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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 23, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets28%10996
2Warriors72%11781
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
36.6
31.5
18
56%
9
4
1
1
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
9-13
5-10
69%
57%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
35.9
37.0
19
57%
0
3
2
2
1
4
0
0
5-6
83%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.6
33.1
36.4
15
56%
9
1
0
1
0
0
1
8
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.8
26.4
29.3
14
57%
6
5
2
1
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
2-2
100%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
24.8
25.0
2
33%
8
2
1
1
0
6
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.1
29.2
28.0
15
54%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.0
28.9
28.6
9
48%
5
7
2
1
2
2
1
4
3-3
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
0-4
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
14.0
20.0
2
33%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
9.4
6.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
1.6
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
6.7
0
1-2
52%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.5
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.2
34.8
34.8
18
43%
6
1
2
1
2
2
1
5
6-7
86%
6-13
7-13
46%
58%
0-5
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
34.1
35.3
15
34%
5
4
3
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
52%
1-10
10%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
33.3
32.8
10
48%
5
6
2
2
2
2
2
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.2
23.4
25.7
7
79%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.0
22.1
23.4
7
60%
10
2
2
1
2
4
4
6
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
59%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.9
23.6
26.4
2
17%
2
7
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
60%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
21.5
21.1
5
64%
7
2
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
18.6
17.8
5
31%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-4
25%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
11.8
16.9
4
33%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.9
7.0
6.4
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
6.2
11.4
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.8
3.5
7.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.9
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.3
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 24.9
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.