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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 15, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bulls30%100115
13Bucks70%107109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.7
38.4
26.4
8
34%
8
7
0
1
0
3
2
6
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-4
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.8
29.1
27.6
22
58%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
5-7
71%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
3-7
43%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.7
29.1
31.1
18
60%
8
1
0
0
0
0
6
2
0-2
0%
9-14
6-11
64%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
25.0
29.9
17
60%
0
7
2
2
0
2
0
0
3-5
60%
7-11
5-10
64%
44%
0-1
0%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.1
18.1
29.5
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-0
-
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 24.9
35.2
26.2
13
63%
8
1
3
1
0
2
2
6
2-3
67%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.8
29.4
20.1
27
71%
12
0
1
0
0
1
2
10
7-7
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
2-5
40%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
23.0
16.7
8
66%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-7
29%
0-0
2-3
-
48%
2-3
67%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.8
12.8
14.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.4
4.2
0
0-1
57%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.7
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.2
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.6
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.3
42.0
35.9
29
63%
6
6
4
2
0
2
0
6
9-9
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
2-9
22%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 23.0
39.7
39.2
29
66%
16
4
0
2
1
1
5
11
6-9
67%
10-15
11-19
67%
57%
1-3
33%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.0
34.2
31.5
12
43%
2
7
1
2
0
5
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
1-5
20%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 27.0
19.7
26.8
11
75%
7
1
0
1
2
1
2
5
1-3
33%
5-6
4-7
83%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
10.1
13.6
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-1
100%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
32.3
28.1
6
25%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-4
0%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 21.3
28.7
14.4
9
41%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-8
25%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20.8
20.1
16.5
7
74%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.8
6.0
1.5
3
150%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
1-1
100%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 21.8
4.5
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.7
2.7
16.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 40.2
14.6
1
0-1
49%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 26.1
10.3
0
0-1
53%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.3
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.