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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 28, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1176ers49%105110
15Trail Blazers51%106114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
34.9
30.4
29
59%
9
3
0
1
1
4
1
8
5-8
63%
3-9
7-13
33%
51%
6-12
50%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.4
33.9
32.3
17
46%
4
8
1
2
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
7-17
6-11
41%
51%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 23.7
33.8
32.3
25
104%
9
4
2
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
48%
5-6
83%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.5
32.1
27.5
19
52%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
4-9
44%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.0
24.0
32.3
4
69%
2
5
0
2
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
34.0
24.1
10
56%
3
6
4
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
50%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
20.0
24.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 30.1
14.2
14.4
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
13.1
15.3
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
12.6
0
1-2
48%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
10.4
0
2-3
58%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.1
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.4
Jacob Pullen
· 6'1" 200 · 28.1
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 25.0
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
37.8
35.1
34
65%
7
4
1
1
0
3
1
6
14-14
100%
7-15
6-13
47%
49%
2-5
40%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
34.3
28.6
23
64%
3
3
3
2
0
5
0
3
7-9
78%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
2-6
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.3
30.9
26.9
0
0%
10
0
1
1
0
2
1
9
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.3
28.0
21.9
21
52%
12
1
1
1
1
1
5
7
11-16
69%
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
21.5
24.6
8
51%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
25.5
15.9
8
80%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
2-4
50%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
25.1
19.6
9
77%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.1
17.1
21.1
1
17%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
16.8
22.8
10
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.8
3.0
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
35.4
1
5-11
49%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.8
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.7
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.0
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.