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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 18, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nuggets40%10694
8Thunder60%11095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
40.5
35.2
17
48%
3
6
1
2
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
54%
2-7
29%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
35.7
27.6
9
43%
9
1
3
1
0
1
0
9
0-1
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
29.9
10.3
14
119%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
3-3
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.8
25.2
30.8
10
45%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
22.8
25.9
7
47%
9
2
0
1
2
3
1
8
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.9
25.5
33.1
6
19%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-8
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
25.4
26.6
15
75%
10
1
0
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
25.2
17.2
13
60%
9
2
2
1
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
5-7
3-5
71%
57%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
9.7
15.0
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
13.3
0
2-4
53%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
8.6
0
0-1
48%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
4.7
0
0-1
44%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.5
1.5
0
0-0
53%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
38.9
34.2
8
29%
6
1
3
2
2
3
0
6
1-2
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
1-6
17%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
36.8
36.2
38
61%
9
6
3
2
1
3
2
7
5-7
71%
15-25
7-16
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
30.9
32.3
4
33%
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
5-10
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
24.6
27.0
8
67%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
62%
0-0
-
Dakari Johnson
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.2
18.4
5.7
8
100%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
25.0
16.9
8
52%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.8
21.7
16.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 33.5
16.9
14.2
5
36%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
1-2
50%
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.4
13.7
16.8
11
142%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
3-3
100%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
13.3
13.3
3
38%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 19.6
6.6
0
0-1
53%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 37.1
4.5
0
0-1
51%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.6
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.4
Daniel Hamilton
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.4
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.