISS Mills 18' Pullup Jump Shot69
73
Q3 - 5:13MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)69
73
Q3 - 5:17SASBertans Personal Block Foul (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)66
73
Q3 - 5:34SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
73
Q3 - 5:34MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic66
72
Q3 - 5:34SASSUB: Bertans FOR Gay66
72
Q3 - 5:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
72
Q3 - 5:34MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Barnaky)66
71
Q3 - 5:46MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)66
71
Q3 - 5:53MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
71
Q3 - 5:55SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Bank Shot66
71
Q3 - 6:18SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green66
71
Q3 - 6:18SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)66
71
Q3 - 6:18MIARichardson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
71
Q3 - 6:18MIARichardson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2) (L.Holtkamp)66
71
Q3 - 6:35SASForbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)66
71
Q3 - 6:39SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
68
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot66
68
Q3 - 7:03SASSUB: Mills FOR Parker66
68
Q3 - 7:03SASAldridge Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)66
68
Q3 - 7:03SASAldridge OFF.Foul (P4) (L.Holtkamp)66
68
Q3 - 7:26MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
68
Q3 - 7:36SASGreen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 7:53MIADragic Backcourt Turnover (P3.T9)63
66
Q3 - 8:00MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
66
Q3 - 8:00SASMISS Gay 1' Putback Layup63
66
Q3 - 8:00SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
66
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot63
66
Q3 - 8:21MIAWinslow 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 8:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
66
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup61
66
Q3 - 8:45SASForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)61
66
Q3 - 8:59SASSPURS Rebound61
63
Q3 - 8:59MIAParker BLOCK (1 BLK)61
63
Q3 - 9:13SASGay 10' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)61
63
Q3 - 9:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
61
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot61
61
Q3 - 9:42SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)61
61
Q3 - 9:42SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
59
Q3 - 9:46SASMISS Parker 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot61
59
Q3 - 10:04SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
59
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Dragic 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot61
59
Q3 - 10:26SASGreen 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)61
59
Q3 - 10:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
57
Q3 - 10:45MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)61
57
Q3 - 10:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
57
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Gay 23' Jump Shot61
57
Q3 - 11:10MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)61
57
Q3 - 11:20MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
57
Q3 - 11:22SASMISS Forbes 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup58
57
Q3 - 11:38MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson58
57
Q3 - 11:38MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P4.T1) (L.Holtkamp)58
57
Q3 - 11:38SASSPURS Rebound58
57
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot58
57
Q3 - 12:0058
57
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS58
57
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound58
57
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Gay 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
57
Q2 - 0:06.0SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
57
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Winslow 22' Jump Shot58
57
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Rebound58
57
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)58
57
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Rebound58
57
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Gay 6' Pullup Jump Shot58
57
Q2 - 0:51.0MIADragic 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
57
Q2 - 1:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
57
Q2 - 1:09SASMISS Forbes 14' Pullup Jump Shot56
57
Q2 - 1:20SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)56
57
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
57
Q2 - 1:36SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Adebayo: Tip to Gay56
57
Q2 - 1:36SAS56
57
Q2 - 1:36MIASUB: Winslow FOR Olynyk56
57
Q2 - 1:36MIA56
57
Q2 - 1:46MIAAdebayo 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)56
57
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)54
57
Q2 - 2:08SASSUB: Gay FOR Bertans54
56
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)54
56
Q2 - 2:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)54
55
Q2 - 2:08MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P2.T4) (B.Barnaky)54
54
Q2 - 2:15MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson54
54
Q2 - 2:31MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)54
54
Q2 - 2:45MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
54
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
54
Q2 - 2:59MIAHeat Rebound51
54
Q2 - 3:00SASMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 151
54
Q2 - 3:00MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Barnaky)51
54
Q2 - 3:00SASForbes 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)51
54
Q2 - 3:18MIAAdebayo 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)51
52
Q2 - 3:41SASForbes 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)49
52
Q2 - 3:52MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Johnson49
49
Q2 - 3:52MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2) (R.Mott)49
49
Q2 - 3:52SASSPURS Rebound49
49
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Bertans 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot49
49
Q2 - 3:53SASBertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
49
Q2 - 3:55SASMISS Aldridge 9' Driving Hook Shot49
49
Q2 - 4:15MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)49
49
Q2 - 4:36SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
49
Q2 - 4:36SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
48
Q2 - 4:36MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)46
47
Q2 - 4:55MIASUB: Waiters FOR Dragic46
47
Q2 - 4:55MIASUB: Richardson FOR Ellington46
47
Q2 - 4:55SASSUB: Mills FOR Green46
47
Q2 - 4:55SASSUB: Forbes FOR Parker46
47
Q2 - 4:55MIAJohnson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T8)46
47
Q2 - 4:55MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P2) (L.Holtkamp)46
47
Q2 - 5:00MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
47
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
47
Q2 - 5:18SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
47
Q2 - 5:21MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)46
47
Q2 - 5:32SASBertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)46
47
Q2 - 5:49MIAOlynyk 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)46
44
Q2 - 6:06SASAldridge 1' Layup (8 PTS)44
44
Q2 - 6:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
42
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
42
Q2 - 6:28MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow44
42
Q2 - 6:28MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Adebayo44
42
Q2 - 6:28SASSUB: Bertans FOR Gay44
42
Q2 - 6:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
42
Q2 - 6:34SASGinobili 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)44
42
Q2 - 6:52SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Forbes44
40
Q2 - 6:52MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
40
Q2 - 6:58SASGreen 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)44
40
Q2 - 6:58SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
38
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Aldridge 15' Turnaround Jump Shot44
38
Q2 - 7:23MIAJohnson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)44
38
Q2 - 7:42SASForbes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
38
Q2 - 7:50MIAAdebayo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)42
35
Q2 - 8:02SASGreen L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)42
35
Q2 - 8:02MIAHeat Rebound42
35
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 8:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
35
Q2 - 8:09SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 8:25MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)42
35
Q2 - 8:40SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)39
35
Q2 - 8:57SASSUB: Aldridge FOR Gasol39
33
Q2 - 8:57SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
33
Q2 - 8:57MIADragic 11' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 9:08SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
33
Q2 - 9:26MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)37
33
Q2 - 9:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
33
Q2 - 9:37SASMISS Gasol 13' Turnaround Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 10:00MIAJohnson 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)37
33
Q2 - 10:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
33
Q2 - 10:05SASMISS Gay Driving Finger Roll Layup35
33
Q2 - 10:16MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)35
33
Q2 - 10:24SASSUB: Parker FOR Mills35
33
Q2 - 10:32SASGasol 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 10:32SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
31
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Gasol 1' Layup35
31
Q2 - 10:44SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
31
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot35
31
Q2 - 10:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
31
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot35
31
Q2 - 11:08SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)35
31
Q2 - 11:20SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 11:37SASGay 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 12:0035
27
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS35
27
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound35
27
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Paul 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
27
Q1 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Gay FOR Bertans35
27
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAdebayo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
27
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAdebayo OFF.Foul (P1) (B.Barnaky)35
27
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMills Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)35
27
Q1 - 0:35.0SASSUB: Forbes FOR Ginobili35
27
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)35
27
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
27
Q1 - 1:07MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)32
27
Q1 - 1:26MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
27
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Paul 23' Jump Shot30
27
Q1 - 1:38SASSPURS Rebound30
27
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup30
27
Q1 - 1:45SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
27
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
27
Q1 - 2:05SASPaul Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)30
27
Q1 - 2:19MIABertans STEAL (1 STL)30
25
Q1 - 2:41SASBertans 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
25
Q1 - 2:45SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
23
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Adebayo 3' Alley Oop Layup30
23
Q1 - 2:56MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
23
Q1 - 2:59SASMISS Bertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
23
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson30
23
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson30
23
Q1 - 3:07MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Olynyk30
23
Q1 - 3:07SASSUB: Gasol FOR Aldridge30
23
Q1 - 3:07MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2) (L.Holtkamp)30
23
Q1 - 3:22MIARichardson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)30
23
Q1 - 3:43SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)28
23
Q1 - 4:00MIAJohnson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
20
Q1 - 4:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
20
Q1 - 4:12MIABertans BLOCK (1 BLK)26
20
Q1 - 4:16SASBertans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
20
Q1 - 4:26MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)26
20
Q1 - 4:30MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
20
Q1 - 4:32SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup26
20
Q1 - 4:49MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
20
Q1 - 5:04MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
20
Q1 - 5:06SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 5:10MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic23
20
Q1 - 5:10SASSUB: Paul FOR Gay23
20
Q1 - 5:10MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Barnaky)23
20
Q1 - 5:17MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 5:17MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson22
20
Q1 - 5:17MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
20
Q1 - 5:17SASMills S.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Mott)21
20
Q1 - 5:17MIAHeat Rebound21
20
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot21
20
Q1 - 5:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Dragic 2' Finger Roll Layup21
20
Q1 - 5:35SASGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
20
Q1 - 5:49MIARichardson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
17
Q1 - 6:08SASSUB: Gay FOR Green19
17
Q1 - 6:08SASSUB: Bertans FOR Gay19
17
Q1 - 6:08SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker19
17
Q1 - 6:08SASSUB: Mills FOR Gasol19
17
Q1 - 6:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
17
Q1 - 6:09SASParker 3' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 6:23MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
15
Q1 - 6:38SASGay 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
15
Q1 - 6:55MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)16
13
Q1 - 7:13SASGasol 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
13
Q1 - 7:36MIAWaiters 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)14
11
Q1 - 7:52SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 7:52SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
9
Q1 - 8:00SASMISS Gasol 9' Fadeaway Jumper12
9
Q1 - 8:12SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
9
Q1 - 8:28SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)12
9
Q1 - 8:48SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
6
Q1 - 8:48MIAWaiters 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)12
6
Q1 - 8:54SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
6
Q1 - 9:09MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)10
6
Q1 - 9:21SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 9:28SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 9:46SASAldridge 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)7
4
Q1 - 9:55SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
2
Q1 - 9:58SASMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot7
2
Q1 - 10:13MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
2
Q1 - 10:13MIAHeat Rebound6
2
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 26
2
Q1 - 10:13SASAldridge S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Holtkamp)6
2
Q1 - 10:22MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:40MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 10:54SASGasol 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
2
Q1 - 11:02SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 11:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 11:18SASMISS Aldridge 1' Reverse Layup3
0
Q1 - 11:38MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Olynyk: Tip to Dragic0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.6%
SAS
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
24
46%
SAS
20
31
65%
Midrange
MIA
10
14
71%
SAS
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
34
53%
79%
SAS
13
19.5
25
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
SAS
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2589%12.5 / 14
D. Waiters2285%11.0 / 13
J. Richardson1986%9.5 / 11
J. Johnson964%4.5 / 7
G. Dragic833%4.0 / 12
W. Ellington660%3.0 / 5
B. Adebayo675%3.0 / 4
K. Olynyk583%2.5 / 3
J. Winslow528%2.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1850%9.0 / 18
B. Forbes17106%8.5 / 8
R. Gay1653%8.0 / 15
P. Mills1359%6.5 / 11
D. Green1286%6.0 / 7
P. Gasol1260%6.0 / 10
T. Parker1071%5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili1063%5.0 / 8
D. Bertans758%3.5 / 6
B. Paul233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+9
-18
80
SAS
79
+17
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.6%
SAS
1.22 60.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
107.6
MIA 118.0
SAS 130.0 +12.0
Pace
95.8
95.3
MIA 98.2 +15.9
SAS 82.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.9
MIA 14.7 −2.8
SAS 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.7%
MIA 66.7% +6.4%
SAS 60.3%
TO %
14.1%
13.3%
MIA 19.7%
SAS 10.6% −9.1%
ORB %
21.5%
23.6%
MIA 20.0%
SAS 30.3% +10.3%
FTrt
22.9
24.5
MIA 16.7 +0.6
SAS 16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.3%
MIA 71.8% +6.6%
SAS 65.2%
STL %
7.8%
8.0%
MIA 7.9% +1.2%
SAS 6.7%
BLK %
9.3%
9.7%
MIA 6.5%
SAS 18.4% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
53.1%
MIA 65.6% +4.7%
SAS 60.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
61.2%
MIA 45.8%
SAS 64.5% +18.7%
Mid FG%
38.4%
40.7%
MIA 71.4% +29.5%
SAS 41.9%
3P %
36.0%
35.2%
MIA 52.9% +0.9%
SAS 52.0%
FT %
75.5%
77.2%
MIA 75.0%
SAS 85.7% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
32.2%
MIA 33.3%
SAS 35.6% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
39.5%
MIA 19.4% −16.2%
SAS 35.6%
3P Att. %
35.8%
28.2%
MIA 47.2% +18.5%
SAS 28.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes21.826.3
Points105117
Rebounds2934
Assists2830
Steals76
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)11 (0)
Fouls1613
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)24 (1)
Field Goals39-7246-87
At-the-Rim FG11-2420-31
Midrange FG10-1413-31
2-Point FG21-3833-62
3-Point FG18-3413-25
Free Throws9-1212-14
Fast Break Pts413
2nd Chance Pts915
Points in Paint2854
Pts off Turnovers1221
Bench Points4249
Biggest Lead815

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 26
34.5
22
85%
1
5
0
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
C · 7'0" 240 · 27
32.5
5
83%
8
4
3
1
2
4
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
31.2
19
86%
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
29.0
8
33%
4
6
1
0
3
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
23.9
9
64%
3
6
0
0
4
4
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 186 · 26
30.4
25
89%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
21.9
5
28%
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
18.8
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 20
17.8
6
75%
3
0
1
2
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#15 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · · 6'5" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'1" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
66%
29
28
7
4
18
16
6
23
9-12
75%
21-38
55%
18-34
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.