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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 15, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat
104
17Hornets
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
34
31
11
5
5
2
1
3
2
0
5
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
0-2
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
34
30
12
4
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
0-5
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
33
32
11
6
3
3
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.6
26
28
8
3
7
1
1
2
4
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
0-3
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
25
24
11
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
1-4
25%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.6
26
18
16
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
4-4
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.0
25
28
16
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
5-10
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.4
22
24
11
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.4
15
2
8
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.7
17
1
2-4
44%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
7
0
1-3
57%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.7
3
0
0-0
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.5
1
0
0-0
44%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
Matt Williams Jr.
· 6'5" 210 · 24.2
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 29.0
37
30
5
3
10
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 27.6
33
35
25
4
5
2
1
0
4
2
2
5-6
83%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
4-10
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.0
33
31
15
16
0
1
1
0
0
2
14
7-12
58%
4-8
7-12
50%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 24.2
28
29
13
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
6-8
5-9
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 31.5
27
29
5
4
1
1
1
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.5
21
22
12
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24.7
21
14
10
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
2-6
33%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.2
15
14
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
10
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24.5
9
6
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24.1
6
16
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 22.3
7
0
1-1
46%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
2
0
0-0
54%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25.2
Marcus Paige
G · 6'0" 164 · 24.3
Mangok Mathiang
F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.