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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 10, 2017
4:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics
91
20Pistons
81
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.5
34
33
18
9
6
0
1
2
0
1
8
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
2-7
29%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
34
33
16
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
1-8
6-12
13%
51%
3-4
75%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.1
31
28
12
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-2
0%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.8
30
32
11
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
27
13
6
13
0
1
0
0
1
3
10
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
25
27
12
2
3
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-6
67%
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
23
24
6
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
13
14
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.2
13
5
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.7
12
12
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
53%
0-1
0%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
10
0
1-2
44%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
3
0
0-0
46%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
3
0
0-0
48%
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.4
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
38
33
19
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
6-6
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
3-9
33%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
32
31
12
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.3
31
34
6
15
1
0
2
0
1
2
13
4-6
67%
1-5
5-10
20%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.7
19
28
2
1
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-7
4-9
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.5
15
27
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.4
29
18
11
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
5-13
3-7
38%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.5
24
15
7
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
22
22
15
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
3-6
50%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
12
7
0
4
2
2
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
7
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
6
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-2
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.3
5
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
2
0
0-0
50%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 24.7
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.