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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 27, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Jazz21%100101
1Warriors79%111126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
34.8
28.0
17
44%
7
3
2
1
1
3
0
7
4-5
80%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
1-6
17%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.7
32.8
11.7
11
43%
8
1
2
1
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
3-10
1-2
30%
49%
1-2
50%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
25.5
29.2
10
38%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
42%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26.5
25.5
28.4
17
67%
10
1
0
1
0
0
5
5
3-4
75%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 30.2
24.1
30.7
3
38%
4
7
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 25.2
29.3
29.3
26
55%
5
0
3
1
0
1
2
3
6-8
75%
7-15
3-8
47%
43%
2-5
40%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
22.5
14.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 26.4
20.1
15.9
10
51%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36.5
15.2
21.8
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 24.6
10.3
9.2
5
53%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-2
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.8
21.6
1
2-3
48%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.5
8.0
0
1-2
59%
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.4
1.3
0
0-0
40%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 25.6
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.0
Erik McCree
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
30.3
34.6
15
58%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
51%
3-5
60%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.2
29.1
34.7
21
86%
6
4
0
1
3
2
0
6
5-5
100%
5-7
7-12
71%
58%
2-3
67%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
24.7
35.2
14
70%
8
8
0
2
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
53%
2-5
40%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.3
20.2
16.0
8
57%
2
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.9
13.7
4.2
5
102%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
22.0
14.8
15
83%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
3-4
75%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.0
21.9
23.6
5
34%
13
7
1
1
0
1
2
11
1-3
33%
2-6
3-6
33%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.2
20.4
23.9
18
77%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
6-7
2-3
86%
54%
1-3
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.9
19.8
24.5
3
19%
6
7
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
59%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.5
15.0
17.1
10
100%
4
2
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.3
12.4
13.9
6
75%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
6.0
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.9
4.5
4.7
6
75%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
61%
0-1
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.8
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.