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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 14, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons57%108105
27Hawks43%10591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.3
31.8
30.0
12
47%
19
8
1
1
2
3
7
12
4-4
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
54%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
30.9
32.1
19
80%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
52%
1-3
33%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.7
28.2
24.3
11
50%
0
5
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.1
26.7
27.7
18
57%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
50%
2-2
100%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.7
23.9
12.8
10
63%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
21.6
13.8
17
77%
3
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
5-9
56%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.5
19.3
16.5
4
23%
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-4
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
15.4
7.2
0
0%
10
1
1
0
0
0
3
7
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
15.1
18.5
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
2-4
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.5
14.8
19.1
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.4
10.3
22.3
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.9
2.0
4.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.3
9.0
0
2-4
56%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 24.2
27.8
28.3
9
51%
3
10
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
2-5
6-12
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
26.8
24.6
23
80%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
8-10
2-5
80%
48%
2-4
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
23.4
31.3
4
25%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 28.5
23.3
27.7
8
37%
5
4
0
1
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.3
23.2
14.4
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23.4
20.2
20.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
19.9
24.8
15
66%
7
1
1
1
1
0
2
5
1-3
33%
7-10
4-8
70%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
17.5
18.5
7
61%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
16.3
6.0
6
47%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Taylor
G · 6'3" 170 · 23.4
13.5
16.1
2
36%
1
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
2-4
50%
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.7
10.4
21.7
5
83%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 21.8
10.1
2.2
3
50%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Tyler Cavanaugh
F · 6'9" 238 · 23.8
7.8
23.0
9
131%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
2-2
100%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.3
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
Josh Magette
G · 6'1" 160 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.