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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 12, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs61%10589
19Mavericks39%10295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
38.0
32.2
23
45%
13
2
0
1
0
3
4
9
5-6
83%
9-22
7-15
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
23.9
18.0
3
25%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
23.7
18.5
6
32%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.4
22.4
23.3
0
0%
9
2
0
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
15.8
31.1
13
54%
6
1
1
2
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-8
6-11
63%
51%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.4
26.9
21.7
5
37%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.3
26.6
28.5
21
82%
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
3
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
24.3
24.4
8
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
21.0
29.6
6
34%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
5.5
7.7
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.2
4.7
13.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.1
3.7
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
3.5
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
35.3
34.1
16
53%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.6
35.2
27.6
16
57%
8
2
1
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
45%
2-3
67%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.5
34.6
32.5
17
50%
6
0
3
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
30.3
26.9
5
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.5
26.7
24.5
6
31%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-7
3-5
14%
47%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.5
24.9
23.4
16
67%
6
6
0
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.8
19.4
19.2
5
25%
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.4
17.4
18.4
12
68%
12
0
1
1
0
1
4
8
2-4
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
56%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.5
9.0
6.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
62%
0-0
-
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
7.1
9.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
3.8
0
0-1
48%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.8
1.1
0
0-0
54%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.0
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.3
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.