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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 23, 2017
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs72%106108
28Kings28%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
38.5
30.9
29
65%
10
2
0
1
0
2
4
6
1-1
100%
11-19
7-14
58%
51%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.5
30.7
24.4
14
75%
11
10
0
0
0
1
0
11
2-3
67%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
2-3
67%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
27.0
24.0
6
52%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
26.2
23.8
6
43%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
23.1
17.3
10
45%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.3
24.9
20.4
13
55%
7
6
0
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.4
21.8
24.0
8
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.4
21.4
14.8
15
72%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
49%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
16.7
20.2
7
44%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.1
9.7
14.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
59%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
19.7
1
4-7
53%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
13.9
0
2-4
53%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
9.2
0
1-1
50%
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.6
34.2
30.5
7
58%
2
6
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.0
31.8
20.4
24
67%
8
1
0
1
1
0
1
7
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
31.1
28.4
22
57%
11
3
0
1
0
1
3
8
2-3
67%
10-18
5-10
56%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
31.1
26.0
13
50%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.6
31.1
26.2
11
50%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
3-6
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
28.6
26.4
15
125%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
49%
3-3
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
18.1
18.0
4
29%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
2-6
2-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 23.7
16.0
18.4
3
19%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-6
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
9.5
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.7
8.5
17.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.9
10.6
0
0-1
41%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.8
9.4
0
2-3
48%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.5
3.8
0
1-1
52%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.0
Harry Giles
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.7
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 26.7
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.