Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 22, 2017

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	18	Mavericks	46%	102	101
	19	Heat	54%	103	113

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DAL	117.4	86	90.9
MIA	131.4	86	81.6

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

-8

MIA

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.23 61.6%

MIA

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	MIA
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA		101 0%	113 100%
Q4 - 0:12.0	MIA	Ellington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	101 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0	DAL	MISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	101 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0	MIA	Johnson 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Adebayo 5 AST)	101 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	101 0.1%	111 99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0	DAL	MISS Ferrell 26' 3PT Jump Shot	101 0.1%	111 99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0	MIA	Richardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)	101 0.2%	111 99.8%
Q4 - 1:12	DAL	Ferrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)	101 0.6%	109 99.4%
Q4 - 1:17	MIA	Ellington 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	98 0.3%	109 99.7%
Q4 - 1:32	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	98 1.1%	106 98.9%
Q4 - 1:37	DAL	MISS Barnes Free Throw 2 of 2	98 1.3%	106 98.7%
Q4 - 1:37	DAL	MISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 2	98 1.8%	106 98.2%
Q4 - 1:37	MIA	Richardson S.FOUL (P3.T4) (M.Lindsay)	98 2.1%	106 97.9%
Q4 - 1:49	MIA	Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)	98 2.4%	106 97.6%
Q4 - 2:07	DAL	Matthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	98 5.9%	103 94.1%
Q4 - 2:07	DAL	Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	97 5.5%	103 94.5%
Q4 - 2:07	MIA	Ellington S.FOUL (P2.T3) (C.Washington)	96 4.4%	103 95.6%
Q4 - 2:12	DAL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	96 4.5%	103 95.5%
Q4 - 2:14	MIA	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	96 3.7%	103 96.3%
Q4 - 2:35	DAL	Barnes 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (20 PTS) (Barea 8 AST)	96 2.3%	103 97.7%
Q4 - 2:48	MIA	Adebayo 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (14 PTS) (Walton Jr. 5 AST)	94 1.9%	103 98.1%
Q4 - 3:13	DAL	Ferrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)	94 3.2%	101 96.8%
Q4 - 3:35	MIA	Richardson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)	91 2.8%	101 97.2%
Q4 - 3:55	DAL	Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)	91 3.7%	99 96.3%
Q4 - 3:56	DAL	Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	88 1.8%	99 98.2%
Q4 - 3:59	DAL	MISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot	88 1.4%	99 98.6%
Q4 - 4:19	MIA	Ellington 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Adebayo 4 AST)	88 1.8%	99 98.2%
Q4 - 4:43	DAL	Barnes 2' Cutting Layup Shot (18 PTS) (Barea 7 AST)	88 3.5%	96 96.5%
Q4 - 4:56	MIA	Johnson 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Walton Jr. 4 AST)	86 2.4%	96 97.6%
Q4 - 5:07	DAL	Smith Jr. Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)	86 5.0%	94 95.0%
Q4 - 5:21	MIA	Johnson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mickey 1 AST)	86 6.9%	94 93.1%
Q4 - 5:40	DAL	Matthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	86 9.1%	92 90.9%
Q4 - 5:40	DAL	Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	85 8.7%	92 91.3%
Q4 - 5:40	MIA	Adebayo S.FOUL (P3.T2) (K.Lane)	84 6.9%	92 93.1%
Q4 - 5:59	DAL	Smith Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	84 6.8%	92 93.2%
Q4 - 6:03	MIA	MISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	84 8.0%	92 92.0%
Q4 - 6:18	DAL	Mejri P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Lane)	84 6.3%	92 93.7%
Q4 - 6:30	DAL	Ferrell 11' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)	84 6.3%	92 93.7%
Q4 - 6:53	MIA	Richardson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)	82 4.9%	92 95.1%
Q4 - 7:17	MIA	Mickey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	82 7.8%	90 92.2%
Q4 - 7:20	DAL	MISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot	82 8.5%	90 91.5%
Q4 - 7:36	MIA	Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	82 10.2%	90 89.8%
Q4 - 7:41	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	82 16.1%	87 83.9%
Q4 - 7:50	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot	82 17.4%	87 82.6%
Q4 - 8:04	MIA	Ellington 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)	82 21.9%	87 78.1%
Q4 - 8:16	DAL	Collinsworth Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	82 32.0%	84 68.0%
Q4 - 8:16	DAL	MISS Collinsworth Free Throw 1 of 2	81 30.6%	84 69.4%
Q4 - 8:16	MIA	Ellington S.FOUL (P1.T1) (C.Washington)	81 31.8%	84 68.2%
Q4 - 8:38	MIA	Mickey 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)	81 31.8%	84 68.2%
Q4 - 8:40	MIA	Mickey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	81 37.7%	82 62.3%
Q4 - 8:41	MIA	MISS Mickey 1' Reverse Layup	81 41.9%	82 58.1%
Q4 - 8:53	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	81 37.7%	82 62.3%
Q4 - 8:56	DAL	MISS Smith Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot	81 39.5%	82 60.5%
Q4 - 8:58	DAL	Collinsworth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	81 43.8%	82 56.2%
Q4 - 9:03	MIA	MISS Johnson 8' Fadeaway Jumper	81 42.1%	82 57.9%
Q4 - 9:13	MIA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	81 37.8%	82 62.2%
Q4 - 9:16	DAL	MISS Barea 7' Jump Bank Shot	81 39.7%	82 60.3%
Q4 - 9:30	MIA	Richardson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T12)	81 44.0%	82 56.0%
Q4 - 9:30	MIA	Richardson OFF.Foul (P2) (M.Lindsay)	81 37.8%	82 62.2%
Q4 - 9:40	DAL	Smith Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 6 AST)	81 37.8%	82 62.2%
Q4 - 9:57	MIA	Olynyk Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	78 27.5%	82 72.5%
Q4 - 10:15	DAL	Powell 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Smith Jr. 7 AST)	78 23.8%	82 76.2%
Q4 - 10:22	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	76 20.1%	82 79.9%
Q4 - 10:24	MIA	MISS Olynyk 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	76 18.9%	82 81.1%
Q4 - 10:53	DAL	Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith Jr. 6 AST)	76 16.4%	82 83.6%
Q4 - 11:00	DAL	Mavericks Rebound	73 11.2%	82 88.8%
Q4 - 11:03	MIA	MISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73 11.4%	82 88.6%
Q4 - 11:18	MIA	Walton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	73 9.9%	82 90.1%
Q4 - 11:20	DAL	MISS Barea 10' Jump Bank Shot	73 10.6%	82 89.4%
Q4 - 11:39	DAL	Powell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	73 12.1%	82 87.9%
Q4 - 11:42	MIA	MISS Mickey 14' Jump Shot	73 11.4%	82 88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DAL		73 9.9%	82 90.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MIA	Walton Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	73 13.3%	82 86.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MIA	Walton Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	73 13.8%	81 86.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0	DAL	Matthews P.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Washington)	73 15.9%	80 84.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MIA	Olynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	73 15.9%	80 84.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0	DAL	MISS Barea 1' Running Layup	73 16.8%	80 83.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0	MIA	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	73 18.8%	80 81.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	73 15.8%	80 84.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot	73 16.7%	80 83.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0	DAL	Ferrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	73 18.7%	80 81.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0	MIA	MISS Walton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot	73 17.7%	80 82.3%
Q3 - 1:06	DAL	Ferrell P.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Lane)	73 16.9%	80 83.1%
Q3 - 1:09	DAL	Adebayo STEAL (1 STL)	73 16.9%	80 83.1%
Q3 - 1:36	MIA	Olynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walton Jr. 3 AST)	73 19.8%	80 80.2%
Q3 - 2:00	DAL	Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)	73 26.6%	77 73.4%
Q3 - 2:06	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	70 20.6%	77 79.4%
Q3 - 2:08	MIA	MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot	70 19.7%	77 80.3%
Q3 - 2:30	DAL	Nowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)	70 17.6%	77 82.4%
Q3 - 2:43	MIA	Mickey P.FOUL (P4.T2) (K.Lane)	67 13.0%	77 87.0%
Q3 - 2:53	MIA	Mickey 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)	67 12.9%	77 87.1%
Q3 - 3:13	DAL	Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)	67 15.9%	75 84.1%
Q3 - 3:30	MIA	Richardson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)	64 11.8%	75 88.2%
Q3 - 3:44	DAL	Smith Jr. P.FOUL (P2.T1) (C.Washington)	64 13.7%	73 86.3%
Q3 - 3:47	MIA	Mickey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	64 13.7%	73 86.3%
Q3 - 3:48	DAL	MISS Smith Jr. 12' Floating Jump Shot	64 14.3%	73 85.7%
Q3 - 4:07	MIA	Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)	64 16.8%	73 83.2%
Q3 - 4:23	DAL	Barnes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)	64 18.9%	71 81.1%
Q3 - 4:45	MIA	Adebayo 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walton Jr. 2 AST)	64 22.1%	71 77.9%
Q3 - 4:55	MIA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	64 24.7%	69 75.3%
Q3 - 4:58	DAL	MISS Ferrell 18' Pullup Jump Shot	64 25.8%	69 74.2%
Q3 - 5:03	DAL	Ferrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	64 29.0%	69 71.0%
Q3 - 5:09	MIA	MISS Mickey 1' Dunk	64 27.9%	69 72.1%
Q3 - 5:38	DAL	Barnes 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)	64 25.4%	69 74.6%
Q3 - 5:57	MIA	Richardson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)	62 22.7%	69 77.3%
Q3 - 6:19	DAL	Mejri 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Smith Jr. 5 AST)	62 26.0%	67 74.0%
Q3 - 6:26	DAL	Mejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	60 23.3%	67 76.7%
Q3 - 6:28	MIA	MISS Adebayo 2' Driving Layup	60 22.4%	67 77.6%
Q3 - 6:53	DAL	Matthews 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith Jr. 4 AST)	60 20.3%	67 79.7%
Q3 - 7:07	DAL	Barnes Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)	57 16.5%	67 83.5%
Q3 - 7:07	MIA	HEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Adebayo ) (K.Lane)	56 14.5%	67 85.5%
Q3 - 7:15	MIA	Richardson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Lane)	56 14.5%	67 85.5%
Q3 - 7:28	DAL	Mavericks Rebound	56 14.5%	67 85.5%
Q3 - 7:28	MIA	MISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot	56 13.9%	67 86.1%
Q3 - 7:42	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	56 12.4%	67 87.6%
Q3 - 7:45	DAL	Olynyk BLOCK (1 BLK)	56 13.0%	67 87.0%
Q3 - 8:05	MIA	Adebayo 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)	56 15.1%	67 84.9%
Q3 - 8:29	DAL	Ferrell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith Jr. 3 AST)	56 16.7%	65 83.3%
Q3 - 8:42	MIA	Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	53 13.3%	65 86.7%
Q3 - 8:50	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 16.7%	62 83.3%
Q3 - 8:50	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot	53 17.4%	62 82.6%
Q3 - 9:16	MIA	Richardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)	53 19.6%	62 80.4%
Q3 - 9:19	MIA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 21.8%	60 78.2%
Q3 - 9:26	DAL	MISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot	53 22.6%	60 77.4%
Q3 - 9:48	MIA	Ellington 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)	53 24.6%	60 75.4%
Q3 - 10:01	MIA	Ellington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 27.5%	58 72.5%
Q3 - 10:04	DAL	MISS Kleber 24' 3PT Jump Shot	53 28.4%	58 71.6%
Q3 - 10:19	MIA	Johnson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)	53 30.6%	58 69.4%
Q3 - 10:30	MIA	Olynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	53 33.3%	56 66.7%
Q3 - 10:32	DAL	MISS Smith Jr. 2' Driving Reverse Layup	53 34.4%	56 65.6%
Q3 - 10:48	MIA	Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Adebayo 3 AST)	53 36.8%	56 63.2%
Q3 - 11:06	MIA	Ellington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	53 43.4%	53 56.6%
Q3 - 11:09	DAL	MISS Barnes 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	53 44.4%	53 55.6%
Q3 - 11:27	MIA	Olynyk Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)	53 46.9%	53 53.1%
Q3 - 11:29	MIA	Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	53 43.4%	53 56.6%
Q3 - 11:32	DAL	MISS Matthews 3' Driving Hook Shot	53 44.4%	53 55.6%
Q3 - 11:37	DAL	Kleber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	53 46.9%	53 53.1%
Q3 - 11:40	DAL	Richardson BLOCK (2 BLK)	53 44.4%	53 55.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA		53 46.9%	53 53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	53 43.4%	53 56.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 45.8%	53 54.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	53 44.1%	53 55.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 44.7%	53 55.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0	MIA	Mickey P.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Lindsay)	53 46.2%	53 53.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0	MIA	HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	53 46.2%	53 53.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0	DAL	Barea 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)	53 44.0%	53 56.0%
Q2 - 1:10	MIA	Adebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	51 39.8%	53 60.2%
Q2 - 1:10	MIA	Adebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	51 40.6%	52 59.4%
Q2 - 1:10	DAL	Barea S.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Lane)	51 44.3%	51 55.7%
Q2 - 1:18	DAL	Barea P.FOUL (P2.T2) (C.Washington)	51 44.3%	51 55.7%
Q2 - 1:25	DAL	Matthews Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	51 44.3%	51 55.7%
Q2 - 1:25	DAL	Matthews OFF.Foul (P1) (C.Washington)	51 46.0%	51 54.0%
Q2 - 1:35	MIA	Johnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)	51 46.0%	51 54.0%
Q2 - 1:51	DAL	Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST)	51 44.3%	51 55.7%
Q2 - 2:06	MIA	Olynyk L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Lane)	48 37.6%	51 62.4%
Q2 - 2:06	DAL	Mavericks Rebound	48 37.6%	51 62.4%
Q2 - 2:06	MIA	MISS Mickey 3PT Jump Shot	48 36.8%	51 63.2%
Q2 - 2:24	DAL	Matthews 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)	48 34.9%	51 65.1%
Q2 - 2:36	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	46 32.0%	51 68.0%
Q2 - 2:40	MIA	MISS Olynyk 6' Hook Shot	46 31.2%	51 68.8%
Q2 - 2:47	MIA	Olynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	46 29.5%	51 70.5%
Q2 - 2:49	DAL	MISS Ferrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot	46 30.2%	51 69.8%
Q2 - 3:03	MIA	Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	46 32.7%	51 67.3%
Q2 - 3:29	DAL	Barnes 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST)	46 29.8%	51 70.2%
Q2 - 3:35	MIA	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	44 27.7%	51 72.3%
Q2 - 3:44	DAL	Ferrell P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Lindsay)	44 25.1%	51 74.9%
Q2 - 3:52	MIA	HEAT Rebound	44 25.1%	51 74.9%
Q2 - 3:52	DAL	MISS Ferrell 2' Layup	44 25.8%	51 74.2%
Q2 - 4:06	MIA	Walton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	44 28.0%	51 72.0%
Q2 - 4:22	DAL	Barnes 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)	44 32.8%	48 67.2%
Q2 - 4:35	MIA	Olynyk 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	42 30.4%	48 69.6%
Q2 - 5:02	DAL	Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ferrell 2 AST)	42 33.0%	46 67.0%
Q2 - 5:15	DAL	Mejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	39 28.5%	46 71.5%
Q2 - 5:18	MIA	MISS Ellington 14' Pullup Jump Shot	39 27.7%	46 72.3%
Q2 - 5:29	DAL	Ferrell 12' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)	39 26.0%	46 74.0%
Q2 - 5:44	MIA	Adebayo P.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Lindsay)	37 24.1%	46 75.9%
Q2 - 5:54	MIA	Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Adebayo 2 AST)	37 24.1%	46 75.9%
Q2 - 6:11	DAL	Barnes 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)	37 28.5%	43 71.5%
Q2 - 6:26	DAL	Mejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 26.9%	43 73.1%
Q2 - 6:30	MIA	MISS Adebayo 2' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot	35 26.1%	43 73.9%
Q2 - 6:54	DAL	Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	35 24.3%	43 75.7%
Q2 - 7:07	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 21.6%	43 78.4%
Q2 - 7:09	MIA	MISS Adebayo 2' Alley Oop Dunk	32 21.0%	43 79.0%
Q2 - 7:26	DAL	Nowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	32 19.7%	43 80.3%
Q2 - 7:39	MIA	Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walton Jr. 1 AST)	32 21.5%	43 78.5%
Q2 - 8:00	DAL	Powell 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Collinsworth 2 AST)	32 25.1%	40 74.9%
Q2 - 8:01	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 23.6%	40 76.4%
Q2 - 8:05	MIA	MISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup	30 23.0%	40 77.0%
Q2 - 8:22	DAL	Powell 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)	30 21.6%	40 78.4%
Q2 - 8:32	DAL	Powell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 20.1%	40 79.9%
Q2 - 8:34	MIA	MISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28 19.5%	40 80.5%
Q2 - 8:45	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	28 18.4%	40 81.6%
Q2 - 8:45	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot	28 18.9%	40 81.1%
Q2 - 8:59	MIA	Walton Jr. 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	28 20.1%	40 79.9%
Q2 - 9:27	DAL	Smith Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collinsworth 1 AST)	28 22.0%	38 78.0%
Q2 - 9:55	MIA	Richardson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)	25 18.9%	38 81.1%
Q2 - 10:08	MIA	Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 20.6%	36 79.4%
Q2 - 10:11	DAL	MISS Barea 17' Jump Shot	25 21.2%	36 78.8%
Q2 - 10:17	DAL	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 22.5%	36 77.5%
Q2 - 10:20	MIA	MISS Ellington 16' Jump Shot	25 21.9%	36 78.1%
Q2 - 10:31	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	25 20.6%	36 79.4%
Q2 - 10:35	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot	25 21.2%	36 78.8%
Q2 - 10:43	MIA	Adebayo 1' Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)	25 22.5%	36 77.5%
Q2 - 10:43	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	25 24.0%	34 76.0%
Q2 - 10:49	MIA	MISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot	25 25.4%	34 74.6%
Q2 - 11:05	DAL	Harris 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)	25 24.5%	34 75.5%
Q2 - 11:26	MIA	Ellington 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)	23 22.7%	34 77.3%
Q2 - 11:38	MIA	Walton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 24.4%	32 75.6%
Q2 - 11:43	DAL	Richardson BLOCK (1 BLK)	23 25.0%	32 75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DAL		23 26.3%	32 73.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0	DAL	Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 26.2%	32 73.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0	MIA	MISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot	23 25.8%	32 74.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0	DAL	Barea P.FOUL (P1.T4) (C.Washington)	23 24.8%	32 75.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 24.8%	32 75.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot	23 25.2%	32 74.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0	MIA	Adebayo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	23 26.2%	32 73.8%
Q1 - 1:17	DAL	Ferrell 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)	23 28.6%	30 71.4%
Q1 - 1:22	MIA	Mickey L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (K.Lane)	21 26.4%	30 73.6%
Q1 - 1:22	DAL	Mavericks Rebound	21 26.4%	30 73.6%
Q1 - 1:22	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot	21 25.4%	30 74.6%
Q1 - 1:43	MIA	Johnson 1' Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Adebayo 1 AST)	21 26.3%	30 73.7%
Q1 - 1:56	DAL	Harris Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)	21 28.6%	28 71.4%
Q1 - 2:12	MIA	Mickey Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)	21 30.6%	28 69.4%
Q1 - 2:28	DAL	Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)	21 28.8%	28 71.2%
Q1 - 2:44	MIA	Adebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	19 26.8%	28 73.2%
Q1 - 3:08	DAL	Powell 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)	19 28.9%	26 71.1%
Q1 - 3:26	MIA	Waiters P.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Washington)	17 27.3%	26 72.7%
Q1 - 3:28	MIA	Mickey 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	17 27.3%	26 72.7%
Q1 - 3:44	DAL	Ferrell 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith Jr. 2 AST)	17 28.9%	24 71.1%
Q1 - 3:57	MIA	Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)	14 25.6%	24 74.4%
Q1 - 4:05	MIA	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 30.2%	21 69.8%
Q1 - 4:07	DAL	MISS Barnes 2' Layup	14 30.8%	21 69.2%
Q1 - 4:19	MIA	Mickey P.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Washington)	14 32.3%	21 67.7%
Q1 - 4:26	DAL	Smith Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 32.3%	21 67.7%
Q1 - 4:28	MIA	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	14 31.7%	21 68.3%
Q1 - 4:47	DAL	Ferrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith Jr. 1 AST)	14 30.5%	21 69.5%
Q1 - 5:07	MIA	Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)	11 28.5%	21 71.5%
Q1 - 5:14	MIA	Olynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	11 31.5%	18 68.5%
Q1 - 5:18	DAL	MISS Matthews 9' Jump Shot	11 32.0%	18 68.0%
Q1 - 5:34	MIA	Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)	11 33.3%	18 66.7%
Q1 - 5:50	DAL	Mejri 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	11 36.6%	15 63.4%
Q1 - 5:54	DAL	Mejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	9 35.0%	15 65.0%
Q1 - 5:57	DAL	MISS Barnes 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot	9 33.9%	15 66.1%
Q1 - 6:16	DAL	Mavericks Rebound	9 35.6%	15 64.4%
Q1 - 6:16	MIA	MISS Mickey 4' Hook Shot	9 35.1%	15 64.9%
Q1 - 6:29	DAL	Barnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	9 34.2%	15 65.8%
Q1 - 6:29	DAL	Barnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	8 34.0%	15 66.0%
Q1 - 6:29	MIA	Olynyk S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Lane)	7 32.8%	15 67.2%
Q1 - 6:37	DAL	Mejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 32.9%	15 67.1%
Q1 - 6:40	MIA	MISS Mickey 13' Jump Shot	7 32.5%	15 67.5%
Q1 - 6:50	DAL	Barnes P.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Washington)	7 31.7%	15 68.3%
Q1 - 6:55	DAL	Barnes 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Ferrell 1 AST)	7 31.8%	15 68.2%
Q1 - 7:04	MIA	Olynyk Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	5 31.2%	15 68.8%
Q1 - 7:18	DAL	Kleber P.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Lindsay)	5 30.1%	15 69.9%
Q1 - 7:30	DAL	Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)	5 30.4%	15 69.6%
Q1 - 7:50	MIA	Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)	2 28.9%	15 71.1%
Q1 - 8:18	DAL	Ferrell 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 31.9%	12 68.1%
Q1 - 8:37	MIA	Olynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)	0 31.7%	12 68.3%
Q1 - 8:53	MIA	Olynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 34.1%	9 65.9%
Q1 - 8:56	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot	0 34.5%	9 65.5%
Q1 - 9:11	MIA	Richardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	0 35.9%	9 64.1%
Q1 - 9:24	DAL	Richardson STEAL (1 STL)	0 37.0%	7 63.0%
Q1 - 9:49	MIA	Waiters 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	0 39.0%	7 61.0%
Q1 - 9:55	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 39.9%	5 60.1%
Q1 - 9:59	DAL	MISS Smith Jr. 15' Jump Shot	0 40.3%	5 59.7%
Q1 - 10:16	MIA	Adebayo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	0 41.4%	5 58.6%
Q1 - 10:16	MIA	Adebayo OFF.Foul (P1) (K.Lane)	0 40.6%	5 59.4%
Q1 - 10:17	MIA	Olynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 40.6%	5 59.4%
Q1 - 10:24	DAL	MISS Barnes 20' Jump Shot	0 41.1%	5 58.9%
Q1 - 10:41	MIA	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	0 42.3%	5 57.7%
Q1 - 10:41	MIA	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	0 42.4%	4 57.6%
Q1 - 10:41	DAL	Smith Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Lindsay)	0 42.2%	4 57.8%
Q1 - 10:48	MIA	Adebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 42.5%	4 57.5%
Q1 - 10:50	DAL	MISS Matthews 27' 3PT Jump Shot	0 42.7%	4 57.3%
Q1 - 11:04	MIA	Waiters Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	0 43.6%	4 56.4%
Q1 - 11:04	DAL	Waiters STEAL (1 STL)	0 43.1%	4 56.9%
Q1 - 11:09	MIA	Waiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	0 43.7%	4 56.3%
Q1 - 11:18	MIA	Waiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 44.5%	2 55.5%
Q1 - 11:21	DAL	MISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot	0 44.6%	2 55.4%
Q1 - 11:40	MIA	Richardson 2' Layup (2 PTS)	0 45.3%	2 54.7%
Q1 - 12:00	MIA	Jump Ball Adebayo vs. Kleber: Tip to Johnson	0 45.8%	0 54.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.23 61.6%

MIA

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

70%

MIA

67%

Midrange

DAL

29%

MIA

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

25.5

49%

73%

MIA

24.0

64%

96%

Free Throws

DAL

73%

MIA

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Y. Ferrell	23	88%	11.5 / 13
D. Nowitzki	20	59%	10.0 / 17
H. Barnes	20	59%	10.0 / 17
W. Matthews	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Barea	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Powell	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Smith Jr.	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Mejri	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Harris	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Collinsworth	1	50%	0.5 / 1
M. Kleber	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Ellington	28	88%	14.0 / 16
J. Richardson	24	86%	12.0 / 14
T. Johnson	19	73%	9.5 / 13
B. Adebayo	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Olynyk	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Walton Jr.	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Mickey	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Waiters	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

-8

MIA

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.23 61.6%

MIA

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.1 106.6	DAL 117.4 MIA 131.4 +14.0
Pace	95.8 95.8	DAL 90.9 +9.3 MIA 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15.5 15.3	DAL 15.8 +1.8 MIA 17.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.3% 52.0%	DAL 62.0% MIA 75.0% +13.0%
TO %	12.2% 14.1%	DAL 9.1% +4.8% MIA 13.9%
ORB %	18.0% 21.5%	DAL 8.3% MIA 9.5% +1.2%
FTrt	21.7 22.9	DAL 14.7 +6.4 MIA 8.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.4% 58.5%	DAL 73.7% +19.4% MIA 54.3%
STL %	7.3% 7.8%	DAL 5.8% +2.3% MIA 3.5%
BLK %	7.0% 9.3%	DAL 4.3% MIA 7.5% +3.2%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.1% 53.5%	DAL 61.6% MIA 72.4% +10.8%
Rim FG%	59.9% 60.6%	DAL 69.6% +2.9% MIA 66.7%
Mid FG%	39.9% 38.4%	DAL 29.4% MIA 61.5% +32.1%
3P %	36.0% 36.0%	DAL 48.6% MIA 64.0% +15.4%
FT %	76.3% 75.5%	DAL 72.7% MIA 83.3% +10.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.2% 35.8%	DAL 30.7% +1.5% MIA 29.2%
Mid Att. %	31.6% 28.4%	DAL 22.7% +13.4% MIA 36.1%
3P Att. %	38.2% 35.8%	DAL 46.7% +11.9% MIA 34.7%

Game Totals	DAL	MIA
Possessions	86	86
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	101	113
Rebounds	22	35
Assists	28	25
Steals	5	3
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	12	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (1)	2 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	19 (4)	33 (1)
Field Goals	38-75	46-72
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	14-21
Midrange FG	5-17	16-26
2-Point FG	21-40	30-47
3-Point FG	17-35	16-25
Free Throws	8-11	5-6
Fast Break Pts	4	6
2nd Chance Pts	7	4
Points in Paint	36	36
Pts off Turnovers	7	10
Bench Points	46	41
Biggest Lead	0	13

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.

18 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 31	33.9	9	56%	0	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Dirk Nowitzki C · 7'0" 245 · 40	32.5	20	59%	4	3	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-15	40%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'8" 225 · 26	32.2	20	59%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-5	60%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Dennis Smith Jr. G · 6'3" 195 · 20	26.6	6	43%	2	7	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-3	67%
Maxi Kleber F · 6'10" 240 · 26	8.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yogi Ferrell G · 6'0" 180 · 25	32.9	23	88%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-7	71%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 33	25.5	8	50%	3	8	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	16.8	8	100%	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Salah Mejri C · 7'2" 235 · 32	14.5	4	67%	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kyle Collinsworth G · 6'6" 210 · 26	8.8	1	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 35	8.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts #13 · · 6'10" 240 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dorian Finney-Smith #10 · F · 6'7" 220 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Seth Curry #30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Johnathan Motley #6 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	62%	22	28	5	2	8	12	3	19	8-11	73%	21-40	53%	17-35	49%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 31	33.9	9	56%	0	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Dirk Nowitzki C · 7'0" 245 · 40	32.5	20	59%	4	3	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	6-15	40%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'8" 225 · 26	32.2	20	59%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	3-5	60%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Dennis Smith Jr. G · 6'3" 195 · 20	26.6	6	43%	2	7	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-3	67%
Maxi Kleber F · 6'10" 240 · 26	8.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yogi Ferrell G · 6'0" 180 · 25	32.9	23	88%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	5-7	71%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 33	25.5	8	50%	3	8	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Dwight Powell F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	16.8	8	100%	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Salah Mejri C · 7'2" 235 · 32	14.5	4	67%	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kyle Collinsworth G · 6'6" 210 · 26	8.8	1	50%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 35	8.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts #13 · · 6'10" 240 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dorian Finney-Smith #10 · F · 6'7" 220 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Seth Curry #30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Johnathan Motley #6 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	62%	22	28	5	2	8	12	3	19	8-11	73%	21-40	53%	17-35	49%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 26	38.6	19	73%	7	4	0	0	3	0	0	7	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Bam Adebayo C · 6'9" 255 · 20	37.5	14	70%	8	5	1	0	1	3	1	7	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 24	36.4	24	86%	4	5	1	2	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	9-11	82%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk F · 6'11" 240 · 27	25.8	11	79%	6	2	0	1	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 26	8.6	4	100%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 30	39.4	28	88%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	8-12	67%
Derrick Walton Jr. G · 6'1" 185 · 23	23.9	7	88%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23	21.9	6	33%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 38	8.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 32
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 31
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 22
Matt Williams Jr. · 6'5" 210 · 24
AJ Hammons #4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Okaro White #15 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Rodney McGruder #17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hassan Whiteside #21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	72%	35	25	3	3	11	15	2	33	5-6	83%	30-47	64%	16-25	64%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.