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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 12, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets
103
21Pistons
84
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
34
38
4
6
10
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.8
32
23
28
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
4-8
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
31
34
8
6
9
4
2
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
29
19
10
13
1
1
1
1
2
2
11
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
27
29
18
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
2-4
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
27
23
20
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-4
2-5
100%
44%
3-3
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.0
24
17
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
15
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
15
20
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
41%
0-2
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
3
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
27
1
4-8
54%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
30
34
2
8
1
1
1
0
4
1
7
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
53%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.3
27
32
5
10
3
1
1
1
6
5
5
3-4
75%
1-4
5-10
25%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.7
25
24
12
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
24
31
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
50%
0-1
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
22
5
6
0
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.4
23
22
8
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-13
4-8
31%
48%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
22
8
18
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
5-7
71%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.5
14
22
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
14
22
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
1-2
50%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.5
13
19
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.3
13
6
14
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
6-8
75%
4-6
1-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
8
2
7
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
52%
1-1
100%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
4
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 24.7
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.