Final Win Prob. pScore
1846%102
101
1954%103
113
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
117.48690.9
MIA logo Heat
131.48681.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Adebayo 5 AST)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DALMISS Ferrell 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIARichardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)101
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12DALFerrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)101
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 1:17DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 0)98
109
Q4 - 1:17MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)98
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 1:32MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 1:37DALMISS Barnes Free Throw 2 of 298
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 1:37DALMavericks Rebound98
106
Q4 - 1:37DALMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 298
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 1:37MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.T4) (M.Lindsay)98
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)98
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 2:07DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)98
5.9%
103
94.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Walton Jr.97
103
Q4 - 2:07DALMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)97
5.5%
103
94.5%
Q4 - 2:07MIAEllington S.FOUL (P2.T3) (C.Washington)96
4.4%
103
95.6%
Q4 - 2:12DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
4.5%
103
95.5%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot96
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 2:35DALBarnes 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (20 PTS) (Barea 8 AST)96
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 2:48MIAAdebayo 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (14 PTS) (Walton Jr. 5 AST)94
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 3:13DALFerrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)94
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIARichardson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 3:46MIASUB: Richardson FOR Mickey91
99
Q4 - 3:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)91
99
Q4 - 3:55DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)91
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 3:56DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 3:59DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 4:19MIAEllington 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Adebayo 4 AST)88
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 4:43DALBarnes 2' Cutting Layup Shot (18 PTS) (Barea 7 AST)88
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 4:56DALSUB: Barea FOR Mejri86
96
Q4 - 4:56DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Smith Jr.86
96
Q4 - 4:56DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)86
96
Q4 - 4:56MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Walton Jr. 4 AST)86
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 5:07DALSmith Jr. Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)86
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q4 - 5:21MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mickey 1 AST)86
6.9%
94
93.1%
Q4 - 5:40DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
9.1%
92
90.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIASUB: Walton Jr. FOR Richardson85
92
Q4 - 5:40DALMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 5:40MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P3.T2) (K.Lane)84
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 5:59DALSmith Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 6:18DALMejri P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Lane)84
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 6:30DALFerrell 11' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)84
6.3%
92
93.7%
Q4 - 6:53MIARichardson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMickey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q4 - 7:20DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
8.5%
90
91.5%
Q4 - 7:36DALSUB: Matthews FOR Collinsworth82
90
Q4 - 7:36DALSUB: Mejri FOR Nowitzki82
90
Q4 - 7:36DALSUB: Barnes FOR Powell82
90
Q4 - 7:36DALSUB: Ferrell FOR Barea82
90
Q4 - 7:36DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)82
90
Q4 - 7:36MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)82
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 7:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 7:50DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot82
17.4%
87
82.6%
Q4 - 8:04MIAEllington 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)82
21.9%
87
78.1%
Q4 - 8:16DALCollinsworth Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)82
32.0%
84
68.0%
Q4 - 8:16DALMavericks Rebound81
84
Q4 - 8:16DALMISS Collinsworth Free Throw 1 of 281
30.6%
84
69.4%
Q4 - 8:16MIAEllington S.FOUL (P1.T1) (C.Washington)81
31.8%
84
68.2%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMickey 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)81
31.8%
84
68.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMickey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
37.7%
82
62.3%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMISS Mickey 1' Reverse Layup81
41.9%
82
58.1%
Q4 - 8:53MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
37.7%
82
62.3%
Q4 - 8:56DALMISS Smith Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
39.5%
82
60.5%
Q4 - 8:58DALCollinsworth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
43.8%
82
56.2%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Johnson 8' Fadeaway Jumper81
42.1%
82
57.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
37.8%
82
62.2%
Q4 - 9:16DALMISS Barea 7' Jump Bank Shot81
39.7%
82
60.3%
Q4 - 9:30MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Olynyk81
82
Q4 - 9:30MIARichardson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T12)81
44.0%
82
56.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIARichardson OFF.Foul (P2) (M.Lindsay)81
37.8%
82
62.2%
Q4 - 9:40DALSmith Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 6 AST)81
37.8%
82
62.2%
Q4 - 9:51MIAJump Ball Johnson vs. Powell: Tip to Smith Jr.78
82
Q4 - 9:57MIASUB: Richardson FOR Walton Jr.78
82
Q4 - 9:57MIAOlynyk Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)78
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q4 - 10:15DALPowell 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Smith Jr. 7 AST)78
23.8%
82
76.2%
Q4 - 10:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
20.1%
82
79.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Olynyk 10' Turnaround Jump Shot76
18.9%
82
81.1%
Q4 - 10:53DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith Jr. 6 AST)76
16.4%
82
83.6%
Q4 - 11:00DALMavericks Rebound73
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q4 - 11:20DALMISS Barea 10' Jump Bank Shot73
10.6%
82
89.4%
Q4 - 11:39DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
12.1%
82
87.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Mickey 14' Jump Shot73
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q4 - 12:0073
82
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL73
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWalton Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
13.3%
82
86.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWalton Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
13.8%
81
86.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMatthews P.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Washington)73
15.9%
80
84.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
15.9%
80
84.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALMISS Barea 1' Running Layup73
16.8%
80
83.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)73
18.8%
80
81.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
15.8%
80
84.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
18.7%
80
81.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Walton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q3 - 1:06DALFerrell P.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Lane)73
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q3 - 1:09DALAdebayo STEAL (1 STL)73
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q3 - 1:36MIAOlynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walton Jr. 3 AST)73
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 1:40MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson73
77
Q3 - 2:00DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)73
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q3 - 2:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
20.6%
77
79.4%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot70
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q3 - 2:30DALNowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)70
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q3 - 2:43DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Barnes67
77
Q3 - 2:43MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Mickey67
77
Q3 - 2:43MIAMickey P.FOUL (P4.T2) (K.Lane)67
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMickey 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)67
12.9%
77
87.1%
Q3 - 3:13DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)67
15.9%
75
84.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIARichardson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q3 - 3:44DALSUB: Powell FOR Mejri64
73
Q3 - 3:44DALSUB: Barea FOR Smith Jr.64
73
Q3 - 3:44DALSmith Jr. P.FOUL (P2.T1) (C.Washington)64
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMickey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q3 - 3:48DALMISS Smith Jr. 12' Floating Jump Shot64
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAJohnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
16.8%
73
83.2%
Q3 - 4:23MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington64
71
Q3 - 4:23DALBarnes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)64
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 4:45MIAAdebayo 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walton Jr. 2 AST)64
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q3 - 4:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
24.7%
69
75.3%
Q3 - 4:58DALMISS Ferrell 18' Pullup Jump Shot64
25.8%
69
74.2%
Q3 - 5:03DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
29.0%
69
71.0%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Mickey 1' Dunk64
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 5:38DALBarnes 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)64
25.4%
69
74.6%
Q3 - 5:57MIARichardson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIASUB: Mickey FOR Olynyk62
67
Q3 - 6:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)62
67
Q3 - 6:19DALMejri 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Smith Jr. 5 AST)62
26.0%
67
74.0%
Q3 - 6:26DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Adebayo 2' Driving Layup60
22.4%
67
77.6%
Q3 - 6:53DALMatthews 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith Jr. 4 AST)60
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 7:07DALBarnes Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)57
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Adebayo ) (K.Lane)56
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 7:15MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Lane)56
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIASUB: Walton Jr. FOR Johnson56
67
Q3 - 7:28DALMavericks Rebound56
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 7:45DALOlynyk BLOCK (1 BLK)56
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 8:05MIAAdebayo 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)56
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 8:29DALFerrell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith Jr. 3 AST)56
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 8:42DALSUB: Mejri FOR Kleber53
65
Q3 - 8:42DALSUB: Ferrell FOR Nowitzki53
65
Q3 - 8:42DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)53
65
Q3 - 8:42MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)53
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 8:50DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.4%
62
82.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIARichardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 9:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
21.8%
60
78.2%
Q3 - 9:26DALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q3 - 9:48MIAEllington 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)53
24.6%
60
75.4%
Q3 - 10:01MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 10:04DALMISS Kleber 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 10:19DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)53
58
Q3 - 10:19MIAJohnson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)53
30.6%
58
69.4%
Q3 - 10:30MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 10:32DALMISS Smith Jr. 2' Driving Reverse Layup53
34.4%
56
65.6%
Q3 - 10:48MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Adebayo 3 AST)53
36.8%
56
63.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q3 - 11:09DALMISS Barnes 11' Turnaround Jump Shot53
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q3 - 11:27MIAOlynyk Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)53
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q3 - 11:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q3 - 11:32DALMISS Matthews 3' Driving Hook Shot53
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q3 - 11:37DALKleber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q3 - 11:40DALRichardson BLOCK (2 BLK)53
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q3 - 12:0053
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound53
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
44.1%
53
55.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mickey53
53
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMickey P.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Lindsay)53
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Mickey FOR Adebayo53
53
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)53
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)53
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q2 - 1:10MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
39.8%
53
60.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q2 - 1:10DALBarea S.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Lane)51
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 1:18MIASUB: Walton Jr. FOR Mickey51
51
Q2 - 1:18DALBarea P.FOUL (P2.T2) (C.Washington)51
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 1:25MIASUB: Ellington FOR Walton Jr.51
51
Q2 - 1:25DALMatthews Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)51
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 1:25DALMatthews OFF.Foul (P1) (C.Washington)51
46.0%
51
54.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Olynyk51
51
Q2 - 1:35MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)51
46.0%
51
54.0%
Q2 - 1:51DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST)51
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 2:06MIASUB: Walton Jr. FOR Ellington48
51
Q2 - 2:06MIAOlynyk L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Lane)48
37.6%
51
62.4%
Q2 - 2:06DALMavericks Rebound48
37.6%
51
62.4%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Mickey 3PT Jump Shot48
36.8%
51
63.2%
Q2 - 2:24DALMatthews 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)48
34.9%
51
65.1%
Q2 - 2:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
32.0%
51
68.0%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS Olynyk 6' Hook Shot46
31.2%
51
68.8%
Q2 - 2:47MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
29.5%
51
70.5%
Q2 - 2:49DALMISS Ferrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
30.2%
51
69.8%
Q2 - 3:03MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)46
32.7%
51
67.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIASUB: Richardson FOR Walton Jr.46
51
Q2 - 3:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)46
51
Q2 - 3:29DALBarnes 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST)46
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 3:35MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q2 - 3:44DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Mejri44
51
Q2 - 3:44DALSUB: Barea FOR Harris44
51
Q2 - 3:44DALFerrell P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Lindsay)44
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 3:52MIAHEAT Rebound44
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 3:52DALMISS Ferrell 2' Layup44
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWalton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 4:22DALBarnes 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)44
32.8%
48
67.2%
Q2 - 4:35MIAOlynyk 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 5:02DALBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ferrell 2 AST)42
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q2 - 5:15DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
28.5%
46
71.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Ellington 14' Pullup Jump Shot39
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q2 - 5:29DALFerrell 12' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 5:44DALSUB: Matthews FOR Collinsworth37
46
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: Johnson FOR Haslem37
46
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: Mickey FOR Adebayo37
46
Q2 - 5:44MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Richardson37
46
Q2 - 5:44MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Lindsay)37
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 5:54MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Adebayo 2 AST)37
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 6:11DALBarnes 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)37
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 6:26DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
26.9%
43
73.1%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Adebayo 2' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot35
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 6:44DALSUB: Barnes FOR Nowitzki35
43
Q2 - 6:44DALSUB: Mejri FOR Powell35
43
Q2 - 6:44DALSUB: Ferrell FOR Barea35
43
Q2 - 6:44DALSUB: Harris FOR Smith Jr.35
43
Q2 - 6:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
43
Q2 - 6:54DALBarea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 7:07DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Adebayo 2' Alley Oop Dunk32
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 7:26DAL32
43
Q2 - 7:26DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)32
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 7:39MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walton Jr. 1 AST)32
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 8:00DALPowell 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Collinsworth 2 AST)32
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 8:01DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup30
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 8:22DALPowell 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)30
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 8:32DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 8:45MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 8:45DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 8:59MIA28
40
Q2 - 8:59MIAWalton Jr. 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 9:27DALSmith Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collinsworth 1 AST)28
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q2 - 9:55MIARichardson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)25
18.9%
38
81.1%
Q2 - 10:06DALSUB: Collinsworth FOR Harris25
36
Q2 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 10:11DALMISS Barea 17' Jump Shot25
21.2%
36
78.8%
Q2 - 10:17DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Ellington 16' Jump Shot25
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 10:31MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 10:35DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.2%
36
78.8%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAdebayo 1' Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)25
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
24.0%
34
76.0%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot25
25.4%
34
74.6%
Q2 - 11:05DALHarris 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)25
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 11:26MIAEllington 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 11:43DALRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)23
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 12:0023
32
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL23
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot23
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0DALBarea P.FOUL (P1.T4) (C.Washington)23
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALMISS Nowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot23
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAAdebayo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q1 - 1:17DALFerrell 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)23
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q1 - 1:22MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mickey21
30
Q1 - 1:22MIAMickey L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (K.Lane)21
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q1 - 1:22DALMavericks Rebound21
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q1 - 1:22DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
25.4%
30
74.6%
Q1 - 1:42DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)21
30
Q1 - 1:43MIAJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Adebayo 1 AST)21
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q1 - 1:56DALHarris Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)21
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMickey Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)21
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q1 - 2:28DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)21
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q1 - 2:44MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q1 - 3:08DALPowell 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)19
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Richardson FOR Olynyk17
26
Q1 - 3:26DALSUB: Barea FOR Mejri17
26
Q1 - 3:26DALSUB: Powell FOR Barnes17
26
Q1 - 3:26DALSUB: Harris FOR Matthews17
26
Q1 - 3:26DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Smith Jr.17
26
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Waiters17
26
Q1 - 3:26MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Washington)17
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMickey 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q1 - 3:44DALFerrell 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith Jr. 2 AST)17
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)14
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 4:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q1 - 4:07DALMISS Barnes 2' Layup14
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMickey P.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Washington)14
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q1 - 4:26DALSmith Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q1 - 4:47DALFerrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith Jr. 1 AST)14
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 5:07MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)11
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 5:18DALMISS Matthews 9' Jump Shot11
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 5:34MIA11
18
Q1 - 5:34MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)11
33.3%
18
66.7%
Q1 - 5:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
15
Q1 - 5:50DALMejri 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 5:54DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
35.0%
15
65.0%
Q1 - 5:57DALMISS Barnes 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot9
33.9%
15
66.1%
Q1 - 6:16DALMavericks Rebound9
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Mickey 4' Hook Shot9
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 6:29DALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 6:29DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 6:29MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Lane)7
32.8%
15
67.2%
Q1 - 6:37DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Mickey 13' Jump Shot7
32.5%
15
67.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIASUB: Mickey FOR Adebayo7
15
Q1 - 6:50MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson7
15
Q1 - 6:50DALBarnes P.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Washington)7
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 6:55DALBarnes 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Ferrell 1 AST)7
31.8%
15
68.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAOlynyk Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 7:18DALSUB: Mejri FOR Nowitzki5
15
Q1 - 7:18DALSUB: Smith Jr. FOR Kleber5
15
Q1 - 7:18DALKleber P.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Lindsay)5
30.1%
15
69.9%
Q1 - 7:30DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)5
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 7:50MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
28.9%
15
71.1%
Q1 - 8:18DALFerrell 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 8:37MIAOlynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)0
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 8:53MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 8:56DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot0
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 9:11MIARichardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 9:24DALRichardson STEAL (1 STL)0
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 9:49DALSUB: Ferrell FOR Smith Jr.0
7
Q1 - 9:49DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
7
Q1 - 9:49MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 9:55MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:59DALMISS Smith Jr. 15' Jump Shot0
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 10:16MIAAdebayo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 10:16MIAAdebayo OFF.Foul (P1) (K.Lane)0
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 10:17MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 10:24DALMISS Barnes 20' Jump Shot0
41.1%
5
58.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 10:41MIAHEAT Rebound0
4
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 20
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 10:41DALSmith Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Lindsay)0
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 10:50DALMISS Matthews 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWaiters Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 11:04DALWaiters STEAL (1 STL)0
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:21DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIARichardson 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Adebayo vs. Kleber: Tip to Johnson0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.23 61.6%
MIA
1.45 72.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
16
23
70%
MIA
14
21
67%
Midrange
DAL
5
17
29%
MIA
16
26
62%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
17
25.5
35
49%
73%
MIA
16
24.0
25
64%
96%
Free Throws
DAL
8
11
73%
MIA
5
6
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Y. Ferrell2388%11.5 / 13
D. Nowitzki2059%10.0 / 17
H. Barnes2059%10.0 / 17
W. Matthews956%4.5 / 8
J. Barea850%4.0 / 8
D. Powell8100%4.0 / 4
D. Smith643%3.0 / 7
S. Mejri467%2.0 / 3
D. Harris2100%1.0 / 1
K. Collinsworth150%0.5 / 1
M. Kleber0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Ellington2888%14.0 / 16
J. Richardson2486%12.0 / 14
T. Johnson1973%9.5 / 13
B. Adebayo1470%7.0 / 10
K. Olynyk1179%5.5 / 7
D. Walton Jr.788%3.5 / 4
J. Mickey633%3.0 / 9
D. Waiters4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
78
+4
-8
82
MIA
75
+3
-11
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.23 61.6%
MIA
1.45 72.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
106.6
DAL 117.4
MIA 131.4 +14.0
Pace
95.8
95.8
DAL 90.9 +9.3
MIA 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.3
DAL 15.8 −1.8
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
52.0%
DAL 62.0%
MIA 75.0% +13.0%
TO %
12.2%
14.1%
DAL 9.1% −4.8%
MIA 13.9%
ORB %
18.0%
21.5%
DAL 8.3%
MIA 9.5% +1.2%
FTrt
21.7
22.9
DAL 14.7 +6.4
MIA 8.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
58.5%
DAL 73.7% +19.4%
MIA 54.3%
STL %
7.3%
7.8%
DAL 5.8% +2.3%
MIA 3.5%
BLK %
7.0%
9.3%
DAL 4.3%
MIA 7.5% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
53.5%
DAL 61.6%
MIA 72.4% +10.8%
Rim FG%
59.9%
60.6%
DAL 69.6% +2.9%
MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%
39.9%
38.4%
DAL 29.4%
MIA 61.5% +32.1%
3P %
36.0%
36.0%
DAL 48.6%
MIA 64.0% +15.4%
FT %
76.3%
75.5%
DAL 72.7%
MIA 83.3% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
35.8%
DAL 30.7% +1.5%
MIA 29.2%
Mid Att. %
31.6%
28.4%
DAL 22.7% −13.4%
MIA 36.1%
3P Att. %
38.2%
35.8%
DAL 46.7% +11.9%
MIA 34.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points101113
Rebounds2235
Assists2825
Steals53
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1215
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (1)2 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals38-7546-72
At-the-Rim FG16-2314-21
Midrange FG5-1716-26
2-Point FG21-4030-47
3-Point FG17-3516-25
Free Throws8-115-6
Fast Break Pts46
2nd Chance Pts74
Points in Paint3636
Pts off Turnovers710
Bench Points4641
Biggest Lead013

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 31
33.9
9
56%
0
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 245 · 40
32.5
20
59%
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
6-15
40%
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
32.2
20
59%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
3-5
60%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 205 · 20
26.6
6
43%
2
7
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 240 · 26
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 180 · 25
32.9
23
88%
2
2
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
5-7
71%
G · 6'0" 185 · 33
25.5
8
50%
3
8
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26
16.8
8
100%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 235 · 32
14.5
4
67%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 26
8.8
1
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
8.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#13 · · 6'10" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F · 6'7" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
62%
22
28
5
2
8
12
3
19
8-11
73%
21-40
53%
17-35
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.