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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 13, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers45%104102
17Heat55%10695
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.2
41.4
35.0
28
73%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
7-7
100%
6-9
6-11
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
37.5
27.8
15
75%
13
0
0
1
0
2
1
12
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
5-8
63%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.4
36.9
39.3
18
53%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-7
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
23.3
26.7
10
85%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.1
21.5
17.5
9
42%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-4
25%
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
26.2
10.6
11
75%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
23.4
6.0
9
64%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
10.5
23.3
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
9.1
11.1
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
6.3
15.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
4.0
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
16.8
0
1-3
50%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.7
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.3
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
37.8
25.4
17
41%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
4-13
3-6
31%
45%
2-5
40%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
36.9
29.8
11
55%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
3-8
38%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
36.7
28.5
10
45%
10
8
0
1
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
55%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.6
30.4
26.0
11
38%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
3-6
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
51%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
27.7
22.4
10
63%
6
1
1
1
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
57%
1-4
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
31.6
25.2
24
105%
4
0
2
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
7-10
70%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.4
30.3
20.2
12
92%
7
2
0
1
0
3
3
4
6-8
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.7
8.5
22.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.6
28.9
1
2-5
47%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
6.6
0
1-3
57%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.5
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.7
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.2
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.