FinalWin Prob.pScore
2536%108
103
1664%113
84
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
105.19893.8
DET logo DET
85.798102.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN103
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETEllenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)103
100%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETPISTONS Rebound103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETMISS Johnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENArthur 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07DETJohnson No Turnover (P1.T20)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07DETJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4) (T.Brown)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21DENHernangomez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34DETMISS Ellenson 5' Driving Hook Shot100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56DETEllenson 1' Layup (7 PTS)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58DETEllenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01DETMISS Galloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14DENHernangomez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20DETMISS Ellenson 9' Jump Shot100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27DETGalloway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52DETGalloway Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52DETGalloway Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52DETGalloway Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)100
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52DENBeasley S.FOUL (P3.T3) (T.Brown)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04DENLyles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 9 AST)100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22DETMISS Smith 13' Pullup Jump Shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34DETEllenson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (H.Workman)95
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 3:57DETEllenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)95
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:06DENMurray P.FOUL (P1.T2) (H.Workman)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12DENLyles 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53DENLyles Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53DENMISS Lyles Free Throw 1 of 292
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 4:53DETHarris S.FOUL (P3.T2) (T.Brown)92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)92
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 5:13DENChandler S.FOUL (P3.T1) (J.Williams)92
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 5:30DENMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Barton 10 AST)92
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 5:48DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:50DETMISS Ellenson 9' Jump Shot89
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 6:12DENMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Barton 9 AST)89
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 6:15DETEllenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)86
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 6:20DETEllenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
97.9%
71
2.1%
Q4 - 6:22DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 6:35DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)86
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 6:43DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
97.9%
71
2.1%
Q4 - 6:48DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot86
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 7:05DETGalloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)86
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 7:18DENArthur 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barton 8 AST)86
98.7%
68
1.3%
Q4 - 7:39DETGalloway 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellenson 1 AST)84
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 7:48DENArthur Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T15)84
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 8:00DETEllenson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)84
99.3%
65
0.7%
Q4 - 8:18DENLyles 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)84
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 8:32DENBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q4 - 8:33DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 8:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
98.6%
63
1.4%
Q4 - 8:39DETMISS Johnson 3' Layup82
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q4 - 8:44DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)82
98.6%
63
1.4%
Q4 - 8:46DETDrummond P.FOUL (P4.T1) (T.Brown)82
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q4 - 9:03DETGalloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)82
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q4 - 9:14DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)82
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 9:25DETDrummond 3 Second Violation Turnover (P6.T17)82
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 9:41DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 9:44DENMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 10:05DENBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Smith 8' Driving Hook Shot82
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q4 - 10:13DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q4 - 10:18DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 10:25DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q4 - 10:27DETMISS Drummond 6' Turnaround Hook Shot82
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q4 - 10:45DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 10:48DENMISS Arthur 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q4 - 11:08DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q4 - 11:11DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.6%
60
1.4%
Q4 - 11:36DENLyles 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Barton 7 AST)82
98.4%
60
1.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET80
98.1%
60
1.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETGalloway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Plumlee 7' Hook Shot80
97.1%
60
2.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
97.5%
60
2.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
97.6%
59
2.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENBeasley P.FOUL (P2.PN) (T.Brown)80
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENLyles Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENLyles Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
97.9%
58
2.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETTolliver P.FOUL (P2.PN) (T.Brown)78
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETMISS Galloway 18' Jump Shot78
97.3%
58
2.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETPISTONS Rebound78
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENMISS Beasley 6' Reverse Layup78
97.1%
58
2.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETTolliver P.FOUL (P1.T4) (H.Workman)78
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENNuggets Rebound78
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Murray 6' Layup78
97.2%
58
2.8%
Q3 - 1:04DETMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
96.8%
58
3.2%
Q3 - 1:04DETMISS Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 278
96.9%
57
3.1%
Q3 - 1:04DENHarris S.FOUL (P2.T3) (H.Workman)78
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 1:24DENPlumlee 5' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)78
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 1:39DETGalloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marjanovic 2 AST)76
96.2%
57
3.8%
Q3 - 1:49DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 1:53DENMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot76
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 2:03DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 2:07DETMISS Smith 9' Pullup Jump Shot76
97.1%
54
2.9%
Q3 - 2:17DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 2:17DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 2:17DETMarjanovic S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brown)74
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 2:30DETSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Williams)74
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 2:47DETSmith 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
96.1%
54
3.9%
Q3 - 2:51DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
96.7%
52
3.3%
Q3 - 2:55DENMISS Beasley 16' Pullup Jump Shot74
96.9%
52
3.1%
Q3 - 3:02DENBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
96.8%
52
3.2%
Q3 - 3:05DETMISS Kennard 18' Jump Shot74
96.6%
52
3.4%
Q3 - 3:27DENHarris 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
96.2%
52
3.8%
Q3 - 3:36DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
95.5%
52
4.5%
Q3 - 3:39DETMISS Tolliver 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q3 - 3:48DENChandler 2' Dunk (16 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)72
94.6%
52
5.4%
Q3 - 3:50DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 3:50DETMISS Smith 4' Layup70
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 3:50DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
92.5%
52
7.5%
Q3 - 3:53DETMISS Bradley 11' Jump Shot70
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 4:04DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
91.4%
52
8.6%
Q3 - 4:04DENMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot70
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 4:16DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
92.9%
52
7.1%
Q3 - 4:19DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot70
92.5%
52
7.5%
Q3 - 4:36DENMurray 19' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)70
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 4:55DETBullock 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Drummond 3 AST)68
90.4%
52
9.6%
Q3 - 5:11DENChandler 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)68
90.6%
50
9.4%
Q3 - 5:41DETSmith 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q3 - 6:03DENMurray 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)66
89.4%
48
10.6%
Q3 - 6:12DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)64
88.0%
48
12.0%
Q3 - 6:15DETMISS Smith 5' Layup64
87.5%
48
12.5%
Q3 - 6:23DENDrummond STEAL (1 STL)64
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 6:32DETDrummond No Turnover (P5.T16)64
88.1%
48
11.9%
Q3 - 6:32DETDrummond P.FOUL (P3.T1) (T.Brown)64
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 6:38DENPlumlee Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)64
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 6:44DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)64
88.1%
48
11.9%
Q3 - 7:07DENMurray 1' Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)64
84.8%
48
15.2%
Q3 - 7:07DENMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
83.1%
48
16.9%
Q3 - 7:12DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup62
81.3%
48
18.7%
Q3 - 7:18DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)62
83.1%
48
16.9%
Q3 - 7:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
80.5%
48
19.5%
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
81.3%
48
18.7%
Q3 - 7:36DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
83.1%
48
16.9%
Q3 - 7:40DETMISS Bradley 19' Pullup Jump Shot62
82.4%
48
17.6%
Q3 - 7:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
80.5%
48
19.5%
Q3 - 7:52DENMISS Chandler 9' Floating Jump Shot62
81.4%
48
18.6%
Q3 - 8:03DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
82.2%
48
17.8%
Q3 - 8:05DETMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
81.4%
48
18.6%
Q3 - 8:29DENHarris 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
79.5%
48
20.5%
Q3 - 8:45DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)60
77.5%
48
22.5%
Q3 - 8:47DETMISS Harris 29' 3PT Jump Shot60
76.5%
48
23.5%
Q3 - 9:09DENChandler 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)60
72.8%
48
27.2%
Q3 - 9:14DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
70.2%
48
29.8%
Q3 - 9:19DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
67.9%
48
32.1%
Q3 - 9:38DETJackson 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
70.3%
48
29.7%
Q3 - 9:54DENHarris 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
73.0%
46
27.0%
Q3 - 10:17DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
69.0%
46
31.0%
Q3 - 10:17DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
69.4%
45
30.6%
Q3 - 10:17DENBarton S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Williams)56
71.6%
44
28.4%
Q3 - 10:31DENMurray 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)56
71.7%
44
28.3%
Q3 - 10:41DETBradley 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)54
69.1%
44
30.9%
Q3 - 11:04DENMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)54
70.5%
42
29.5%
Q3 - 11:08DETBullock Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)51
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q3 - 11:23DENMurray 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q3 - 11:43DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q3 - 11:43DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q3 - 11:43DENChandler S.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Brown)49
61.5%
40
38.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN49
61.5%
40
38.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
61.4%
40
38.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETMarjanovic 10' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)49
62.9%
40
37.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
66.9%
38
33.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETMarjanovic S.FOUL (P1.T3) (H.Workman)47
62.9%
38
37.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)47
63.0%
38
37.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)47
60.9%
38
39.1%
Q2 - 1:02DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)44
52.5%
38
47.5%
Q2 - 1:05DETMISS Marjanovic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot44
52.0%
38
48.0%
Q2 - 1:12DETBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
50.9%
38
49.1%
Q2 - 1:16DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q2 - 1:33DETBullock 1' Layup (4 PTS)44
52.6%
38
47.4%
Q2 - 1:36DENBullock STEAL (3 STL)44
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 1:43DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
58.9%
36
41.1%
Q2 - 1:45DETMISS Jackson 8' Floating Jump Shot44
58.4%
36
41.6%
Q2 - 1:57DETPISTONS Rebound44
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 1:59DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 2:16DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 2:20DETMISS Bullock 19' Jump Shot44
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 2:24DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 2:24DETMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot44
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 2:33DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 2:37DENMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
56.6%
36
43.4%
Q2 - 2:47DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 2:51DETMISS Bradley 12' Pullup Jump Shot44
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 3:10DENLyles Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)44
54.0%
36
46.0%
Q2 - 3:24DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 3:25DETMISS Harris 2' Layup44
56.4%
36
43.6%
Q2 - 3:29DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
54.1%
36
45.9%
Q2 - 3:32DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
55.1%
36
44.9%
Q2 - 3:40DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
57.5%
36
42.5%
Q2 - 3:44DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 3:50DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
54.1%
36
45.9%
Q2 - 3:51DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup44
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 3:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
54.1%
36
45.9%
Q2 - 3:57DETMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot44
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 4:12DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
53.1%
36
46.9%
Q2 - 4:12DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
52.5%
36
47.5%
Q2 - 4:12DETJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (H.Workman)42
50.3%
36
49.7%
Q2 - 4:22DETDrummond 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)42
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 4:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 4:41DETMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot42
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 5:04DENBeasley 5' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Barton 6 AST)42
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 5:13DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 5:17DETMISS Harris 15' Pullup Jump Shot40
49.1%
34
50.9%
Q2 - 5:28DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
46.9%
34
53.1%
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
47.9%
34
52.1%
Q2 - 5:47DETDrummond No Turnover (P4.T11)40
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 5:47DETDrummond P.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Brown)40
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 6:08DENLyles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)40
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 6:17DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)37
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 6:17DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)37
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 6:17DENLyles S.FOUL (P1.T3) (H.Workman)37
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 6:41DENLyles 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 7:00DETBradley 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)35
41.6%
32
58.4%
Q2 - 7:22DENPlumlee 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)35
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 7:22DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 7:23DENMISS Beasley 8' Floating Jump Shot33
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 7:45DETTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)33
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 7:50DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q2 - 7:50DETMISS Marjanovic 1' Layup33
47.9%
27
52.1%
Q2 - 7:53DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q2 - 7:54DETMISS Smith 6' Layup33
47.9%
27
52.1%
Q2 - 8:07DENArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)33
45.5%
27
54.5%
Q2 - 8:14DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48.2%
27
51.8%
Q2 - 8:15DETMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup33
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 8:37DENArthur 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)33
45.5%
27
54.5%
Q2 - 8:53DETKennard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)33
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q2 - 9:04DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
52.4%
24
47.6%
Q2 - 9:08DENMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot33
53.3%
24
46.7%
Q2 - 9:14DENBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q2 - 9:16DETMISS Galloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q2 - 9:25DENArthur No Turnover (P2.T6)33
52.5%
24
47.5%
Q2 - 9:25DENArthur P.FOUL (P2.T2) (T.Brown)33
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q2 - 9:42DETMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q2 - 9:42DETMISS Marjanovic Free Throw 1 of 233
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q2 - 9:42DENBeasley S.FOUL (P1.T1) (H.Workman)33
55.0%
23
45.0%
Q2 - 9:51DENBeasley 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)33
55.0%
23
45.0%
Q2 - 9:56DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
52.8%
23
47.2%
Q2 - 9:59DETMISS Galloway 16' Jump Shot31
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q2 - 10:15DENLyles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)31
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q2 - 10:28DETGalloway 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)28
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q2 - 10:42DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q2 - 10:44DENMISS Harris 21' Pullup Jump Shot28
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q2 - 11:02DETMarjanovic 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)28
51.2%
20
48.8%
Q2 - 11:26DENBeasley 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)28
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q2 - 11:36DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q2 - 11:42DETMISS Smith 16' Pullup Jump Shot26
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET26
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound26
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Smith 36' 3PT Jump Shot26
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENBarton 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMarjanovic 2' Dunk (6 PTS)24
45.7%
18
54.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENTolliver STEAL (1 STL)24
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETSmith 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Marjanovic 1 AST)24
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0DENArthur P.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brown)24
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 1:11DENBeasley Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Barton 5 AST)24
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 1:15DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)22
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 1:21DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 1:23DENMISS Arthur 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 1:45DETMarjanovic 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)22
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 1:58DETPISTONS Rebound22
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 2:13DETMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 2:13DETMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 2:13DENPlumlee S.FOUL (P2.T4) (H.Workman)22
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 2:28DENPlumlee 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Barton 4 AST)22
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 2:44DETBullock 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)20
54.8%
10
45.2%
Q1 - 2:54DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
57.2%
8
42.8%
Q1 - 2:54DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 2:54DETBullock S.FOUL (P1.T4) (H.Workman)18
54.8%
8
45.2%
Q1 - 3:02DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 3:05DETMISS Kennard 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 3:19DENChandler Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
51.5%
8
48.5%
Q1 - 3:19DENChandler Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (H.Workman)18
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 3:19DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 3:24DETMISS Drummond 11' Jump Shot18
53.3%
8
46.7%
Q1 - 3:51DENBarton 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 4:03DETBradley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)16
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 4:08DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Murray 5' Layup16
46.4%
8
53.6%
Q1 - 4:23DETHarris Offensive Foul Turnover (P4.T8)16
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 4:23DETHarris Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3) (H.Workman)16
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 4:32DENMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)16
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 4:42DETHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)13
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 4:44DENMurray 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)13
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 4:49DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)11
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 5:02DETPISTONS Rebound11
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 5:04DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 5:08DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 5:11DENJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)11
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 5:22DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 5:22DETMISS Bradley 5' Layup11
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 5:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 5:30DETMISS Bradley 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 5:33DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 5:36DENMISS Harris 14' Pullup Jump Shot11
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 6:02DETJackson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 6:09DENHarris STEAL (1 STL)11
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 6:25DETBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 6:35DENBullock STEAL (2 STL)11
39.8%
5
60.2%
Q1 - 6:38DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 6:40DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 6:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
39.8%
5
60.2%
Q1 - 6:48DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
40.2%
5
59.8%
Q1 - 6:56DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 6:58DETMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot11
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 7:10DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.0%
5
61.0%
Q1 - 7:14DENMISS Chandler 8' Floating Jump Shot11
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 7:36DETHarris No Turnover (P2.T4)11
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 7:36DETHarris P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brown)11
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 7:54DENPlumlee 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)11
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 8:08DETBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
37.5%
5
62.5%
Q1 - 8:08DETBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
37.7%
4
62.3%
Q1 - 8:08DENHarris S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Williams)9
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 8:27DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)9
38.5%
3
61.5%
Q1 - 8:35DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.2%
3
63.8%
Q1 - 8:39DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
35.8%
3
64.2%
Q1 - 8:55DENChandler 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)6
34.9%
3
65.1%
Q1 - 9:13DETJackson 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 9:30DENPlumlee 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
34.9%
1
65.1%
Q1 - 9:46DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
34.3%
1
65.7%
Q1 - 9:48DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 22
34.1%
1
65.9%
Q1 - 9:48DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
33.8%
1
66.2%
Q1 - 9:48DENPlumlee S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)2
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 9:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 9:51DETMISS Bullock 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 9:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 9:59DENDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)2
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 10:01DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 10:06DENMISS Harris 7' Floating Jump Shot2
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 10:22DETHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 10:27DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Plumlee 3' Hook Shot2
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 10:39DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 10:41DETMISS Bradley 24' Jump Shot2
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 10:53DENBullock STEAL (1 STL)2
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:02DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)2
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:05DENMISS Barton 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:27DETDrummond No Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 11:27DETDrummond P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:45DENMurray 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)2
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Plumlee: Tip to Barton0
35.7%
0
64.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.17 58.5%
DET
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
25
80%
DET
11
20
55%
Midrange
DEN
10
24
42%
DET
8
34
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
DET
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
DEN
13
14
93%
DET
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2870%14.0 / 20
T. Lyles20111%10.0 / 9
W. Chandler1869%9.0 / 13
M. Plumlee1071%5.0 / 7
G. Harris836%4.0 / 11
M. Beasley836%4.0 / 11
D. Arthur542%2.5 / 6
W. Barton440%2.0 / 5
E. Mudiay233%1.0 / 3
M. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Galloway1890%9.0 / 10
B. Marjanovic1470%7.0 / 10
R. Jackson1255%6.0 / 11
I. Smith829%4.0 / 14
H. Ellenson758%3.5 / 6
A. Bradley627%3.0 / 11
R. Bullock660%3.0 / 5
A. Drummond542%2.5 / 6
A. Tolliver375%1.5 / 2
L. Kennard350%1.5 / 3
T. Harris213%1.0 / 8
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+7
-17
88
DET
78
+14
-20
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.17 58.5%
DET
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.3
107.2
DEN 105.1
DET 85.7 +19.4
Pace
97.0
96.2
DEN 93.8
DET 102.6 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.0
DEN 15.3
DET 14.0 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
51.2%
DEN 57.0% +15.9%
DET 41.1%
TO %
14.6%
13.2%
DEN 16.6% +2.5%
DET 19.1%
ORB %
25.6%
22.6%
DEN 17.1%
DET 22.4% +5.3%
FTrt
25.8
22.7
DEN 17.7
DET 27.8 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
58.2%
DEN 67.5% +6.8%
DET 60.7%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
DEN 8.2% +1.1%
DET 7.1%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
DEN 5.6% +1.5%
DET 4.1%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.9%
DEN 58.5% +12.8%
DET 45.7%
Rim FG%
60.1%
57.6%
DEN 80.0% +25.0%
DET 55.0%
Mid FG%
41.1%
39.7%
DEN 41.7% +18.2%
DET 23.5%
3P %
37.1%
37.3%
DEN 33.3%
DET 36.0% +2.7%
FT %
76.6%
74.5%
DEN 92.9% +6.5%
DET 86.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.5%
34.0%
DEN 31.6% +6.3%
DET 25.3%
Mid Att. %
25.8%
32.7%
DEN 30.4% +12.7%
DET 43.0%
3P Att. %
35.7%
33.3%
DEN 38.0% +6.3%
DET 31.6%
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points10384
Rebounds4440
Assists2717
Steals87
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)20 (1)
Fouls1516
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)29 (3)
Field Goals40-7928-79
At-the-Rim FG20-2511-20
Midrange FG10-248-34
2-Point FG30-4919-54
3-Point FG10-309-25
Free Throws13-1419-22
Fast Break Pts132
2nd Chance Pts98
Points in Paint4630
Pts off Turnovers2218
Bench Points3553
Biggest Lead230

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 190 · 27
34.4
4
40%
6
10
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 21
31.9
28
70%
4
3
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
4-8
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
30.9
8
36%
6
9
4
0
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 254 · 28
29.0
10
71%
13
1
1
1
2
2
2
11
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
27.1
18
69%
4
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 234 · 22
27.2
20
111%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
G · 6'5" 196 · 21
24.0
8
36%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
14.8
5
42%
2
0
1
0
5
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
14.7
2
33%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
3.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 175 · 22
3.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 28
F · 6'7" 233 · 37
#3 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
59%
44
27
8
3
17
15
6
38
13-14
93%
30-49
61%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.