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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 20, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic
94
24Bulls
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 28.3
33
34
6
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
6-11
29%
51%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
31
34
18
10
5
0
1
0
2
1
9
2-2
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
52%
0-4
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.8
30
29
14
6
8
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-1
0%
7-11
4-7
64%
51%
0-2
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.8
24
26
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 23.0
20
17
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 30.1
28
26
14
0
1
3
1
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.7
18
22
5
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamel Artis
G · 6'7" 213 · 24.9
15
4
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.2
14
12
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 25.3
10
13
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
9
11
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 26.8
6
0
10
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
8
0
1-2
47%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 25.2
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25.1
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.1
29
23
16
10
5
1
1
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
3-4
75%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.7
28
33
8
2
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.7
27
26
10
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
53%
0-0
-
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
24
30
15
6
7
3
2
1
2
1
5
3-3
100%
6-8
5-11
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.6
20
19
9
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
0-4
0%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
24
17
13
2
6
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
49%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.9
22
27
15
10
1
0
1
1
1
0
10
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.8
20
12
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
2-4
50%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 24.9
19
27
4
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.9
15
23
14
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.5
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-2
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.2
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.