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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 13, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nuggets32%103118
6Celtics68%110124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
38
33
36
3
6
2
1
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
13-17
4-7
76%
52%
3-8
38%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
37
28
14
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
6-7
86%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.8
35
26
28
11
4
3
1
0
4
4
7
6-6
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
4-8
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
33
24
9
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-3
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
1-2
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
32
23
15
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
1-3
33%
7-9
3-6
78%
52%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.0
18
20
8
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
17
18
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
39%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
16
18
1
9
4
0
0
2
2
6
3
1-2
50%
0-6
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
14
5
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
22
1
4-6
56%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
8
0
1-1
42%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
34
28
4
1
9
2
1
2
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.1
33
28
26
5
1
3
1
1
3
2
3
5-6
83%
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
3-4
75%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
33
32
33
1
7
1
1
2
3
0
1
5-6
83%
8-10
6-12
80%
53%
4-9
44%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.0
28
17
17
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
8-11
2-5
73%
53%
0-0
-
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.8
28
30
15
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
53%
1-1
100%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
29
13
0
5
0
2
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
20
25
7
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.7
18
11
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.2
18
11
14
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
7
0
1-1
51%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
5
0
0-1
48%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
4
0
0-1
52%
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.4
3
0
0-1
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.7
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.