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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 9, 2017
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Rockets70%116124
13Trail Blazers30%109117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 28.3
37.3
34.5
48
68%
8
3
3
1
0
2
1
7
12-14
86%
12-22
5-9
55%
52%
4-7
57%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.6
35.0
33.2
26
71%
3
7
2
2
0
3
0
3
9-10
90%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 32.4
33.9
32.4
13
82%
2
0
4
2
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
3-4
75%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
21.9
20.3
11
72%
10
2
1
1
0
1
2
8
3-6
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
62%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.6
17.1
28.4
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.6
30.9
19.8
8
82%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.0
29.9
30.0
12
63%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
7-8
88%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.2
24.0
22.5
0
0%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
10.1
6.4
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
7.5
0
1-2
53%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 23.3
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 33.2
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 21.9
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 24.9
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 21.1
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
38.7
35.8
28
60%
2
4
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
9-13
6-12
69%
47%
2-8
25%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.4
37.9
39.7
35
71%
4
6
1
1
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
48%
9-16
56%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
31.9
30.2
15
75%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
5-8
63%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
27.4
20.4
4
40%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
20.0
7.6
12
93%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
1-1
80%
50%
1-1
100%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
24.5
23.7
8
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-5
0%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.1
18.8
2.3
5
50%
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
14.6
10.7
8
82%
9
0
1
0
1
1
3
6
0-2
0%
4-4
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
14.6
1.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
11.5
17.5
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
14.4
1
1-3
43%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.6
1.9
0
0-1
47%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.7
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.3
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.9
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.